Do you want to take your NFL betting experience beyond just the scoreboard? NFL rushing props offer a unique way to engage with individual player performances rather than final scores for point spreads.
These specialized wagers let you bet on specific stats like total rushing yards, touchdowns, or the game’s longest run. Instead of following team results, you’re tracking individual achievements on every carry and burst through the line.
Whether you’re looking for the best NFL rushing prop bets today, or targeting season-long futures, this guide has you covered. We break down how rushing props work, highlight expert picks for today’s and season-long bets, and share strategies to help you maximize your returns and improve your win rate.
Best NFL rushing props available today
Below, we’ll break down our best season-long props for the upcoming 2025 season.
Josh Jacobs More Than 1009.5 Rushing Yards
Josh Jacobs had an outstanding first season with the Packers after spending his first five seasons with the Raiders. In his first five years, Jacobs had 1,150, 1,065, 872, an NFL-high 1,653, and 805 rushing yards. So, he exceeded 1009.5 rushing yards in three of his first five seasons in a dysfunctional Raiders organization.
Last year, he rumbled for 1,329 rushing yards (78.2 per game at 4.4 yards per carry) in 17 games for the Packers. Jacobs was sixth in the NFL in rushing and the focal point of Green Bay’s offense. According to RotoViz’s pace app, Green Bay was tied with Philadelphia for the highest situation-neutral rush rate (53%) in the 2025 regular season and postseason combined.
The Packers spent a first-round pick on wide receiver Matthew Golden and a third-round pick on wideout/gadget athlete Savion Williams, who’s drawn comparisons to Cordarrelle Patterson, in the NFL Draft. Therefore, the Packers might let Jordan Love air it out more often in 2025.
Still, the Packers are an excellent ecosystem for Jacobs’s rushing outlook. They were 11-6 with a +122 point differential in 2024 and are projected to be in the NFC North and the playoff hunt again this year. Jacobs should have ample neutral and positive game scripts in his future this year, making it highly likely he’ll eclipse 1,009.5 rushing yards again this season.
Where to play: Josh Jacobs More Than 1009.5 Rushing Yards | Underdog
Lamar Jackson Less Than 4.5 Rushing Touchdowns
I was torn between Lamar Jackson’s over for rushing yards (749.5) and his under for rushing touchdowns. According to Pro Football Reference, Jackson has rushed for over 749.5 yards in every season except his rookie campaign, when he started only seven games. His over for rushing yardage is an appealing bonus season-long pick ‘em selection at Underdog.
Still, injuries are an unfortunate part of the NFL, and Jackson played in 15 or fewer games in five straight seasons from 2019 through 2022, so he’s not a stranger to missing games. Yet, even with a clean bill of health last year, Jackson had only four rushing touchdowns. He’s fallen short of 4.5 rushing touchdowns in three of his previous four years.
Jackson’s big-play passing and rushing ability are undeniable. However, with Derrick Henry in the fold last year, the Ravens weren’t compelled to use the slender speedster’s legs in scoring territory. Instead, according to FantasyPros, Jackson had 18 rush attempts inside the 20-yard line last season, 13 inside the 15-yard line, eight inside the 10-yard line, and one inside the five-yard line. Henry is a bulldozer in scoring territory, and the Ravens don’t need to subject Jackson to unnecessary punishment. As a result, I expect the annual MVP contender and two-time MVP Award winner to fall short of 4.5 rushing touchdowns, even if Jackson is healthy all season.
Where to play: Lamar Jackson Less Than 4.5 Rushing Touchdowns | Underdog
The best sportsbooks for betting on NFL rushing props
The sportsbook(s) you use for NFL rushing props can affect the odds you get, the variety of rushing bets available, and any bonuses tied to your wagers. Below, we break down the top sportsbooks for rushing props based on bet selection, pricing, and new user offers.
DraftKings
DraftKings offers one of the most comprehensive selections of NFL rushing props in the industry. Their user-friendly interface makes it easy to find and place bets on rushing yards, touchdowns, and even more specialized markets like the longest rush of the game.
The platform consistently posts competitive odds and frequently offers odds boosts on popular rushing props. The sportsbook is particularly known for its variety of alternative rushing yard lines, providing flexibility to find better value
The mobile app provides a seamless experience for tracking your rushing props in real-time with live updates during games. New players can also enjoy a deposit match bonus up to $1,000 when depositing at least $5 and entering the promo code.
FanDuel
FanDuel features an extensive array of NFL rushing props with a clean, intuitive interface that makes prop betting straightforward. They’re known for posting their prop markets earlier in the week than many competitors, giving you more time to research and find value.
It excels with their Same Game Parlay feature, allowing you to combine rushing props with other bet types for higher potential payouts. Their odds are consistently competitive, and they offer frequent promotions specifically for player props.
As a new player, place your first bet of at least $5 and get $200 in bonus bets if you win.
Caesars
Caesars provides a robust selection of NFL rushing props with some of the most competitive odds in the industry. They’re particularly known for their generous odds boosts on rushing props, especially for primetime games.
Their platform features a variety of options, from rushing yards and touchdowns to more exotic props. The platform stands out for its excellent customer service and user experience on both desktop and mobile.
The current welcome offer includes ten 100% profit boost tokens, up to a $25 Max Bet Per Boost. Caesars is an excellent choice for bettors who value quality odds and regular promotions.
BetMGM
BetMGm offers a wide variety of NFL rushing props with an easy-to-navigate platform. Their “Easy Parlay” feature simplifies combining rushing props with other bet types. They also frequently provide exclusive rushing prop markets that are not found elsewhere.
The platform is known for its competitive odds and early lines on rushing props. Their live betting interface allows for in-game rushing prop wagering with minimal delay.
New users can claim a first bet bonus of up to $1,500, receiving bet credits if their initial wager loses. The strong mobile app makes BetMGM a solid choice for on-the-go prop betting.
Fanatics
Fanatics Sportsbook is a newer entrant to the sports betting market, but is quickly establishing itself with competitive NFL prop offerings. While their rushing prop selection isn’t as extensive as some competitors, they provide all the major markets, including rushing yards, touchdowns, and attempts.
It stands out with its loyalty program, rewarding consistent bettors. The user interface is clean and straightforward, making it easy to find and place prop bets.
New customers can claim up to $300 in bonus bets when betting $30.
What single-game rushing prop bets can you make?
Single-game rushing prop bets focus on predicting specific outcomes related to a running back’s performance in one game. These bets are exciting because they allow you to capitalize on matchups, game flow, and immediate factors without predicting a game’s final score or point spread.
Player rushing yards over/under (single game)
Sportsbooks set a rushing yardage total for a player, and you bet on whether the player will go over or under that number. Key factors include matchup strength against weak rush defenses, game flow favoring teams with leads, and offensive line performance.
Weather conditions and last-minute injury reports can significantly impact rushing workloads and yardage.
Example: Saquon Barkley’s rushing yards line is 85.8 against the Eagles. If you bet the over, and Barkley runs for 103 yards, he’s surpassed the yardage total and you’ve won your bet.
Player rushing touchdowns (single game)
This bet involves wagering on whether a player will score at least one rushing touchdown in a game. Some sportsbooks offer multiple touchdown bets.
Key factors to consider include red-zone efficiency, as players who get the ball near the goal line have a higher chance of scoring. The opposing defense also plays a role, with weak defenses allowing more rushing touchdowns.
Additionally, team scoring potential matters, as high-scoring teams create more opportunities for touchdowns. Play-calling can indicate whether a team favors the run in short-yardage situations.
Example: Joe Mixon has a rushing touchdown line of 0.5 against the Ravens. You’ll win if Mixon scores one touchdown when you bet the over.
Player rushing attempts over/under (single game)
This bet focuses on how often a player will carry the ball during a game, rather than the total yardage gained. Game script is a key factor, as teams leading games often run more late, increasing attempts.
Matachup analysis is important too, with run-heavy teams playing weak defences likely to call more rushing plays. Depth chart changes can also impact attempts, particularly when injuries or backups split carries, shifting the workload.
Finally, weather conditions like heavy rain or snow could lead to injuries in rushing plays.
Example: The sportsbook has a rushing attempts line set at 18.5 for Najee Harris against the Bengals. If you bet the under and he carries the ball 16 times, your bet wins.
Anytime rushing touchdown scorer
This prop allows you to wager on whether a specific player will score a rushing touchdown at any point during the game. Key factors to consider include red-zone and goal-line usage, as players frequently used in these situations have higher chances of scoring.
Team scoring potential plays a role, with more offensive success leading to more touchdown chances. Matchup strength is another factor, as weak defensive opponents provide more opportunities. Game flow can also impact this bet—teams leading late often run the ball closer to the goal line.
Example: You bet on Austin Ekeler to score a rushing touchdown against the Chiefs. If Ekeler scores on a 5-yard run in the third quarter, your bet wins.
Esoteric single-game rushing prop bets
Riskier or niche bets include:
- Longest rush over/under: Bet on whether a player’s longest run will exceed a set distance. High risk since one play determines the outcome.
- First player to rush for 100 yards: Wager on which player reaches this milestone first. It’s risky, as timing matters more than overall performance.
- Multiple rushing touchdowns: Bet on whether a player will score two or more rushing touchdowns in a game. This bet is high-variance, as even elite running backs rarely score multiple times.
These exotic bets offer excitement but involve higher risk, so it’s generally best to focus on well-researched standard props.
What season-long rushing prop bets can you make?
Season-long rushing props are bets that focus exclusively on a player’s rushing performance over a season, rather than the final score or point spread. These wagers allow you to track and anticipate specific in-game statistics from total rushing yards to the game’s longest run.
Instead of betting on whether a team will win or lose, rushing props shift the focus to individual performances. This is perfect for fans who love dissecting matchups, analyzing player tendencies, and following game scripts.
NFL rushing props function similarly to other sports bets in that sportsbooks set a line, and you decide which side to take. What sets rushing props apart is their focus on individual player performance rather than team results.
There are multiple ways to bet on rushing stats in the NFL, each with a unique perspective on a player’s performance. Here are some of the most common options:
Season rushing yards leader
This market allows bettors to predict which player will lead the league in total rushing yards throughout the season. Sportsbooks provide odds for top contenders, and factors like offensive schemes, durability, and strength of schedule all play significant roles.
A running back on a team that prioritizes the ground may have an edge. Injuries or game scripts that favor passing attacks could impact a player’s chances. Keeping track of team trends and workload distribution is key to making an informed bet.
Example: The sportsbook sets a line of 1,500.5 rushing yards for Derrick Henry. You bet the over, meaning you need Henry to finish with over 1,500 rushing yards. If Henry accumulates 1,623 yards by season’s end, your bet wins.
Season rushing touchdowns leader
Similar to the rushing yards leader market, this bet focuses on which player will score the most rushing touchdowns in a season. Red-zone opportunities, offensive line strength, and coaching tendencies heavily influence this category.
For example, a team with a power running back who consistently gets goal-line carries may be a strong contender. On the other hand, if a team frequently uses quarterback sneaks or gadget plays, it could reduce a running back’s touchdown potential.
Example: Jonathan Taylor has a rushing touchdown line of 14.5 for the season. You bet the under, and Taylor finishes with 13 rushing touchdowns. Your bet wins because he fell short of the projected total.
Player-specific rushing yards over/under
Sportsbooks set a projected rushing yard total for a player, and you wager on whether the total will go over or under that number. For example, if a player’s rushing line is set at 89.5 yards, you’re betting on whether he’ll exceed or fall short of that mark.
Much like betting on the NFL Draft No. 1 Pick Odds, a player’s rushing yard line can shift based on performance trends, injury updates, or matchups. A standout performance against a weak defense could push the number higher in the following weeks, while a poor outing may result in a lower total.
Example: The sportsbook sets Christian McCaffrey’s season rushing yards at 1,250.5. If you wager on the over, your bet will win if he finishes with 1,275 rushing yards.
Player-specific rushing touchdowns over/under
This market focuses on whether a player will score more or fewer rushing touchdowns than the sportsbook’s assigned number. If a player’s touchdown line is set as 0.5, you’re wagering on whether he’ll score at least one rushing touchdown in a given game.
Example: Nick Chubb’s rushing touchdown total is set at 9.5 for the season. If you take the under bet, and he scores 9 rushing touchdowns, your bet wins, as he didn’t reach the threshold.
Key factors to watch include team red-zone efficiency, play-calling tendencies near the goal line, and the presence of other scoring threats. Just like how draft odds fluctuate based on shifting team needs, player-specific touchdown lines can move if a key offensive piece is injured or if a team changes its strategy.
When setting lines for rushing props, oddsmakers consider several factors. A player’s performance history of rushing stats provides a baseline for projections. If the team is facing a top-ranked run defence or a bottom-tier defence can significantly impact expectations.
Game script expectations determine if a team is favored by a large margin. Their running back may get more carries to protect a lead. Injury news and depth chart changes reveal if a running back is injured or limited. Backups may see an increased workload, shifting the prop lines.
Once a line is set, betting activity can move the number, meaning odds and totals may shift before kickoff.
NFL rushing props offer an exciting way to follow the game beyond the usual team-focused bets. Whether you’re tracking a star running back’s performance or seeing how game flow affects carries, these props bring a unique dimension to NFL betting.
As with all sports wagers, staying informed about player trends, team dynamics, and game conditions enhances the experience. With all these factors in play, rushing props make every handoff, juke, and sprint to the end zone more thrilling.
When do sportsbooks release rushing props?
Understanding the timing of rushing prop releases helps bettors find the best value in season-long and single-game markets.
Season-long rushing props — These props typically appear after the NFL draft and major free agency moves in late spring. Sportsbooks adjust throughout training camp and preseason based on injuries, depth chart changes, and team news.
Single-game rushing props — Props for individual games are usually posted by Tuesday for Thursday games and by Wednesday for Sunday/Monday matchups. Lines adjust mid-week based on practice reports, injuries, and betting activity, with final changes possible right before kickoff due to weather or last-minute injury updates.
Timing and betting strategy — Early bets offer value but carry higher risk, mid-week bets balance new information with decent odds, while last-minute bets use the most accurate data but face tighter lines. Tracking release patterns and new information helps maximize success.
Tips and strategies for betting on NFL rushing props
Successful rushing prop betting requires quick research, disciplined bankroll management, and quick value identification. Concentrate on key metrics like attempts per game, yards per carry, and red zone usage while evaluating defensive rankings and offensive line performance.
Line shopping is crucial. Even small differences in rushing totals significantly impact win rates over time. Compare multiple sportsbooks to secure the best numbers and track sharp betting action for insights into where professionals see value.
Stay alert to last-minute injury reports, weather changes, and coaching insights. These factors can dramatically alter rushing prop outcomes and create opportunities on mispriced lines before sportsbooks adjust.
What are some common mistakes to avoid when betting on NFL rushing props?
Even experienced bettors can make costly errors when wagering on NFL rushing props. Avoiding these common mistakes can improve your betting success over time.
Overreacting to in-game injuries or isolated news — Reacting too quickly to breaking news, like a running back being listed as questionable, can lead to poor decisions. Instead of blindly betting the under, consider the team’s overall game plan, offensive adjustments, and historical trends in similar situations.
Ignoring line movement and betting trends — Rushing prop lines fluctuate based on sharp action, public money, and team updates. Failing to monitor these shifts can mean missing key value. Track line movement across multiple sportsbooks and watch for reverse line moves, which indicate professional betting activity.
Misjudging matchup impacts on player performance — Defensive rankings alone don’t tell the full story. Some defenses struggle against power backs but shut down elusive runners. Consider individual matchups, offensive line play, and expected game script when analyzing a rushing prop bet.
By staying disciplined, analyzing key factors, and avoiding these pitfalls, you’ll improve your chances of long-term success in the rushing prop market.
Live betting on NFL rushing props
Live betting lets you wager on NFL rushing props after kickoff, reacting to unfolding events and real-time player performance.
Watch for discrepancies between sportsbook adjustments and actual game flow to identify value in live betting. Key factors include:
- Game script shifts: If a team is expected to pass jumps to an early lead, they may run more than anticipated.
- Play-calling trends: Some teams stick to their game plan, while others adjust based on score.
- Defensive changes: Adjustments like stacking the box can impact a running back’s efficiency.
- Player usage: Unexpected carries for a backup RB may signal a shift in workload.
- Weather impact: Worsening conditions can lead to increased rushing volume.
Timing is everything in live betting, and recognizing the right moments can provide an edge. Early in the game, unexpected usage patterns can signal a shift in the game plan. Injuries also create betting opportunities, as losing key defenders or offensive linemen can significantly impact rushing effectiveness.
Halftime adjustments are another crucial factor, as coaches often tweak their strategies based on first-half performance. Major score changes can also dictate rushing trends. A trailing team may abandon the run, while a leading team may run more.
Worsening weather conditions, like heavy rain or strong winds, often lead to a run-focused approach. This makes live bets on rushing props more appealing.
Notable benefits of live betting are that you gain real-time insights, can react to game developments, and find value that sportsbooks may miss. Live betting also boosts engagement while watching games.
On the other hand, risks include rapidly changing odds, leaving little time for analysis. Emotional betting can lead to poor decisions, and overreacting to small sample sizes may cause misjudgments. To manage risks, establish clear betting criteria, set a bankroll for live wagers, and stay disciplined.
Live betting on rushing props adds excitement and strategic depth to NFL wagering. You can turn real-time observations into profitable betting opportunities by staying informed and making calculated decisions.
How to parlay NFL rushing props
Parlaying NFL rushing props combines multiple bets into one wager, increasing potential payouts but also raising the risk. If all bets hit, the payout multiplies significantly compared to separate wagers, but one missed leg results in a total loss.
A same-game parlay (SGP) allows bettors to combine multiple rushing props from the same game. For example, a parlay on Over 50.5 rushing yards, anytime touchdown, and the team’s total points over could offer higher returns due to correlation. Sportsbooks adjust odds for correlated bets.
Parlays offer both risks and rewards. The benefits include higher payouts, smaller upfront stakes, and increased engagement. However, the all-or-nothing nature, inflated sportsbook margins, and conflicting bets make parlays harder to win. To improve success, focus on correlated bets, like pairing rushing yards over with rushing attempts over.
Limiting parlays to two or three legs increases your chances of success, while shopping for the best lines across sportsbooks helps maximize value. Alternatives like round robins and SGP insurance can further reduce risk. With a strategic approach, NFL rushing prop parlays can be exciting and rewarding.
How do sportsbooks set & adjust NFL rushing prop odds?
Sportsbooks set NFL rushing prop odds using stats, matchups, and betting trends.
Oddsmakers analyze player performance, offensive schemes, and team tendencies. A run-heavy team or a strong offensive line boosts a player’s projection. Opposing defenses, game flow, and weather conditions also impact rushing props. Teams with big leads tend to run more, while bad weather favors the ground game.
News and injuries can shift lines before kickoff. A running back’s total may drop if a key offensive lineman is out. Expert insights, coach comments, and sharp bets also influence adjustments. When professional bettors hammer one side, sportsbooks react quickly.
Breaking news can cause last-minute shifts. A surprise injury or worsening weather may change a rushing line just before kickoff.
Understanding these factors helps you find value and make smarter bets. Stay informed, and you’ll have an edge in NFL rushing props.
Resources for staying updated on rushing props
Winning NFL rushing prop bets requires accurate, timely information from reliable resources.
Start with odds comparison sites like Action Network, Odds Checker, and The Lines. They let you see rushing prop odds from multiple sportsbooks in one place, so you can quickly spot the best value.
Next, dive into stats. Pro Football Reference gives you historical rushing data, while NFL Next Gen Stats goes deeper with advanced metrics like yards after contact and rushing efficiency.
Injuries matter…a lot! A last-minute scratch or even a limited practice can shift a running back’s workload. Keep an eye on updates from Rotoworld and NFL.com.
Weather can be just as important. Rain, snow, or heavy winds can increase rushing volume but might hurt efficiency, so checking game-day forecasts is a smart move.
Beyond raw data, expert analysis can give you an edge. FantasyPro and ESPN Fantasy break down matchups, while Pro Football Focus grades offensive lines and running backs to reveal trends before they hit the mainstream. Beat reporters and team insiders often have inside scoops on player usage and game plans, and podcasts like The Athletic and ESPN bring film study into the mix.
The key to success is to use multiple sources, track injury reports, and set alerts for line movements. NFL rushing props aren’t just a fun way to bet…with the right approach, they can be profitable.
Finding and comparing the best NFL passing prop bets
Finding value in NFL rushing props takes more than picking your favorite running back. To maximize profits, compare odds across sportsbooks, track betting trends, and factor in key variables like injuries and weather.
Odds can vary significantly between platforms. One book might list a player’s rushing total at 92.5 yards while another has it as 89.5. That small difference adds up over time. Shopping around ensures you get the best number, which means the difference between winning and losing.
Tracking the line movement is just as important. If a rushing prop jumps from 85.5 to 89.5 shortly after opening, sharp bettors likely saw value in the over. Late-breaking news can also create hidden opportunities before sportsbooks adjust.
Injuries and weather play a huge role, too. Offensive line absences often go overlooked but can significantly impact rushing efficiency. Bad weather might increase rushing volume, but slippery conditions could reduce big plays. Knowing how specific teams and players respond to these factors gives you an edge.
Conclusion
NFL rushing props offer a dynamic way to engage with football beyond traditional bets. You can identify valuable betting opportunities that others might miss by analyzing offensive schemes, defensive weaknesses, player workloads, and weather conditions.
Whether tracking season leaders or predicting single-game performances, success comes from thorough research and disciplined bankroll management. The ability to spot value before lines shift is another crucial factor in making profitable NFL rushing prop bets.
Stay current with player tendencies, leverage live betting opportunities when appropriate, and refine your approach based on results. With practice and patience, NFL rushing props can become an exciting and profitable addition to your football betting experience.
