Of all the markets for touchdown scorers, it’s possible the most underrated one is last to score. Obviously, there’s a lot of guesswork that goes into this prop. But there’s also strategy we’ll break down in this best last touchdown scorer bets article.
Basically, ask yourself how you expect the game to go. Create a scenario. What player, then, benefits most from that scenario?
Answer that question, and you might have yourself a bet.
With that in mind, here are some of our favorite last touchdown scorer props we have our eye on for this week.
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Best Last Touchdown Scorer Bets: Week 12 TNF
Our staff runs through their best last touchdown scorer bets.
Editor’s Note: Be sure to check out all of our Week 12 content linked below.
Jerry Jeudy Last Touchdown Scorer (+760)
Really, just about anyone wearing an orange helmet is a fine bet for the last touchdown scorer in Thursday night’s game featuring the Pittsburgh Steelers vs. the orange-helmeted Cleveland Browns.
Why? Because if the oddsmakers are to be believed, the Browns will probably be playing from behind in the fourth quarter, turning the gunslinging Jameis Winston operating in the gunslinging Browns offense into some combination of Jesse James and Han Solo. In short: Winston will be firing the ball all over the field, and Jeudy is as likely as any other Brown – and perhaps more likely – to be on the receiving end.
Jeudy has 11 targets in each of the last two games, and eight the game before that, all three games Winston has started.
He’s turned those 30 targets into a whopping 18-294-1 line, just about keeping pace with his running mate, Cedric Tillman.
Trying to suss out who the “number one” receiver is here is a fool’s errand; frankly, it doesn’t matter if Winston is going to continue to chuck the ball 45 times a game.
And with two of the fastest-paced offenses doing battle Thursday, it certainly seems like Winston is going to get there. And if Winston gets there, it’s more than likely Jeudy will get there as well. Worth a shot to say he scores last.
Where to Play: Jerry Jeudy Last Touchdown Scorer | +760 at Fliff
George Pickens Last Touchdown Scorer (+715)
George Pickens is a screaming positive touchdown regression candidate, as he has a mere two scores on the year despite putting up 728 yards on 48 receptions.
And his arrow has been pointing up with Russell Wilson at quarterback, as both scores came with Wilson under center. Additionally, 22 of his 48 catches have come in the four games with Wilson throwing him the ball, and three of his four highest yardage totals of the season have come with Wilson.
In short: Pickens is primed to finish the season strong, and the Browns pass defense definitely has sprung a few leaks as the season has worn on.
Wagering on Pickens to be the last touchdown scorer probably also means thinking this game is close enough for the Steelers to be throwing the ball later in the game, but Pickens’ superstar ability means he’s capable of taking one to the house at any point, on any play.
But sure, let’s figure a close game, and let’s figure Pickens gets loose late. A sprinkle on this one feels right.
Where to Play: George Pickens Last Touchdown Scorer | +715 at Fliff
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