Just one game separates the Colorado Rockies and San Francisco Giants in the hotly contested NL West. However, the MLB betting standings reveal the Rockies (+3.97 units, 6th place) to be far more profitable than the Giants (+1.04 units, 15th place).
Colorado also has a 4-1 record behind Tuesday’s starting pitcher, Antonio Senzatela, who sports a 3.75 ERA. San Francisco, meanwhile, is 2-3 behind Alex Wood, who takes a 4.38 ERA to the bump for the middle game of a three-game set at Oracle Park.
So of course Rockies vs Giants odds for Tuesday show San Francisco as a consensus … $2 favorite? That doesn’t make any sense … until you realize the Giants are 16-4 against Colorado since the start of last season. Winning the last eight meetings in a row. All by at least three runs.
But hey, it’s baseball. Anything can happen on a given day — just ask the Cleveland Guardians. Is this the night Colorado breaks out Jobu and breaks out of its slump against San Francisco? Props.com breaks down Rockies vs Giants odds for Tuesday’s marquee National League matchup.
Odds via DraftKings and updated as of 6:20 p.m. ET on May 10.
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Colorado Rockies (16-13) vs San Francisco Giants (17-12)
First Pitch/TV: 9:45 p.m. ET/MLB.TV
Moneyline: Giants -210/Rockies +175
Run Line: Giants -1.5 (+100)/Rockies +1.5 (-120)
Total: 7.5 (Over/Under -110)
Pitching matchup: RHP Antonio Senzatela (2-1, 3.75 ERA, 1.88 WHIP) vs LHP Alex Wood (2-2, 4.38 ERA, 1.30 WHIP)
Season series: San Francisco leads 1-0 after Monday’s 8-5 victory.
Did you know: During their eight-game winning streak against Colorado, the Giants have outscored the Rockies 62-25. San Francisco also has won nine of the last 11 meetings at Oracle Park.
About the Rockies
Hits & Misses: Colorado has dropped three of our on its current road trip, losing two of three in Arizona prior to Monday’s setback. The mini slump follows a 5-1 surge (all at home). After winning four of their first five road games (at Texas and Detroit), the Rockies have lost seven of eight games away from Coors Field. Overall, they’re 11-5 at home and 5-8 on the highway and have been outscored on the season (146-130). The poster child for the Rockies’ prominent home/road splits this season is 1B C.J. Cron. He’s batting .377 with seven homers, 18 RBI and a 1.213 OPS at Coors. However, after going 0-for-4 with three strikeouts Monday, he’s hitting .204 on the road with two homers, six RBI and a .679 OPS.
On the Mound: Senzatela has had one terrible outing this season — on April 23, he gave up five runs on 10 hits in five innings of a 13-0 loss at Detroit. In his other four starts — all Rockies wins at home — the veteran right-hander was charged with five earned runs in 19 innings (2.37 ERA). Colorado’s offense has given Senzatela a ton of support in those four games, scoring nine runs three times and 10 runs once. On the downside, Senzatela has given up 40 hits and struck out just seven in 24 innings. All five of his starts have flown over the total, with at least 13 combined runs in each. In eight career starts against the Giants, Senzatela is 5-1 with a 4.24 ERA. Colorado won the first six games but lost the last two.
Key injuries: LF Kris Bryant (back) is on the 10-day injured list and there’s no timetable for his return. Colorado is otherwise healthy.
About the Giants
Hits & Misses: San Francisco has followed a season-long five-game losing skid with three straight home wins over the Cardinals and Rockies. The Giants have erupted for 25 runs the last three days after tallying just 10 during their five-game slide. It’s been feast or famine for San Francisco both at the plate and on the mound in recent weeks. The club has scored 70 runs and allowed 28 in its last nine wins. Conversely, the Giants have been outscored 54-16 in their last eight losses. San Francisco ranks fourth in MLB in runs scored (4.79 per game) and 11th in runs allowed (3.86).
On the Mound: Wood is coming off consecutive losses to the Nationals (14-4 at home) and Dodgers (9-1 on the road). He allowed eight runs on 12 hits and three walks in 10.1 innings in those two outings. Prior to that, he had yielded just four runs in his first three starts (14.1 innings). The 31-year-old southpaw brings a 26-7 K/BB ratio into Tuesday’s start. However, he’s winless in two games at home, where he has a 6.75 ERA in 9.1 innings and opponents are batting .317. Wood has faced the Rockies 19 times (16 starts) and gone 6-3 despite a beefy 5.67 ERA. In his last 11 starts against Colorado, Wood’s teams —the Giants, Dodgers and Reds — are 9-2.
Key injuries: Brandon Belt (neck) has played just once since April 27. He’s questionable for Tuesday. San Francisco also is still without 2B Tommy La Stella (Achilles), 3B Evan Longoria (finger) and OF Steven Duggar (oblique). Dugger (60-day IL) is out indefinitely, while La Stella and Longoria are expected back soon.
Notable Trends
- COL is 5-14 in its last 19 against the NL West
- COL is 1-7 in its last eight as an underdog
- SF is 49-17 in its last 66 as a favorite
- Under for COL is on runs of 4-1 overall and 16-7 vs. left-handed SPs
- Over for SF is on runs of 7-3 overall and 6-2 at home
- Monday’s game went Over the total, ending a 4-0 Under streak in this rivalry
Rockies vs Giants Odds and Action
UPDATE 6:20 P.M. ET TUESDAY: The Giants were installed as a -190 favorite about 24 hours ago at DraftKings and the number has steadily climbed from there, going to -195, -200 and now -210. Not surprisingly, an overwhelming majority of action is on the big home chalk, at 88% bets and 85% money.
The total opened at 7/flat and after a couple of juice moves to the Over, the number bumped up to 7.5/Under -115. The total is currently sitting at 7.5 flat, with 62% of the wagers and a whopping 93% of the cash on the Over.
UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET TUESDAY: Wood and the Giants hit BetMGM’s MLB odds board as a -200 home favorite, stretched out to -220 about two hours ago and are now back to the -200 opener. The Rockies are +170 on the take-back. The total opened at 7 on the overnight line but jumped to 7.5/Under -115 early this morning and is holding there.
Check back prior to first pitch for additional Rockies vs Giants odds and action updates.