The Packers are set to face the New Orleans Saints on Sunday, Sept. 24. The game is scheduled for 1:00 ET while airing on FOX. Green Bay enters this game as a 2-point favorite with the total set at 42.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Packers vs. Saints predictions and player props below.
Packers vs. Saints Odds
- Spread: Packers -2
- Total 42.5
Game Info
- Date: Sunday, Sep 24
- Time: 1:00 ET
- Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay WI
- TV: FOX
Saints Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Saints have an over/under record of 0-5 and are 2-2-1 vs. the spread.
- Across their ten previous road games, New Orleans has an ATS mark of 4-5-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 5-5 while averaging 18 points per game.
- New Orleans has done well both straight up and vs the spread as the underdog, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.
Packers Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Packers have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- Across their last five home contests, Green Bay has been good against the spread posting a mark of 4-1. Their overall mark in these games was 3-2, while averaging 29 points per game.
- Green Bay has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.
Do the Saints Have a Shot at a Win at Green Bay?
As week 3 approaches, New Orleans is in 2nd place in the NFC-South, coming in with an overall record of 2-0. In the NFC, they currently reside in 5th place. The Saints’ scoring margin for the season is currently +2. This has contributed to their ATS record of 0-1-1.
In their last game, the Saints came out on top against the Panthers, winning by a score of 20-17. When it comes to the point spread, the Saints were favored by 3, resulting in an ATS push. In their most recent game against Carolina, the pre-game over/under line was set at 39.5 leading the under to hit with a combined total of 37 points.
New Orleans’ offense produced a total of 341 yards against the Panthers. When it came to third downs, the Saints had a conversion rate of 43.8%. The leading rusher for the Saints was Taysom Hill with 75 yards, and Derek Carr contributed 228 passing yards.
When it comes to defense, the Saints have given up 160 passing yards and 102 rushing yards per game. In terms of sacks, New Orleans ranks 4th among other defenses. Coming into week 3, they have allowed 16 points per game.
Can Green Bay Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?
Leading up to their matchup with Saints, the Packers are 1-1. They currently sit 1st in the NFC-North and are in 4th place in the NFC. Heading into this week’s matchup, the Packers have been the underdog in all of their first two games. Their current ATS record sits at 2-0, accompanied by a scoring margin of +8.5.
In week 3, the Packers will be looking to recover from the 25-24 loss they suffered against the Falcons. Even with a loss to Atlanta, the Packers did manage to cover the spread. They were 3-point underdogs going into the game. The over/under line for their game was set at 40 points, and the teams exceeded it with a combined total of 49 points.
On offense, Jordan Love ended with 151 passing yards on a completion rate of 56%. On the ground, the Packers ran the ball 21 times, amassing 84 yards. The team converted 3 third-downs at a rate of 33.3%.
On defense, the Packers conceded 446 yards of total offense to Atlanta. 211 of these yards were obtained on the ground, while the team’s secondary allowed 235 yards on 32 pass attempts.
Packers vs. Saints Player Prop
The passing yards prop for New Orleans quarterback Derek Carr is sitting at 242.5. According to the odds, there’s a 53% chance that he will exceed this mark, with an under payout of -119.
Carr comes into this game ranked 14th among quarterbacks in passing attempts. Thus far, he has thrown for 533 yards with a completion rate of 63.8%. With Carr up against a Packers defense that has been good at applying pressure on the quarterback, I’m leaning towards betting on the under for his prop of 242.5 passing yards.
The Prop: Derek Carr Under 242.5 Passing Yards (-119)
Packers VS. Saints Predictions
From the time the lines were first released, Green Bay has transitioned from -1.5 point favorites to their current line of -2 (-111). Conversely, New Orleans is currently +2 (-110) point underdogs on the road.
For the point spread, I’m backing New Orleans at +2. Packers QB Jordan Love has looked good for the most part this season, but this could be his toughest test against a legitimate New Orleans defense. In other words, Love is due for a bit of regression, while Saints QB Derek Carr will seemingly improve as he spends more time in this offense.
The Pick: Saints +2 | -110 at Fanduel Sportsbook
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