You’re in the right place for Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears predictions today. Our NFL expert Matt LaMarca has you covered for props, odds, and picks for the massive Sunday, December 7th, NFC North showdown.
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Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears Predictions and Props
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Expert Pick: Olamide Zaccheaus Receiving Yards – Higher Than 12.5
The Bears are currently residing atop not just the NFC North, but the entire NFC. To call that a surprise would be an understatement. The Bears were expected to threaten for a playoff spot in their first year under new head coach Ben Johnson, but they have exceeded all expectations.
That said, it’s fair to wonder just how good this Bears team actually is. They have a point differential of just +6 for the year, giving them an expected record of 6.1-5.9. That stems primarily from a 6-1 record in one-score games, with four of those wins coming by three points or fewer.
The Bears will face a stiff test this week vs. the Packers in Lambeau Field, and they’ll have to do it without their top receiver. Rome Odunze has been ruled out for this outing, and while his production has waned of late, he still leads the team with a 24% target share.
Removing Odunze from the equation should open up some additional targets for Zaccheaus. He’s recent lost his role as the team’s No. 3 receiver to emerging rookie Luther Burden, but Zaccheaus should get back in the mix in Week 14.
When Zaccheaus has been on the field this season, he’s had no problems earning targets from Caleb Williams. He’s been targeted on 22% of his routes run, and he should see a significant uptick in routes vs. the Packers.
I ultimately have Zacchaeus projected for three receptions, which should give him an excellent chance at getting to 13 yards. I also don’t mind the idea of playing something like higher than 34.5 yards for a better potential payout.
Where to play: Olamide Zaccheaus Receiving Yards – Higher Than 12.5 | Underdog
Expert Pick: Christian Watson Receiving Yards – Lower Than 54.5
The Packers have an abundance of pass-catching options, but Watson has emerged as their clear top target in recent weeks. He’s posted a target share of at least 34% in back-to-back games, and he’s coming off a season-high 10 targets on Thanksgiving. He responded with four catches for 80 yards, and he added his third touchdown of the year.
Still, it’s possible the spike in production is just an outlier. Guys like Romeo Doubs and Dontayvion Wicks have had solid target numbers for most of the year, so things could be a bit more balanced in Green Bay moving forward.
Additionally, the team could get a bit deeper at receiver in Week 14. Jayden Reed is listed as questionable for the Packers, and I tentatively expect him to suit up. It seemed like Reed had a chance to go on Thanksgiving, and with another 10 days before their matchup vs. the Bears, Reed appears on track to return.
The Bears have been a solid matchup for receivers for most of the year, but they look a lot tougher with Jaylon Johnson back in the lineup. He suited up last week for the first time since Week 2, and he’s one of the best cornerbacks in football. Watson should see a fair bit of him on Sunday, so this feels like a nice sell-high opportunity.
Where to play: Christian Watson Receiving Yards – Lower Than 54.5 | Underdog
