Celtics Vs Warriors Player Props: Klay Thompson Tops Game 5 Props

It all comes down to this. The NBA Finals are here, and you better believe our Warriors vs Celtics player props are here as well.

The Warriors tied the series at 2-2, and the Finals will shift back to San Francisco for Game 5. As a result, Golden State is in the driver’s seat. The Warriors are a 3.5-point favorite for Monday’s Game 5 matchup, and they’re -130 to win the series.

Let’s dive into our top Warriors vs Celtics player props for Game 5. We’ll feature a pair of value-based player props from both squads.

Odds via DraftKings and updated as of 1:30 p.m. ET on June 12.

Celtics vs Warriors Player Props

Golden State Warriors SF Andrew Wiggins

The prop: Over 6.5 rebounds
The odds: -140

I loved the over on Wiggins’ rebound prop in the last game, and he responded with a whopping 16 boards. Not only was that his top mark of the postseason, but it was also the highest mark of his career.

With that in mind, it’s not surprising to see this prop inflate to 6.5 rebounds. Some may believe that number is too high, as Wiggins averaged 6.8 rebounds per playoff game prior to the 16-board eruption. However, the Warriors made tweaks to their rotation, which should continue to benefit Wiggins on the glass.

First, the team decided to move center Kevon Looney to the bench in favor of wing Otto Porter. Wiggins has increased his rebound rate by nearly a full percentage point with Looney off the court during the postseason, resulting in an average of 8.1 rebounds per 36 minutes.

Additionally, the Warriors benched Draymond Green for large stretches of the fourth quarter. That should also benefit Wiggins on the glass, who played nearly 43.5 minutes in Game 4. Overall, there are plenty of reasons to back the over with Wiggins again on Monday.

Golden State Warriors SG Klay Thompson

The prop: Over 3.5 made 3-pointers
The odds: +100

The decision to bench Green should have a massive impact on the Warriors’ offense moving forward.

Golden State averaged 137.9 points per 100 possessions with Green off the court in Game 4 compared to 98.5 with him on the floor. That’s quite the disparity. The Celtics are ignoring Green when the Warriors are on offense, and that strategy has worked for the most part throughout this series. As a result, expect the Warriors to play more without Green in Game 5, which should benefit the rest of their scoring threats.

Thompson hasn’t shot the ball extremely well in this series, but he continues to launch plenty of 3-pointers. He’s averaged 9.5 attempts from deep in four games this series. He has launched at least 10 three-point attempts in each of his last two.

Thompson is a better than 40% three-point shooter for his career, so he should be able to hit the Over if he sees 9-10 attempts (or more) in Game 5. I’m happy to grab the over at even-money.

Boston Celtics PF Jayson Tatum

The prop: Over 40.5 points + rebounds + assists
The odds: +100

One of the biggest storylines of this series has been the disappearance of Tatum. Don’t get me wrong, it’s not like Tatum has been bad against the Warriors, but he’s been quiet. The Celtics’ superstar is averaging 22.3 points per game in the Finals. That’s compared to a 27.0 ppg playoff average prior to the Finals.

Tatum has made up for it in other areas – averaging 7.0 rebounds and 7.8 assists – but his pedestrian scoring numbers have tamed the points + rebounds + assists prop.

There are reasons to expect Tatum to bounce back in the scoring department. He’s shot just 34.1% from the field in this series, which is well below his regular-season average of 45.3%. That’s essentially the same as his shooting percentage (45%) in the first three rounds of the playoffs. Translation: He should climb back to that baseline soon.

Tatum racked up 40 points + rebounds + assists in Game 4 despite making just 8-of-23 shots, so asking him to make one more shot in Game 5 seems reasonable.

Boston Celtics PF Grant Williams

The prop: Under 5.5 points
The odds: -130

Williams had some moments in the early rounds of the postseason, particularly against the Bucks. He was instrumental in defending Giannis Antetokounmpo, and he knocked down seven 3-pointers in Boston’s epic Game 7 win over Milwaukee.

However, Williams’ role has decreased as the postseason has progressed. He logged just 12.5 minutes in Game 4, and Williams is not a scoring threat. He averaged just 7.8 points per game in 24.4 minutes during the regular season, so his scoring expectation is way lower given his current role in the rotation.

Look Under 5.5 points in Game 5.