The Heat host the Chicago Bulls on Friday, Apr 19. Today’s game is set for 7:00 ET and will be shown on ESPN. Miami comes into this game as 1.5-point favorites with the total set at 206. Keep reading to get our Heat vs. Bulls predictions.
Heat vs. Bulls Odds
- Spread: Heat -1.5
- Total 206
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Game Info
- Date: Friday, Apr 19
- Time: 7:00 ET
- Location: Kaseya Center, Miami FL
- TV: ESPN
Bulls Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Bulls have an over/under record of 5-0 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
- Chicago has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 125 points per game while allowing 117. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-0.
- Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Bulls have a straight up record of 4-6. Their record vs the spread in these games was 5-5.
Heat Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Heat have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- Across their last five home contests, Miami has been good against the spread posting a mark of 5-0. Their overall mark in these games was 3-2, while averaging 114 points per game.
- In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Heat have a straight up record of 8-2 and an ATS mark of 7-3.
Is a Road Win Possible for Chicago?
Today, the Bulls are 39-43 on the season and are currently in 9th place in the Eastern Conference. In the Central Division, they are in 4th place.
Chicago has gone 41-40 against the spread this season, including a 3-game ATS win streak on the road. As the underdog, they are 26-23 ATS and 19-30 straight-up.
The Bulls’ O/U record for the season is 44-37-1, and the over has hit in their last four games. This year, their games have averaged 226 points per game compared to today’s line of 206.
In their last game, the Bulls lost to the Knicks by a score of 120-119. They were 13.5-point underdogs in that game and covered the spread. The O/U line for that game was 218.5.
DeMar DeRozan has been carrying the Bulls offense of late, averaging 33.2 points per game over his last four games. This has come while hitting 55.6% of his shots from the field. Looking at his season-long numbers, he is averaging 24 points and 5.3 assists. Coby White is averaging 19.1 points per game for the season and 19.8 over his last five games.
Chicago is averaging 112.3 points per game for the season, which is 22nd in the league. Their offense has been a little better on the road, at 113 points per game. In terms of pace, the Bulls are 21st in the league.
On the defensive side, Bulls is currently hovering around the NBA’s average for points allowed, conceding an average of 113.7 points per game. Opponents are hitting 56.0% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.9% of their three-point attempts.
Will Miami Live Up to Expectations at Home?
Miami is the favorite in today’s game against the Bulls and has a 35-13 record as the favorite this season. The Heat have been favored in 48 of their 82 games this year and have won four straight games as the favorite. On average, they have outscored their opponents by 5.4 points per game as the favorite.
Against the spread, Miami is 16-25 at home and 23-22 as the favorite. Overall, they are 40-39 ATS and have gone 2-1 vs. the spread in their last three games at home.
Miami’s O/U record for the season is 35-47, and the over has hit in their last two games. Today’s O/U line is set at 206, which is lower than their season average of 218.5 points per game.
In their most recent game, the Heat defeated the Raptors by a score of 118-103. Miami was favored by 16.5 points in that game and finished with an ATS record of 40-39.
Currently, the Heat are 8th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 46-36. In the Southeast Division, they are in 2nd place. Miami has won two straight games and is 32-20 against other teams in the East.
Overall, the Heat are 26th in the NBA in scoring at 110.1 points per game. Their scoring average at home is slightly better, at 112.1 points per contest. Miami’s pace of 95.8 possessions per game is the second-lowest rate in the league. The Heat’s three-point shooting percentage of 37% is the 13th best mark in the league.
Jimmy Butler has averaged 18.6 points per game over his last five games while hitting 55.6% of his shots from the field. In these games, he also averaged 6.2 assists. Tyler Herro is averaging 21.8 points per game in his last five games on a field goal percentage of 46.6%. Over this stretch, he hit 2.8 threes per game.
This season, the Heat defense has been impressive, holding the 3rd position in the league while permitting an average of 108.4 points per contest. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Heat squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 55.3% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 35.4% from downtown.
Heat vs. Bulls Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is DeMar DeRozan and his points prop of 26.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of +102 while the under is at -139. In his matchup vs. the Heat, we are recommending to take the under on DeMar DeRozan and his prop of 26.5 points. Our player projection model has him falling short of his prop with a projected 26.
- The Prop: DeMar DeRozan Under 26.5 Points (-139)
Heat vs. Bulls Predictions
Coming in as the underdogs at +1.5, we have the Bulls as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 206 and given that our model is projecting 227 points between the teams, we like the over.
The Pick: Bulls +1.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook