Looking for the best MLB prop bets today? The Props crew compiles their favorite picks for every day of the baseball season.
Below are our top MLB player props across different categories like strikeouts, home runs, and total bases. We also have team MLB prop bets like NRFI props and same-game parlay picks included.
Best MLB Prop Bets Today – World Series Game 3 (Monday, Oct. 28)
Our analysts have done their due diligence to pinpoint their favorite MLB prop bets. Let’s see which props they like most today.
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Aaron Judge Under 1.5 HRRs
Judge has been ice-cold in the MLB playoffs, and I don’t expect that to change tonight. He’s currently 1-for-9 in the World Series with 6 strikeouts. He also doesn’t have any walks, suggesting he isn’t seeing the ball that well.
Judge gets a decent matchup against Walker Buehler. He hasn’t performed well in 2024, struggling with walks, contact, and most aspects of pitching. He’s coming off of a good start against the New York Mets, allowing only 3 hits without any earned runs.
Judge will benefit from playing at home, and he’s always one swing away from beating this number. That said, he’s struggling quite a bit at this point in the season. I’m also not expecting Buehler to have an overly long leash in this game.
It’s also important to mention that walks don’t count as HRRs. Buehler’s been known to struggle with control, and he could opt to give Judge a free pass if he falls behind in the count.
Where to play: Aaron Judge under 1.5 HRRs | -105 at Fliff
Walker Buehler More Than 2.5 Earned Runs (2.08x)
Walker Buehler has had a dreadful season. According to FanGraphs, in 16 starts spanning 75.1 innings in the regular season, he had a 5.38 ERA, 4.68 xERA, 4.49 xFIP, 4.54 SIERA, 1.55 WHIP, 1.91 HR/9, 8.1 BB%, 18.6 K%, 26.0 CSW%, 94 Stuff+, 101 Location+, and 100 Pitching+.
The postseason hasn’t assuaged concerns about him, either. Sure, he threw 4.0 shutout innings against the Mets. However, Buehler also coughed up six earned runs in 5.0 innings to the Padres. In two playoff starts lasting 9.0 innings, he’s had a 6.00 ERA, 5.18 xFIP, 4.55 SIERA, 1.44 WHIP, 7.1 BB%, and 14.3 K%.
The veteran righty also had notable home and road splits this year. Buehler was a trainwreck on the road. In 30.1 innings on the road in the regular season, Buehler had a 6.53 ERA, 5.24 xFIP, 1.71 WHIP, 1.56 HR/9, 11.1 BB%, and 17.4 K%.
Buehler has allowed more than 2.5 earned runs more often than he’s held opponents under that threshold this year. In 18 starts, which includes the playoffs, Buehler has yielded over 2.5 earned runs 11 times.
He’ll have a difficult time avoiding another messy start tonight. The Yankees are an offensive juggernaut. The Bronx Bombers were first in wRC+ (120) versus righties and fifth in wRC+ (116) at home in the regular season. New York should hang more than 2.5 earned runs on Buehler tonight.
Where to play: Walker Buehler More Than 2.5 Earned Runs | 2.08x at Sleeper Fantasy
PrizePicks and other DFS apps offer fantasy prop picks in most U.S. states. See which DFS apps are available in your state with the Props.com guide to the best DFS apps.
More MLB Props
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Wondering if MLB betting is available in your state? Check out our guide to the Best MLB Betting Sites.
What Is A Prop Bet?
A prop bet is a newer way to bet on sports in the US sports betting industry, but it has been around for a long time. Prop betting used to be only offered at the Super Bowl or other major sporting events, but that is no longer the case.
The term prop bet stands for a propositional bet, and it’s a wager that typically doesn’t have anything to do with the final score of a game. Prop bets can be made throughout a game, or you can extend this type of wager into a full season.
MLB Prop Betting Options
Now that you understand the difference between fun and skill prop bets, you also need to know when and what betting options are available. Each sportsbook will have different MLB prop betting markets, but there are some very similar options that you will find as well.
MLB Player Prop Bets
Prop betting ly dependent on the bettor as to which is the most popular option, but sportsbooks tend to offer more player prop betting markets than any other kind. A player prop bet is a wager placed on just one player, and it usually focuses on a specific statistic.
There are times that sportsbooks will put two players against each other to create a prop bet, but that is similar to what a DFS game looks like. Player prop betting usually focuses on the top players in each MLB game.
Here are some MLB player prop options:
- Will Gerrit have over/under 9.5 strikeouts?
- Will Kris Bryant hit a home run in this game?
Additionally, you can see each of these in action along with detailed analysis in our dedicated MLB player prop articles:
MLB Team Prop Bets
A team prop is similar to an individual prop bet, but the wager focuses on an entire team rather than just one player. This is another prop betting option that will have more markets when a better matchup is being played.
Here are some potential team prop betting options that you would see at a sportsbook:
- Will the Chicago Cubs score over/under 5.5 total runs?
- Will there be a run in the first inning? Also known as NRFI or YRFI.
- The team that leads after 5 innings: Mets, Red Sox, or Tie
Full Season MLB Prop Bets
If you are a sports bettor who enjoys making Futuresbetst, you will likely be interested in a full-season MLB prop bet. These are bets that don’t just cover one game in the season but take a look at the entire schedule in its entirety.
Both individual and team prop betting options will be included when it comes to a full-season MLB prop bet. These bets are usually open months before a season begins, and they might close once the games are underway.
Here are some potential options of what you might see:
- Best record in baseball: American League or National League
- Will any player win the Triple Crown? Yes or no
- Who will win the NL MVP or AL MVP?
Where To Place MLB Prop Bets
The following sportsbooks have more than enough options to satisfy your MLB prop bets needs. As outlined before, always shop around for the best price when it comes to MLB prop bets.
On top of that, our team spent the time to find the best available bonus offers at each listed sportsbook. If you are new to any of these betting apps, be sure to use our exclusive links and promo codes to claim your free bets:
Top Sportsbooks For MLB Props
- Fliff (available in 40+ states)
- Bet365 (click here for our full review)
- DraftKings Sportsbook (click here for our full review)
- FanDuel Sportsbook (click here for our full review)
- Caesars Sportsbook (click here for our full review)
- BetMGM (click here for our full review)
- BetRivers (click here for our full review)
Best Fantasy Props Sites For MLB Props
Top Online Sportsbook And DFS Bonuses By State
Click on your state from the list below to see the best online sportsbooks and daily fantasy sites available in your area:
- Alabama
- Arizona
- California
- Colorado
- Florida
- Georgia
- Illinois
- Indiana
- Kansas
- Kentucky
- Maryland
- Massachusetts
- Michigan
- Missouri
- Nebraska
- New Jersey
- New York
- North Carolina
- Ohio
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- South Carolina
- Tennessee
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MLB Prop Betting Tips
Now that you have a better understanding of how MLB prop betting works, it is time to take a look at some MLB prop betting tips that you can use to be successful.
Location Of Game
There isn’t a major home-field advantage when it comes to MLB games, but the location of a game does matter. Each ballpark is unique around baseball, and those different fields affect the MLB prop betting matchups.
You also need to check the weather for each game before placing an MLB prop bet as well. Most bettors always do this when betting on a baseball game, but it needs to be done when making an MLB prop betting wager as well.
Pitching Matchups
No matter what type of MLB bet you are looking to make, you always need to start your research by looking at the starting pitching matchups. Other factors determine an MLB game, but everything starts on the mound.
If you are betting on a particular batter’s performance in a game, you need to be sure that he isn’t facing one of the best pitchers in baseball. You also don’t want to make a player prop bet on a pitcher facing a tremendous offensive lineup.
Slumps Vs Streaks
Since the MLB season is so long, players and teams tend to go through long streaks at different season points. Looking at recent trends is one of the first things you will want to look at before making a prop betting wager.
These trends can always change, but finding out which players and teams are streaking and slumping can help you make successful MLB prop wagers. This can help in all forms of MLB betting, but it is especially true when focusing on props.