You’re in the right place for Broncos-Chiefs props! We have a late-Sunday slugfest on tap between Denver and Kansas City, and we’ll certainly dive into the player picks while we’re at it.
This rivalry never seems to get old and always has an exciting finish. Let’s break down the action.
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Broncos vs Chiefs Prediction Today: Player Props Best Bets
We have two really strong divisional matchups to choose from in the late-afternoon window on Sunday. Things will get started with the Rams and Seahawks at 4:05 p.m. ET, followed by the Broncos vs. the Chiefs at 4:25 p.m. ET.
R.J. Harvey Rushing Yards – Lower Than 54.5
The NFC West showdown could very well be for the top spot in the conference, while the Chiefs are simply fighting to get in. They would not be in the playoffs if they started this week, so they’re going to have to string some wins together down the stretch. A win over the Broncos in Denver would certainly help.
For the Broncos, they’re going to have to overcome a bit of adversity in their backfield. J.K. Dobbins has been the team’s top running back this season, but he went down with an injury in their last game. As a result, second-round rookie R.J. Harvey is going to be asked to pick up the slack.
That said, don’t expect Harvey to be the team’s clear bell-cow. He’s had more than seven carries in a game just once this season, and he hasn’t exactly thrived when on the field. His average of 4.3 yards per attempt isn’t bad, but Dobbins averaged 5.0 yards per attempt in the same situation. Tyler Badie will still be a factor on passing downs – and could get a bit more involved on early downs as well – while Jaleel McLaughlin could also reenter the rotation.
The Chiefs are also far from an ideal matchup. While their metrics against the run aren’t great, they’ve still allowed the seventh-fewest rushing yards per game to opposing RBs. Part of that stems from the Chiefs being so good on offense; opposing teams simply don’t have many opportunities to run the ball if they’re playing from behind.
Ultimately, I’m keeping expectations low for the rookie in his first professional start.
Where to play: R.J. Harvey Rushing Yards – Lower Than 54.5 | Underdog
Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards – Higher Than 43.5
The Chiefs have a running back injury situation of their own to deal with. Isiah Pacheco was unable to get health enough to suit up following the team’s Week 10 bye, so he’s going to miss his second straight contest.
Unlike in Denver, Kansas City simply doesn’t have a ton of great RB options at the moment. They were reportedly looking to upgrade the position before the deadline, but they decided it wasn’t worth meeting the third-round asking price on Breece Hall.
Instead, they’re going to have to survive with what they have. That figures to be mostly Hunt in Week 11. He operated as the Chiefs’ bell-cow back without Pacheco in Week 9, playing on 81% of the team’s snaps and handling 61% of their carries. Hunt turned 11 carries into 49 yards vs. the Bills, and there’s no reason he shouldn’t see a similar workload vs. the Broncos.
Denver’s defense is tough, but they’re not quite as good against the run as they are vs. the pass. They’re sixth in rush defense EPA, but they’re No. 2 through the air.
Where to play: Kareem Hunt Rushing Yards – Higher Than 43.5 | Underdog
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