We asked our Props analyst, Justin Bales, to come up with his best NFL ladder bets for Week 16. Let’s dive into the top NFL betting picks today.
If you’re not familiar with this kind of play, a ladder bet is essentially betting on a prop at multiple lines with the odds getting progressively larger the further up the ladder you go.
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We’ve done the research for you here and below we’ll dive into all of the rationale for our best NFL ladder bets for Week 16.
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Aidan O’Connell Passing Yards Ladder
O’Connell’s seen mixed results for the Las Vegas Raiders this season. He’s thrown for 899 yards with 4 touchdowns and 3 interceptions through six games (four starts). He’s flashed tremendous upside, recording 340 yards and 2 touchdowns against the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 13.
Although O’Connell hasn’t posted a ton of yardage this season, we know he has the potential because of his success as a rookie. He topped out at 299 yards against the Indianapolis Colts last season. He’s progressed on the upside in his sophomore campaign.
O’Connell gets an elite matchup against the Jacksonville Jaguars this week. They’re allowing the second-most passing yards (276.2) per game to opposing quarterbacks. The Jaguars are also allowing a ridiculous 12.0 yards per completion in 2024.
This game should stay relatively close throughout, as the Raiders are only 1.5-point favorites. We know Las Vegas will continue to use their run game as long as they can, but O’Connell should also be throwing throughout this game.
There’s too much upside against Jacksonville to pass on these numbers.
What to bet: Aidan O’Connell 250+ passing yards through 300+ passing yards
Jahmyr Gibbs Rushing Yards Ladder
Gibbs boasts incredible upside for the Detroit Lions. He’s split work at running back with David Montgomery this season, recording 1,047 yards and 11 touchdowns on 186 carries. He’s averaging a healthy 5.6 yards per carry in 2024.
Montgomery is injured for the season, and Gibbs is going to take on a workhorse role for Detroit. He played in only one game without Montgomery as a rookie, posting 152 yards and 1 touchdown on 26 carries against the Las Vegas Raiders.
Gibbs gets an elite matchup against the Chicago Bears this week. They’re allowing the second-most rushing yards (115.6) per game to opposing running backs this season. The Bears are also giving up 4.9 yards per carry.
The Lions are 6.5-point favorites in this game. They’re likely to be relying on their ground game throughout the majority of this contest. Gibbs should see 20+ carries for the third time in his career, and he boasts incredible upside with that volume.
What to bet: Jahmyr Gibbs 90+ rushing yards through 120+ rushing yards
Jakobi Meyers Receiving Yards Ladder
Meyers has taken over as the top receiver for the Las Vegas Raiders with Davante Adams in New York. He’s found success, recording 71 receptions for 802 yards and 2 touchdowns on 102 targets. He topped out at 121 yards against the Denver Broncos in Week 12.
Meyers isn’t generally a major big-play threat. He owns a 10.1 aDOT on the season, and he’s only recorded 25+ yards on one catch in three games this season. He’s a volume receiver, and he should see 10+ targets again this week.
Meyers will face off against the Jacksonville Jaguars, who have one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL. They’re allowing the third-most receiving yards (180.9) per game to opposing receivers. The Jaguars are also giving up 9.2 yards per target and 14.0 yards per reception.
Meyers has been playing better in recent weeks because of his volume. He’s averaging 7.0 receptions for 86.0 receiving yards on 10.8 targets per game over his last four games. He also comes with drastically more upside with O’Connell back at quarterback.
What to bet: Jakobi Meyers 60+ receiving yards through 120+ receiving yards
Editor’s Note: Be sure to check out all of our Week 16 content linked below.
