The Mets have won three in a row and six of their last seven, including Tuesday’s doubleheader sweep of the Giants. Now, New York is handing the ball to a starting pitcher with a 0.75 ERA in his first two starts. Apparently, none of that impresses bookmakers, as Giants vs Mets odds show San Francisco as a slim road favorite Wednesday night at Citi Field.
Will New York buck those odds and hand the Giants their first three-game losing streak — against an opponent other than the Padres — since late August? Or will San Francisco resume its dominance of the Mets, who haven’t won three in a row versus the Giants since June 2017?
Props.com breaks down Giants vs Mets odds and ends in our betting preview for Wednesday’s marquee matchup in the National League.
Odds via DraftKings and updated as of 5:50 p.m. ET on April 20.
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San Francisco Giants (7-4) Vs New York Mets (9-3)
First Pitch/TV: MLB.TV
Moneyline: Giants -125/Mets +105
Run Line: Giants -1.5 (+150)/Mets +1.5 (-170)
Total: 6.5 (Over -110/Under -110)
Pitching matchup: LHP Carlos Rodon (1-0, 1.50 ERA) vs RHP Chris Bassitt
Season series: The Mets lead 2-0 after Tuesday’s doubleheader sweep, winning both games as a favorite.
Did you know: New York enters Wednesday with the best record in baseball (a half-game better than the Dodgers and Giants). The Mets also lead all of MLB with a +29 run differential.
About the Giants
Hits & Misses: San Francisco entered Tuesday’s doubleheader on a five-game winning streak, then opened up a 4-1 lead after three innings in Game 1. However, the Giants couldn’t hold on, losing 5-4 in 10 innings. Then in the nightcap, they managed just one hit in seven innings against Max Scherzer and finished with just two singles in a 3-1 loss. That means San Francisco, which has dropped consecutive games for the first time this season, has scored just one run in the last 16 innings. The Giants are batting .223 as a team, 11th-worst in MLB. On the bright side, they have baseball’s best bullpen (1.69 ERA).
On the Mound: Rodon, who spent his first seven MLB seasons with the White Sox, has been terrific in his first two starts for San Francisco, giving up a total of two runs, five hits and four walks, with 21 strikeouts in 12 innings. After getting a no-decision in a 2-1 home loss to the Marlins on April 9, Rodon earned a 4-1 victory at Cleveland on Friday. The southpaw limited the Guardians to a run on two hits and two walks and struck out nine in seven innings. He has yet to face the Mets in his career.
Key injuries: SP Alex Cobb was forced to leave Game 1 Thursday with a groin injury and was placed on the 10-day injured list. 3B Evan Longoria (finger), 2B Tommy La Stella (Achilles) and LF Lamont Wade Jr. (knee) remain on the IL.
About the Mets
Hits & Misses: Not only does New York have an MLB-best nine victories, but its 3.5-game advantage in the NL East is the largest of any division leader. In fact, the Mets are the only NL East club with a winning record, and they’re currently riding their third three-game winning streak of the season. New York has scored more than five runs in a game just three times. However, the pitching staff is allowing an MLB-low 2.5 runs per game and is now tied with San Francisco atop the team ERA standings (2.36). Furthermore, eight of the Mets’ nine wins have been by multiple runs.
On the Mound: Acquired from the Oakland A’s via a mid-March trade, Bassitt has been even more dominant than Rodon in the early going. The right-hander pitched six innings in each of his first two starts, against the Diamondbacks (home) and Nationals (road). Over those 12 innings, Bassitt scattered five hits, walked three, struck out 14 and yielded just a single run. New York won both games by a combined score of 18-3. While with Oakland, Bassitt made three starts against the Giants, going 1-1 with a 1.96 ERA.
Key injuries: LF Brandon Nimmo returned from the COVID-19 list on Tuesday and played both games, but CF Mark Canha remains on the same list.
Notable Trends
- San Francisco is on lengthy runs of 48-19 on the road, 40-12 as a favorite and 14-6 vs. NL East teams
- New York is 14-37 in its last 51 as an underdog
- New York is 3-8 in its last 11 vs. a left-handed starting pitcher
- Under for San Francisco is on runs of 7-3 overall, 7-3 on the road and 36-16-2 vs. NL East teams
- Under for New York is on runs of 5-2-1 overall, 11-3 vs NL West teams and 3-0-1 vs. lefty starters
- San Francisco is still 6-2 in its last eight vs. New York
- Under is 6-1 in the last seven series meetings
Giants vs Mets Odds and Action
UPDATE 5:50 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The Giants have shifted out from -120 to -125 on DraftKings’ MLB odds board amid solid two-way action. The Mets are catching 53% of the tickets, but San Francisco is nabbing 53% of the money. The total is holding firm at -6.5 flat, and there’s a clear Pros vs. Joes situation developing, as 53% of the bets are on the Over but 72% of the dough is backing the Under.
UPDATE 2:15 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: DraftKings had Giants vs Mets odds for Wednesday priced at pick ’em (-110) overnight. San Francisco moved to -120 very early this morning, rose to -125 near midday ET and is now back to -120. Roughly two-thirds of the early wagers and money at DraftKings are on the Mets. The total opened at 7 (Under -125), but early this morning the number ticked down to 6.5 (Over -125). The juice then fell a couple of times to Over -120 and Over -115 before settling at the current price of -110 both ways. While 61% of the early bets are on the Over, 76% of the cash sides with the Under.
