Looking for the best Derrick Henry prediction Sunday with props this week, and Henry fantasy points projections today? Bettors and fantasy football managers need to circle this massive Week 10 matchup: Derrick Henry and the Baltimore Ravens take on the Minnesota Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium. Fresh off a 119-yard performance, King Henry is a centerpiece for all your DFS lineups and prop bets—he’s facing a Vikings defense giving up a ton of rushing yards per game. Here’s the breakdown of Derrick Henry props today, the latest consensus projections, matchup angles, and fantasy targets for Ravens-Vikings, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
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Derrick Henry Props Sunday – Top Picks & Best Bets
Most running backs his age are washed, sitting on the couch, or fighting for backup roles. Not King Henry. At 31 years old in his second season with the Baltimore Ravens, Henry is the NFL’s active leader in career rushing yards (12,052) and rushing touchdowns (112), ranking 17th and fifth all-time, respectively.
It hasn’t been a lights-out season for Henry, overall, but the entire Ravens’ offense was awfully terrible during the absence of star quarterback Lamar Jackson. I’m willing to give Henry a pass in most of those scenarios.
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Derrick Henry Fantasy Points: DFS Projections vs Vikings
For DFS players targeting Derrick Henry fantasy points (PPR scoring), here’s the breakdown:
Projected Henry Fantasy Points (PPR) Sunday:
- Conservative Estimate (Floor Scenario, 9-11 Fantasy Points):16 att, 72 rush yards, 1 rec for 8 yards, 0 TDs
- Expected Estimate (Median Projection, ~15 Fantasy Points): 19 att, 80 rush yards, 1 rec for 9 yards, 1 TD
- Ceiling Estimate (Upside Game, 27-30 Fantasy Points): 22+ att, 115 rush yards, 2 rec for 15 yards, 2 TDs
Best Derrick Henry Props Today: Sunday, November 9th – Week 10
Best Derrick Henry Prop Today: Higher Than 79.5 Rushing Yards
Minnesota’s defense is getting healthier but still ranks middle-of-the-pack against the run. The Vikings just upset the Detroit Lions in Week 9, but their run defense remains vulnerable—exactly the kind of matchup Henry thrives in.
Minnesota defensive coordinator Brian Flores will likely focus on containing Jackson, which could leave Henry in one-on-one situations with linebackers.
Lamar Jackson is healthy after missing three games earlier this season with a hamstring injury. Jackson is 24-3 against NFC teams in his career, including an overtime win against Minnesota in 2021. His dual-threat ability opens massive lanes for Henry.
Henry has some momentum, and Jackson’s availability gives him a huge boost. He’s averaging 104 yards per game over his last three contests with consistent volume (19-24 carries).
Minnesota has been a lot worse against zone running schemes, and that’s the style that Baltimore runs the most (50% of runs are zone running plays, via Fantasy Points).
Where to play: Derrick Henry Higher Than 79.5 Rushing Yards | Underdog
