In this free recurring feature, we will post the best tennis props today on the top DFS pick’em and betting sites, along with the reasons why.
Tennis has become a popular sport for DFS and betting, so let’s see if we can make some money and pick some winners. We will be posting frequent plays with well-reasoned analysis for the biggest events, so keep checking back!
Best Tennis Props Today – DFS Pick’em & Betting Analysis
Tennis takes place throughout the day. In order to maintain consistency and expectations, these tennis player props will be posted when there are major events taking place. Join FanDuel Sportsbook today to make picks for Wimbledon!
Saturday, July 12 Preview
Looking for the best ATP and WTA Tennis props today? Check out our FREE picks for the upcoming action at Wimbledon:
Amanda Anisimova vs. Iga Swiatek
Amanda Anisimova will battle Iga Swiatek in the Wimbledon Final. Anisimova beat Aryna Sabalenka 6-4, 4-6, 6-4 in the semifinals to become the first American in the Wimbledon Final since Serena Williams in 2019.
Iga Swiatek, on the other hand, is coming off a dominant 6-2, 6-0 win against Belinda Bencic in the semifinals, underlining her dominant run and her evolution into a complete threat on grass. This will be the first match between Anisimova and Swiatek.
Anisimova brings powerful shot-making and an aggressive baseline game that thrives on first-strike tennis. Her backhand is one of the cleanest in the women’s game, and she has the ability to redirect pace with minimal backswing.
On grass, her low center of gravity and quick take-back allow her to handle fast rallies effectively, as seen in her semifinal win over Sabalenka, where she stayed composed in crucial moments and executed with precision.
However, Anisimova’s movement remains a concern against elite counterpunchers like Swiatek. She can be drawn out of position by heavy topspin or deep, angled returns, and her serve, while improved, remains vulnerable to elite returners. If her first serve percentage dips or her unforced error count rises, extended rallies may favor her opponent.
Swiatek has developed into the most complete player on the WTA Tour, and her transformation on grass has mirrored her overall tactical growth. Her ability to inject spin, vary trajectory, and rush opponents with aggressive returning makes her lethal on faster surfaces. Against Bencic, she used depth and early ball striking to dismantle points before her opponent could settle, showing incredible court awareness.
Her biggest asset is adaptability—she can defend, redirect, and counter with equal confidence. While her serve isn’t overpowering, she places it with precision and follows it up with dominant baseline control. If there’s a weakness to explore, it’s in low-bouncing slices or awkward pace changes on grass, but few opponents can consistently sustain those tactics under her pressure.
Anisimova’s powerful baseline game gives her a puncher’s chance if she serves well and lands consistent first strikes. However, Swiatek’s ability to expose movement gaps, stretch the court, and absorb pace will likely force errors from Anisimova in the long run. With superior rhythm, composure, and tactical versatility, Swiatek can control the Final and capture her first Wimbledon title.
Pick: Under 24.5 Total Match Games | FanDuel
Friday, July 11 Preview
We’ve almost reached the end of another iconic tournament!
Taylor Fritz vs. Carlos Alcaraz
Taylor Fritz clashes with Carlos Alcaraz in the Wimbledon semifinals. Fritz is coming off a gritty 6-3, 6-4, 1-6, 7-6 (7-4) win against Karen Khachanov in the quarterfinals while Alcaraz looked surgical in dismantling Cameron Norrie 6-2, 6-3, 6-3 in the quarterfinals.
Alcaraz is 2-0 in two career matches against Fritz, including a 6-2, 7-5 win in the round robin of the 2024 Laver Cup.
This promises to be a high-octane match between two power baseliners with vastly different approaches to court coverage and point construction.
Alcaraz enters the semifinal in top form, showcasing world-class shot-making, balance, and court awareness against Norrie. His ability to shift gears mid-point—blending sudden net rushes with forehand acceleration—makes him uniquely dangerous on grass.
His return game continues to be elite, as he neutralizes even the strongest serves and turns defense into offense in a blink.
While his occasional drop shots can backfire on faster courts, Alcaraz’s all-court athleticism and relentless footwork allow him to cover the net with ease. His backhand slice has improved, giving him another layer to control rhythm on grass. If he keeps his first serve percentage high and mixes paces, it will be difficult for Fritz to dictate play.
Fritz has delivered one of his most mature Grand Slam performances to date at Wimbledon, blending his trademark power with poise in tight moments, particularly during his fourth-set tiebreak against Khachanov. His serve is his primary weapon, and on grass, he uses it to control service games and open up short forehand opportunities. Fritz’s flat backhand also stays low on the surface, helping him redirect pace effectively.
However, his movement and variety remain limitations against a player like Alcaraz. Fritz can struggle when pushed wide or asked to play extended defensive rallies. If his first serve dips or he gets stuck behind the baseline, Alcaraz’s aggression and creativity will exploit those weaknesses. Fritz needs a lights-out serving day and consistent depth to keep points short and within his control.
While Fritz has the firepower to take a set and test Alcaraz’s return game, the Spaniard’s superior variety, movement, and mental edge in big-match scenarios give him the advantage over four sets. Alcaraz’s recent performances on grass and his dominance in the rivalry point to another convincing but competitive win as he moves into his third straight Wimbledon Final.
Pick: Over 37.5 Total Match Games | FanDuel
Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic
Jannik Sinner battles Novak Djokovic in the Wimbledon semifinals. Sinner cruised past Ben Shelton 7-6 (7-2), 6-4, 6-4 in the quarterfinals while Djokovic beat Flavio Cobolli 6-7 (6-8), 6-2, 7-5, 6-4 in the quarterfinals in a match that tested his endurance and focus.
Sinner is 5-4 in nine career matches against Djokovic, including four straight victories. He beat Djokovic 6-4, 7-5, 7-6 (7-3) in the French Open semifinals last month.
Sinner has transformed into one of the most efficient big-match performers in men’s tennis, showcasing maturity, shot tolerance, and elite court coverage. His flat groundstrokes are tailor-made for grass, and he has drastically improved his serve placement and consistency. Against Shelton, Sinner faced pressure in the first set tiebreak but handled it with poise, showing a growing ability to close tight moments.
Sinner’s return game continues to be a major weapon, particularly against second serves, and his backhand down the line can exploit Djokovic’s movement. His biggest strength in this match is his ability to hold serve with fewer errors and keep points short, especially on grass. The only potential vulnerability lies in extended rallies or lulls in intensity, which Djokovic can exploit with changes of pace and variety.
Djokovic remains a formidable grass-court force, with seven Wimbledon titles to his name. His return of serve, mental fortitude, and ability to absorb power still make him incredibly dangerous.
However, he has struggled to impose his will against Sinner in recent meetings, and signs of fatigue or physical limitation have started to creep into longer matches. Against Cobolli, Djokovic dropped the opening set in a tiebreak and needed to grind through three more sets to advance.
Djokovic’s strengths include his unmatched baseline control, defensive anticipation, and the ability to frustrate opponents with deep, accurate placement. But on grass, if he fails to consistently pressure Sinner’s service games or doesn’t get enough first serves in, he risks falling behind in pace and tempo. Sinner has shown a blueprint for out-hitting him recently, and Djokovic will need to adapt with more net approaches and early aggression to turn the tide.
While Djokovic remains one of the sport’s greatest tacticians and a master of big occasions, the matchup has swung in Sinner’s favor. With superior grass-court rhythm and recent psychological edge, Sinner is projected to win again, relying on clean serving, early ball striking, and confidence built from four straight victories in the rivalry. Expect tight sets, but Sinner’s form and surface advantage carry him into his first Wimbledon Final.
Pick: Novak Djokovic Under 19.5 Total Games | FanDuel
Tennis DFS & Betting – Tips For Picking Player Props
Tennis player props can offer sharp bettors a profitable edge — if they know where to look. Unlike traditional match odds, props let you isolate specific outcomes like total aces, double faults, number of sets won, or even individual set winners. But without the right approach, it’s easy to get burned.
Here’s how to improve your tennis props strategy and make sharper bets.
Know the Surface, Know the Player
Not all courts are created equal — and that matters a lot when betting tennis props. Surface speed plays a huge role in player performance. Here’s what to watch:
- Grass: Fastest surface, favors big servers (think: Alexander Zverev).
- Hard Court: Balanced conditions, but bounce varies between venues.
- Clay: Slows the game down, rewards grinders and defensive baseliners.
If you’re betting on props like total aces or service games won, the surface has to be part of your model. Someone like Aryna Sabalenka might average 12 aces on grass but just 6 on clay.
Head-to-Head Matchups Tell a Story
Past results between two players aren’t just trivia — they’re data points. When two players have history, check these:
- Who wins more service games?
- Are matches going the distance?
- Is there a pattern in break points converted?
If a matchup regularly produces long three-setters, there’s value in overs on total games, sets played, or player to win a set props.
Serve and Return Metrics Are Gold
If you’re betting tennis props, serve/return stats should be your bread and butter. Focus on:
- First Serve %
- Service points won %
- Break points saved
- Return games won
Aces and double faults are the obvious outputs, but don’t overlook the deeper numbers. For example, a player with a strong second serve win percentage can survive high-pressure moments — making them more reliable for overs on games won.
Watch for Fatigue and Injury Trends
Tennis players grind through long seasons, and fatigue is real. That’s where sharp bettors thrive:
- Back unders if a player has gone deep in consecutive tournaments.
- Fade players coming off five-set marathons, especially in humid/hard conditions.
- Track players with nagging injuries — especially those affecting serve motion.
These physical factors are rarely priced into prop markets early enough. Use them to your advantage.
Track Line Movement and Market Sentiment
Props are often softer than moneyline markets, but they do move — especially around majors. Look at:
- Opening lines vs. closing lines
- Movement correlated with weather changes (like wind, which kills serve props)
- Public vs. sharp action (some sportsbooks release prop bet splits)
When totals move a full game or ace props tick a few serves up or down, that tells you where the smart money is leaning.
Target Lesser-Known Players and Early Rounds
Books aren’t as sharp when it comes to Challenger-level guys or lesser-known WTA matchups. If you’ve done your homework, there’s more value betting:
- Props in first-round matches, especially when talent is lopsided.
- Up-and-comers with elite junior stats who haven’t hit the mainstream yet.
- Niche markets during smaller ATP 250 and WTA International events.
You won’t get the same prop depth as Grand Slams, but the lines will often be beatable.
Weather, Altitude and Conditions Matter
Fast courts in Mexico City? Slower ones in Miami humidity? Props like service holds and aces are tied to conditions:
- High altitude = faster conditions = more aces, shorter rallies.
- Windy conditions = fewer clean service games = more breaks.
Always factor in the external conditions. They don’t show up on the stat sheet — but they impact everything.
Props Are About Context, Not Just Stats
Tennis props aren’t about blindly riding numbers. It’s about context — surfaces, opponents, mental game, fitness, and even the crowd. When you understand the full picture, your edge increases exponentially.
So stop chasing volume plays on name-brand players and start handicapping props like a pro. The next time you see a “Player A Over 8.5 Aces” market? You’ll know how to break it down.
Most Popular Tennis Props & Betting Markets
See below for an overview of all of the most popular markets in tennis. Most of these are self-explanatory, and it should be noted that this is not a complete list of every type out there.
- Games Won
- Games Lost
- Sets Won
- Sets Lost
- Games Played
- Aces
- Breakpoints Won
