We’ve got you covered for the best Justin Herbert prediction Sunday with props this week, and Herbert best bets today. The 27-year-old Los Angeles Chargers QB is the QB6 in fantasy scoring and ranks second NFL in passing yards per game (265.6 YPG). Herbert faces the Pittsburgh Steelers—the 32nd-ranked pass defense, allowing a league-worst 278.3 passing yards per game. Here’s the complete Justin Herbert props today breakdown with Herbert fantasy points targets for SNF.
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Justin Herbert Best Bets – Props Sunday & Top Picks
During Sunday Night Football at SoFi Stadium, the Chargers must attack Pittsburgh’s weakness through the air. Herbert is on pace for a historic season: over 4,500 pass yards + 500 rushing yards, which would make him the first quarterback in NFL history with 4,500+ passing and 500+ rushing in the same season.
2025 Season Stats (Through Week 9, nine games):
- Completions/Attempts: 220/325 (67.7%)
- Passing Yards: 2,390 (265.6 YPG, 2nd in NFL)
- Passing TDs: 18 (Tied-2nd in NFL)
- Interceptions: 8
- Passer Rating: 97.3
- QBR: 67.4
- Sacks: 28
- Longest Pass: 60 yards (vs Raiders Week 2)
- Rushing: 46 carries, 305 yards (33.9 YPG), 1 TD
- Total TDs: 19
- Fantasy Points (PPR): 215.1 (23.9 PPG, QB6)
Check out more of our NFL content for the 2025 season. As always, it’s 100% FREE:
- NFL News Hub
- Anytime Touchdown Scorers
- First Touchdown Scorers
- Passing Props
- Rushing Props
- Receiving Props
- Monday Night Football Props
- Thursday Night Football Props
- Sunday Night Football Props
Justin Herbert Fantasy Points: DFS Projections vs Pittsburgh Steelers
For DFS players targeting Justin Herbert fantasy points (PPR DraftKings scoring), here’s the breakdown. These projections can help you bet on Herbert over/under receiving yards as well:
- Conservative Estimate (24 comp, 37 att, 235 pass yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 20 rush yards): 16-18 fantasy points
- Expected Estimate (26 comp, 38 att, 270 pass yards, 2 TDs, 1 INT, 28 rush yards): 20-22 fantasy points
- Ceiling Estimate (30+ comp, 45+ att, 350 pass yards, 3 TDs, 0 INT, 40+ rush yards): 28-32 fantasy points
Justin Herbert Game Log 2025
Let’s break down Herbert’s recent game log heading into Week 10:
- Week 9 @ Titans (W 27-20): 19/29, 250 yds, 2 TDs, 1 INT, 9 rush-57 yds, 1 rush TD — 27.7 fantasy points
- Week 8 vs Vikings (W 37-10): 18/25, 227 yds, 3 TDs, 1 INT, 7 rush-62 yds — 25.3 fantasy points
- Week 7 vs Colts (L 24-38): 37/55, 420 yds, 3 TDs, 2 INTs, 6 rush-31 yds — 29.2 fantasy points
- Week 6 @ Dolphins (W 29-27): 29/38, 264 yds, 2 TDs, 0 INT, 1 rush-2 yds — 21.6 fantasy points
- Week 5 vs Commanders (L 10-27): 22/29, 166 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 4 rush-60 yds — 13.4 fantasy points
- Week 4 @ Giants (L 18-21): 23/41, 203 yds, 1 TD, 2 INTs, 1 rush-24 yds — 12.5 fantasy points
- Week 3 vs Broncos (W 23-20): 28/47, 300 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 2 rush-6 yds — 14.6 fantasy points
- Week 2 @ Raiders (W 20-9): 19/27, 242 yds, 2 TDs, 0 INT, 9 rush-31 yds — 18.8 fantasy points
- Week 1 vs Chiefs (W 27-21): 25/34, 318 yds, 3 TDs, 0 INT, 7 rush-32 yds — 27.9 fantasy points
Best Justin Herbert Prop Today: Higher Than 20.55 Fantasy Points
Herbert has multiple touchdowns in four straight games. He’s thrown for 300+ yards three times this season (Weeks 1, 3, 7). His 420-yard explosion vs Indianapolis in Week 7 was a season-high.
The rushing production is legit. Herbert is averaging 33.9 rushing yards per game—a career-high pace. He’s already just two yards away from a career-high in rushing yards. In Week 9, he ripped off a 29-yard scramble that looked like Patrick Mahomes. In Week 8, he posted 62 rushing yards.
Herbert is playing the best ball of his career. The problem is that his offensive line is decimated. However, he may be forced to scramble on more plays. While that can be dangerous, it can also help the fantasy points come in bunches. He’s already shown real rushing upside this season.
The good news? Herbert thrives under pressure. In 2024, he ranked 3rd in completion percentage under pressure (54.9%) and 3rd in on-target rate (63.4%). He’s mobile enough to escape (33.9 rush YPG this season) and smart enough to get the ball out quickly.
Where to play: Justin Herbert Higher than 20.55 Fantasy Points | Underdog
Justin Herbert Live Odds
You can use our NFL Props Live Odds Comparison Tool to find the best and most accurate Justin Herbert and props for Sunday!
You can compare Justin Herbert live odds on a single convenient screen, and it’s a free resource right here at Props!
- Passing Yards O/U: 252.5-256.5 (FanDuel -114, DraftKings, BetMGM)
- Passing TDs O/U: Over 1.5 TDs (-120)
- Pass Completions O/U: 23.5 (DraftKings -109 Over, FanDuel)
- Rushing Yafrds O/U: 20.5-25.5 (various platforms and books)
