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Bucs vs Falcons Best Props, Predictions & Picks Today (Thursday, Dec. 11)

Sam Pasco

Sam Pasco

Last updated: December 11, 2025

Bucs vs Falcons Best Props Today - Thursday Night Football 12/11 - Bucky Irving

You’re in the right place for Bucs vs Falcons best props, predictions, and picks today! Our NFL expert Sam Pasco has you covered for player props, odds, and expert picks for the massive NFC South showdown on Thursday Night Football for 12/11.

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Bucs vs Falcons Best Props Today 12/11 - Thursday Night Football

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How to Watch Bucs vs Falcons

  • Matchup: Falcons (4–9) at Buccaneers (7–6)
  • Date: Thursday Night, Week 15
  • Network: Amazon Prime Video
  • Location: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Preview

Tampa Bay enters Week 15 at 7–6, tied for first in the NFC South but riding a tough stretch of four losses in five weeks. Injuries have hampered both sides of the ball, though reinforcements are returning just in time for the playoff push.

Their Week 15 objective is straightforward: protect their chance at a fifth straight NFC South title and avoid slipping behind Carolina before their two upcoming head-to-head meetings.

Atlanta Falcons Betting Preview

Atlanta comes in at 4–9 and officially eliminated from playoff contention, but they have a real chance to play spoiler behind veteran QB Kirk Cousins and RB Bijan Robinson, who leads the league in yards from scrimmage.

Key Matchup Trends

  • Bucs Won the Week 1 Meeting

Tampa Bay beat Atlanta 23–20 in their opener, sealed by rookie WR Emeka Egbuka’s late touchdown.

  • Kirk Cousins’ Dominance vs Tampa Bay

Cousins has historically shredded the Buccaneers’ secondary, averaging 334.2 yards per game, 14 TDs, and a 116.1 passer rating in five career starts.

  • Atlanta’s Pass Rush Is Elite

The Falcons rank third in the NFL in sacks-per-pass-play rate, forcing Tampa Bay to simplify protections on the short week.

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Why Tampa Bay Could Win Today

  • Health returning on offense: Mike Evans, Jalen McMillan, and Tristan Wirfs are all trending toward availability.
  • Run defense is top-8, a major advantage against a Falcons team relying heavily on RB Bijan Robinson.
  • Home-field edge & urgency: This is a must-win for the division race.

Why Atlanta Could Win Today

  • Kirk Cousins’ history vs TB is too strong to dismiss.
  • Bijan Robinson’s dual-threat ability (124 yards total vs TB in Week 1).
  • Strong defensive pressure that could exploit Tampa Bay’s injured interior offensive line.

Total Points Outlook

The market sits at 44.5, with both teams trending toward the under:

  • Tampa Bay’s offense has struggled recently, slowed by injuries and inconsistent protection.
  • Atlanta is missing key explosive weapons, including WR Drake London.
  • Both teams rely heavily on short, controlled passing games — especially on a short week.

Bucs vs Falcons Injury Report

  • Mike Evans — Questionable (collarbone)
  • Jalen McMillan — Questionable (neck)
  • Cade Otton — Doubtful (knee)
  • SirVocea Dennis — Out
  • Tristan Wirfs — Expected to play
  • Drake London — Out
  • Brandon Dorlus — Questionable
  • Kyle Pitts — Questionable

Bucs vs Falcons Sore Prediction

  • Expert Pick: Buccaneers 23, Falcons 17

Tampa Bay’s returning weapons, home-field advantage, and strong run defense should offset Atlanta’s pass rush and Cousins’ historical success. The Falcons’ limited receiving corps without London is a major obstacle against a Bucs defense built to rally and tackle.

Bucs vs Falcons Best Props Today

  • Kirk Cousins — Lower Than 31.5 Pass Attempts

Tampa Bay is likely to force shorter drives and limit Atlanta’s pace.

  • Bucky Irving — Higher Than 16.5 Rushing Attempts

Irving’s touches trend upward when the Bucs play from ahead.

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