Looking for the best MLB prop bets today? The Props crew compiles their favorite picks for every day of the baseball season.
Below are our top MLB player props across different categories like strikeouts, home run props, and total bases. We also have team MLB prop bets like NRFI props and same-game parlay picks included.
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Best MLB Player Props Today – Friday, May 16
Our analysts have done their due diligence to pinpoint their favorite MLB prop bets. Let’s see which props they like most today.
Jose Ramirez More Than 1.5 Total Bases
Ramirez comes into Friday’s matchup against familiar foe Brady Singer with a .295 average, .873 OPS and an average of 1.9 total bases, with the latter figure partly a byproduct of 16 extra-base hits (eight doubles, eight homers). Ramirez has also been at his best on the road by far, forging a .333 average, 1.026 OPS and .426 wOBA in that split.
As those away numbers imply, the switch-hitting Ramirez has been good when hitting from either side of the plate. Against righties outside of Progressive Field, he’s managed a .280 average, .913 OPS, .392 wOBA and 157 wRC+. Meanwhile, he’s been a frequent tormentor of Singer, against whom he’s accrued a .444 average with 23 total bases (seven singles, two doubles, three homers) in 35 career plate appearances.
Ramirez has also enjoyed his visits to hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark in the past, as he owns a .289/.353/.553 slash line and 48 total bases there in 22 career games, an average of 2.2 per contest. Meanwhile, Singer does have some very impressive numbers at home, but he’s gotten a big assist from an unusually low .154 BABIP against in that split and also has a 1.2 HR/9 there across 22.1 innings.
Given how the entire statistical profile lines up for him Friday and Cleveland’s solid 4.8 projected run total, I’m in on this prop.
Where to play: Jose Ramirez More Than 1.5 Total Bases (1.83x payout) | Sleeper
Corbin Burnes Less Than 1.5 Earned Runs Allowed
Burnes got his Diamondbacks tenure off to an uneven start, but he’s hit his stride with four quality starts in his last five outings. Even the one trip to the mound in that sample that didn’t qualify wasn’t a poor one by any stretch, as Burnes still yielded the requisite three runs (one earned) but came two outs shorts of qualifying for the quality start and also recorded eight strikeouts.
Burnes is now sitting on a 2-1 record and 2.95 ERA, and he’s posted a 1.96 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and 0.5 HR/9 across 18.1 innings at home. Friday, he faces a Rockies team that frequently struggles outside Coors Field and whose current hitters he’s limited to a middling .234 average in 55 career encounters. Colorado is also averaging an MLB-low 6.1 hits and 2.1 runs per road game while generating a .189/.250/.287 slash line, .243 wOBA, -43.6 wRAA and 28.3% strikeout rate in that split.
The Rockies are projected for only 3.2 runs Friday night, and as just noted, they’ve averaged appreciably less than that per road game. Burnes has allowed a total of two earned runs across the 18.1 innings covering his last three starts, and one earned run in the 12.1 innings during that span that unfolded at home. He most recently blanked the Dodgers at Chase Field over seven innings on Saturday, which certainly gives him more than enough credibility for us to try and capitalize on this very appealing payout.
Where to play: Corbin Burnes Less Than 1.5 Earned Runs Allowed (2.07x payout) | Sleeper
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Top MLB DFS Pick’Em Apps
We love the MLB DFS pick’em projections available at top-flight daily fantasy sites like Underdog and Sleeper. They offer a very similar experience to player props.
You’ll often find a lot of value and strong payouts available at legal DFS sites. These apps are also available in many states that don’t yet have legal online sports betting.
Top Sportsbooks For MLB Props & Bets
The sportsbooks and daily fantasy sites featured in this article offer more than enough options to satisfy your MLB player props needs. As outlined before, always shop around for the best price when it comes to NBA player props.
You can’t go wrong with BetMGM, Caesars, and FanDuel Sportsbook when it comes to any kind of sports bet. Take a look at the following guides to see if these sportsbooks are legal in your state:
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What Is A Player Prop?
A prop bet is a newer way to bet on sports in the US sports betting industry, but it has been around for a long time. Prop betting used to be only offered at the Super Bowl or other major sporting events, but that is no longer the case.
The term prop bet stands for a propositional bet, and it’s a wager that typically doesn’t have anything to do with the final score of a game. Prop bets can be made throughout a game, or you can extend this type of wager into a full season.
MLB Prop Options
Now that you understand the difference between fun and skill prop bets, you also need to know when and what betting options are available. Each sportsbook will have different MLB prop betting markets, but there are some very similar options that you will find as well.
MLB Player Prop Bets
Prop betting is dependent on the bettor as to which is the most popular option, but sportsbooks tend to offer more player prop betting markets than any other kind. A player prop bet is a wager placed on just one player, and it usually focuses on a specific statistic.
There are times that sportsbooks will put two players against each other to create a prop bet, but that is similar to what a DFS game looks like. Player prop betting usually focuses on the top players in each MLB game.
Here are some MLB player prop options:
- Will Gerrit have over/under 9.5 strikeouts?
- Will Kris Bryant hit a home run in this game?
MLB Team Prop Bets
A team prop is similar to an individual prop bet, but the wager focuses on an entire team rather than just one player. This is another prop betting option that will have more markets when a better matchup is being played.
Here are some potential team prop betting options that you would see at a sportsbook:
- Will the Chicago Cubs score over/under 5.5 total runs?
- Will there be a run in the first inning? Also known as NRFI or YRFI.
- The team that leads after 5 innings: Mets, Red Sox, or Tie
Full Season MLB Prop Bets
If you are a sports bettor who enjoys making futures bets, you will likely be interested in a full-season MLB prop bet. These are bets that don’t just cover one game in the season but take a look at the entire schedule in its entirety.
Both individual and team prop betting options will be included when it comes to a full-season MLB prop bet. These bets are usually open months before a season begins, and they might close once the games are underway.
Here are some potential options of what you might see:
- Best record in baseball: American League or National League
- Will any player win the Triple Crown? Yes or no
- Who will win the NL MVP or AL MVP?
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MLB Prop Betting Tips
Now that you have a better understanding of how MLB prop betting works, it is time to take a look at some MLB prop betting tips that you can use to be successful.
Location Of Game
There isn’t a major home-field advantage when it comes to MLB games, but the location of a game does matter. Each ballpark is unique around baseball, and those different fields affect the MLB prop betting matchups.
You also need to check the weather for each game before placing an MLB prop bet as well. Most bettors always do this when betting on a baseball game, but it needs to be done when making an MLB prop betting wager as well.
Pitching Matchups
No matter what type of MLB bet you are looking to make, you always need to start your research by looking at the starting pitching matchups. Other factors determine an MLB game, but everything starts on the mound.
If you are betting on a particular batter’s performance in a game, you need to be sure that he isn’t facing one of the best pitchers in baseball. You also don’t want to make a player prop bet on a pitcher facing a tremendous offensive lineup.
Slumps vs. Streaks
Since the MLB season is so long, players and teams tend to go through long streaks at different season points. Looking at recent trends is one of the first things you will want to look at before making a prop betting wager.
These trends can always change, but finding out which players and teams are streaking and slumping can help you make successful MLB prop wagers. This can help in all forms of MLB betting, but it is especially true when focusing on props.