Lightning vs. Oilers Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Thursday, Dec. 14

Dec 4, 2023; Tampa, Florida, USA; Tampa Bay Lightning center Anthony Cirelli (71) celebrates after he scored a goal against the Dallas Stars during the third period at Amalie Arena.
Image Credit: Kim Klement Neitzel-USA TODAY Sports

We have your Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Edmonton Oilers prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Tampa Bay Lightning hit the road to face the Edmonton Oilers.

The Edmonton Oilers (13-12-1) are set to host the Tampa Bay Lightning (13-12-5) in a thrilling NHL showdown at Rogers Place. With both teams looking to climb their respective conference standings, this matchup promises to be a battle of wills on the ice.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Edmonton Oilers Odds Info

Moneyline: Tampa Bay Lightning +140 (PointsBet) / Edmonton Oilers -160 (FanDuel)

Puck Line: -1.5 – Tampa Bay Lightning -182 (FanDuel) / Edmonton Oilers +150 (FanDuel)

Total: 6.5 – +110 (PointsBet) / -120 (DraftKings)

Game Info

Date: Thursday, Dec. 14

Time: 09:00 PM

Location: Rogers Place – Edmonton, AB

TV: ESPN+

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends

  • On the road this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have 5 wins and 11 losses.
  • As the underdog this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have 6 wins and 9 losses.
  • This season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have hit 15 overs and 15 unders.

Edmonton Oilers Betting Trends

  • At home this season, the Edmonton Oilers have 9 wins and 5 losses.
  • As the favorite this season, the Edmonton Oilers have 13 wins and 10 losses.
  • This season, the Edmonton Oilers have hit 16 overs and 10 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the last two seasons, the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Edmonton Oilers have faced off three times, with the Oilers emerging victorious in two of those encounters. These games spanned from November 2022 to November 2023, showcasing a competitive edge between the two teams. In terms of betting statistics, the Oilers have also outperformed the Lightning against the spread, covering it twice compared to the Lightning’s once. The over/under betting results have leaned towards high-scoring games, with the total score surpassing the set threshold twice, indicating a tendency for offensive play when these teams clash. Key statistics from these matchups reveal that the Oilers have been more successful on the road, with one of their two wins coming as the visiting team. The Lightning, on the other hand, have capitalized on their home advantage once. The closing moneyline has favored the home team twice, with the Lightning and Oilers each being the favorite once when playing at home. The spread has varied, with the largest spread difference being 3.5 in the most recent game, where the Lightning won by a margin that exceeded the spread by 2 points.

The most recent game between the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Edmonton Oilers took place on November 18, 2023, with the Lightning securing a 6-4 victory at home. In this high-scoring affair, the Lightning managed to convert on 50% of their power play opportunities, a significant factor contributing to their win. The Oilers, despite their efforts, struggled in the faceoff circle, winning only 42.4% of the draws. The game featured multiple goal scorers from both sides, with notable performances from Derek Ryan of the Oilers, who netted two goals, and Nikita Kucherov of the Lightning, who also scored twice. The Lightning’s ability to rally in the third period, scoring four goals, ultimately sealed their win. This victory marked a shift in momentum for the Lightning, who had previously been on the losing end in their encounters with the Oilers.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Edmonton Oilers Predictions

The Oilers, currently on an impressive 8-game winning streak, are finding their rhythm at the right time. Led by the dynamic Connor McDavid, who has been on a tear with 38 points this season, Edmonton’s offense has been a force to be reckoned with. However, they’ll be facing a Lightning team that, despite a recent loss, has shown resilience and the ability to bounce back. Nikita Kucherov, with 47 points, has been the offensive heartbeat for Tampa Bay and will be a key player to watch in this matchup.

Defensively, both teams have had their struggles but have also shown moments of brilliance. The Oilers will need to tighten up their game to contain the Lightning’s attack, which has been known to strike quickly and with precision. On the flip side, Tampa Bay’s defense will have to be on high alert to slow down Edmonton’s high-flying offense, especially during power plays where the Oilers have been particularly effective.

This game could very well come down to the key player matchups and special teams’ performance. McDavid’s line against Tampa Bay’s top defensive pairing will be a critical battle to watch. Additionally, both goaltenders will play pivotal roles, as the game could hinge on a crucial save or a momentary lapse. With both teams evenly matched and fighting for a crucial win, this game is set up to be a classic encounter that could go either way.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Edmonton Oilers Pick

Considering the recent performances and the current momentum, the smart pick for this game is the Tampa Bay Lightning moneyline bet. Despite the Edmonton Oilers’ impressive 8-game winning streak, the Lightning have shown resilience and the ability to bounce back from losses, as evidenced by their overall balanced record and the offensive prowess of Nikita Kucherov. Additionally, the Lightning’s power play conversion rate and their ability to rally in the third period, as seen in their last encounter with the Oilers, give them the edge in clutch moments. With the odds favoring the Oilers, the value lies with the Lightning, who have the experience and depth to overcome Edmonton’s surge.

The historic head-to-head data also leans slightly towards the Lightning, who have covered the spread against the Oilers in their last meeting and have shown they can outscore Edmonton when it counts. While the Oilers have been successful on the road, the Lightning’s performance at home and their ability to capitalize on power play opportunities could be the difference-makers in this matchup. With Kucherov leading the charge and the team’s proven track record of bouncing back, Tampa Bay is poised to disrupt Edmonton’s winning streak and secure a victory on the road.

The Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning +140 (PointsBet)

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Edmonton Oilers Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Anthony Cirelli Shots On Goal 1.5 7/10 -140 +110 2.2 2.22
Nikita Kucherov Assists 0.5 8/10 -210 +160 1.2 1.20
Nikita Kucherov Shots On Goal 4.5 7/10 +120 -150 4.8 4.69

Edmonton Oilers

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Connor McDavid Assists 0.5 9/10 -238 +180 1.9 1.80
Evan Bouchard Points 0.5 10/10 -160 +124 1.4 1.20
Evan Bouchard Power Play Points 0.5 8/10 +130 -166 0.8 0.80
Zach Hyman Shots On Goal 3.5 7/10 +100 -130 4.8 4.80
Connor McDavid Points 1.5 8/10 -115 -115 2.5 2.40
Zach Hyman Points 0.5 7/10 -180 +140 1.3 1.20
Evan Bouchard Assists 0.5 8/10 -120 -110 1.0 1.01
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins Points 0.5 7/10 -200 +154 1.2 1.20
Mattias Ekholm Shots On Goal 1.5 7/10 -166 +130 2.2 2.09