Warriors Vs Mavericks Props: Bet On Doncic, Poole In Game 4

The Western Conference finals are all but over with the Golden State Warriors leading 3-0, but the betting continues all the way to the end.

Will the Dallas Mavericks fight to the finish in front of their home crowd? Will the Warriors feel less urgency and take their foot off the gas?

Props.com looks at four player-specific Warriors vs Mavericks props for Tuesday’s Game 4 of the Western Conference finals.

Odds via FanDuel as of 11:30 a.m. ET on May 24.

Warriors vs Mavericks Player Props

Dallas Mavericks: PG Luka Doncic

The prop: 7.5 assists
The odds: Over -120/Under -102

Doncic finished with only three assists in Game 3, but it wasn’t for a lack of trying. The Mavericks’ offensive catalyst found open looks for his 3-point shooters over and over, but those shooters couldn’t knock them down. (For example, Reggie Bullock was 0-for-7 on 3-pointers, and Maxi Kleber was 0-for-5.)

Here’s betting a few more of those shots will go down in Game 4, and Doncic will go Over 7.5 assists.

Golden State Warriors: SG Jordan Poole

The prop: 16.5 points
The odds: Over +102/Under -124

Game 4 could easily turn into a blowout. Either Dallas will go full steam ahead to prevent a sweep, leading the Warriors to pull up the reins and save their energy for Game 5 … or the Mavericks will come out flat knowing that their season is essentially over, and Golden State will cruise to victory.

In either scenario, Poole — the Warriors’ top bench scorer — should see plenty of action. He scored only 10 points in Game 3, but that came after scoring 19 and 23, respectively, in the first two games of the series.

Bank on Poole playing above-average minutes Tuesday night and go Over 16.5 points at a better than even-money price.

Dallas Mavericks: SF Reggie Bullock

The prop: 4.5 rebounds
The odds: Over +122/Under -150

There’s a lot of blame to go around the Dallas locker room for Sunday’s poor performance in Game 3. But no Mavericks player could’ve felt worse than Bullock, who missed every shot he took — seven 3-pointers, three 2-pointers and a free throw — after scoring 21 points in Game 2.

Fueled by redemption, expect maximum effort from Bullock in Game 4. That could mean taking him Over 10.5 points, but the better option is Over 4.5 rebounds at a plus-price.

Even if his shots continue to clang off the rim, Bullock should be scrambling for every ball after laying an egg in Game 3.

Golden State Warriors: PF Draymond Green

The prop: 7.5 points
The odds: Over -112/Under -108

Green thrives on emotion — the more heated things are on the court, the harder (and better) he plays. But, frankly, there’s not that much for Golden State to work with in Game 4. The job is all but done.

Green went Over his points prop in Game 3, but previously he scored more than six points only once on the road in the first two rounds against Denver and Memphis. Also, as noted in the Jordan Poole analysis, there’s a good chance this game is lopsided one way or the other. If that happens, Green could spend a good chunk of the night on the bench.

Whatever the case, wager on Green to not be heavily involved in a less tense Game 4, and take him Under 7.5 points.

Most Popular Props

UPDATE 3:45 P.M. ET TUESDAY: DraftKings said these were the most heavily bet props for Game 4:

1. Andrew Wiggins Over 16.5 points (-105)
2. Wiggins Over 24.5 points, assists and rebounds (-140)
3. Luka Doncic Over 51.5 points, assists and rebounds (-115)
4. Jordan Poole Over 1.5 made 3-pointers (-180)
5. Stephen Curry Over 3.5 made 3-pointers (-155)