The Chicago Bears are headed to Las Vegas to take on the Raiders on Sunday afternoon in a game where they are 5.5-point underdogs.
What do we expect to see from the Bears offense in this game, and how will that result correlate with the prop bets?
Justin Fields Over 207.5 Passing Yards
Fields threw just 17 passes last game against Detroit at home in a game where they controlled the game immediately after scoring on their first two drives and really taking the air out of the game entirely. Obviously, this isn’t going to happen every single week, and I think that this is the first game where we see Fields have to drop back and throw a lot while being in an appropriate offensive scheme.
Last week, the playcalling completely changed for the better, and we saw a ton of 12 personnel, max protect, play-action deep shots from Fields, and that is where he is at his best. He completed just 11 passes last week and had very, very little YAC and finished over this total anyways. I think that we see Fields eclipse this number easily in a game where he sees a depleted Raiders secondary.
Darnell Mooney Over 51.5 Receiving Yards
I think that this is simply a number that has not caught up with the truth yet in multiple different ways. Mooney had a monster game last week, and I think that this was no fluke. If we continue to see these deep shots and play-action bombs, Mooney will be the main recipient of these passes, and I think that everyone is assuming that it was just one week. I think that Mooney might beat this line in one catch on Sunday.
Mooney is a speedster who has a clear connection with Justin Fields and has improved dramatically since his college days in a pretty vanilla offense. I think that Mooney is simply more talented than the line suggests, and I think that this will pop up again against the banged-up secondary of the Raiders.
Damien Williams Over 54.5 Rushing Yards
Three for three on overs in this one, and I think that this number is egregiously low based on what we saw last week. The Bears’ offensive line is MUCH better in the running game.
Then you add in 12 personnel and the threat of the play-action bombs, and that means that Williams should have plenty of solid rushing lanes this week. Williams went over on this prop last game WITH Montgomery getting 23 carries. This line just doesn’t make sense to me.
