In postseason play, they say it’s not really a series until the road team wins a game. Well, that has yet to happen in the Dallas Mavericks vs. Phoenix Suns Western Conference semifinal. And if form holds, it won’t happen in the decisive Game 7, either. Host Phoenix is a solid favorite on the NBA playoff odds board.
While the defending Western Conference champion Suns aim to advance, the Mavericks are looking for the upset.
Props.com grabs insights from multiple oddsmakers on NBA playoff odds for Mavericks vs. Suns Game 7. Check back for updates through Sunday’s tipoff.
Odds via WynnBet and updated as of 6:30 p.m. ET Sunday.
NBA Playoff Odds and Betting Action
No. 1 Phoenix Suns vs No. 4 Dallas Mavericks (8 p.m. ET)
UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: With 90 minutes to go until Game 7 tipoff, the Suns are laying 6.5 in WynnBet’s Sunday NBA playoff odds market. Phoenix opened at -6, then advanced to -6.5 Saturday afternoon and has remained there since, seeing only a couple of modest price adjustments. The Suns are currently -6.5 (-112), with the Mavs +6.5 (-104) as WynnBet continues offering reduced juice on NBA postseason games.
Dallas is taking 55% of spread bets, while 69% of spread dollars are on Phoenix.
“We’re seeing some good two-way action ticket-wise at 6.5. But it looks like we’re going to need the Mavericks overall, with all the Suns parlay liability,” WynnBet senior trader Motoi Pearson said. “We would love to avoid the Suns winning the Western Conference and championship at all costs. On the flip side, anything including the Mavericks advancing from here on out, and possibly winning the championship, would be tremendous.”
The total opened at 210 and has plunged to 204.5, with ticket count dead even and 62% of money on the Under.
UPDATE 6 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Games 5 and 6 in this West semifinal series were back-to-back butt-kickings, with each team taking a backside blasting. After getting boat-raced 110-80 to fall into a 3-2 series hole, Dallas returned home Thursday and pummeled Phoenix 113-86 as a 2.5-point underdog. That set up Sunday night’s winner-advances/loser-goes-home Game 7.
The home team is 6-0 SU and ATS in this playoff series. On the season, Phoenix is 6-3 SU against Dallas, though the Mavs hold the slim ATS edge, going 5-4. Although the Suns got scorched in Game 5, they’re still 11-3 SU in their last 14 clashes with Dallas and 18-7 ATS in the last 25 meetings. Further, Phoenix is on a 10-3 ATS run in home games against Dallas.
The Mavericks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 conference semifinal contests. Meanwhile, the Suns are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 conference semifinal tilts and have cashed four straight at home.
Game 6 didn’t even clear 200, falling well short of the 210.5 total. That’s the fourth straight Under in this series, after the Over hit in Games 1 and 2. Dallas is on a 7-2 Under run in its last night games. The Under is also 9-3 in Phoenix’s last dozen tilts against winning teams. And the Under was the play in 10 of the last 14 Mavs-Suns clashes overall. All that noted, the Over is 7-3 in Dallas’ last 10 roadies, and Phoenix is on an 11-5 run to the Over as a playoff chalk.
On Friday, BetMGM opened Phoenix -6.5 (-105) in its Sunday NBA playoff odds market. There was a modest adjustment this afternoon to Suns -6.5 flat. Phoenix is netting 58% of early spread bets and 65% of early spread dollars. The total opened at 205.5, went to 206.5 Friday night, then returned to the opener this morning. It’s now at 205.5 (Under -115), with early ticket count 3/1 and early cash 9/1 on the Under.
Check back for updates on Mavericks vs Suns betting odds and action.