Looking for the best MLB prop bets today? The Props crew compiles their favorite picks for every day of the baseball season.
Below are our top MLB player props across different categories like strikeouts, home run props, and total bases. We also have team MLB prop bets like NRFI props and same-game parlay picks included.
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Best MLB Player Props Today – Monday, April 14
Our analysts have done their due diligence to pinpoint their favorite MLB prop bets. Let’s see which props they like most today.
Shane Baz Higher Than 6.5 Strikeouts
Baz came back from a missed 2023 season due to Tommy John surgery in fine form a year ago, posting a 4-3 record, 3.06 ERA, 1.06 WHIP and 11.5% swinging strike rate over 14 starts. That helped work off some of the rust of the long layoff, and Baz has come out in even more impressive fashion this season.
The fireballing right-hander has picked an mile per hour back up on his average fastball velocity, pushing that figure up to a blistering 96.7% through 13 innings (two starts) this season. His strikeout rate in the small sample is also a stellar 31.4% (compared to 21.6% last season) and he’s done a very good job keeping the ball down as evidenced by a career-high 48.4% groundball rate.
Baz has also surrendered just one homer in those first 13 frames this season and has worked up to 96 pitches in both of his starts, which have gone six and seven innings. Baz has averaged just over a strikeout per inning in his career – and 11.1 per nine in this season’s small sample – and he’s facing a Red Sox squad that’s been punched out at a 24.9% clip by right-handers, the second-highest figure in the AL.
The elevated payout rate in this instance speaks to the perceived difficulty of Baz cashing this prop, but this is a case where it’s fair game to take a shot, as it’s perfectly within his range of outcomes. In fact, he rang up 10 Ks on the Pirates over six frames in his first start this season, and in 2024, he reached seven Ks twice despite still working back to full strength, with one of those instances coming against this same BoSox squad.
Baz will have to tread lightly against Alex Bregman, who’s hitting a whopping .714 against him in seven career encounters, but he’s been mostly nails against the rest of the hitters he’s projected to face.
Where to play: Shane Baz Higher Than 6.5 Strikeouts (1.12x payout) | Underdog
Mookie Betts Higher Than 1.5 Total Bases
Betts hasn’t fully broken out yet this season after a difficult spring where he battled a significant stomach ailment, but even when not yet clicking on all cylinders, he’s still mustered an .864 OPS that’s partly the byproduct of an elite .383 OBP.
Betts already has 25 total bases through his first 14 games, and last season, he accrued 221 in 116 contests. Taken together, that puts Betts at 1.9 total bases per game since the start of the 2024 campaign, and he lines up for another potential fruitful night in that regard Monday.
Betts has tormented Rockies starter Antonio Senzatela to the tune of a .450 average with 17 total bases (five singles, two doubles, two homers) in 22 career plate appearances, a sample in which he’s struck out just twice. Senzatela has also gotten his season off to a forgettable start, pitching to a 5.14 ERA, 5.84 xERA, .415 BAA and 2.14 WHIP across 14 innings over three starts.
Both handedness of hitter have feasted off Senzatela to date, and righty bats specifically have gotten to him for a .387 average, 2.7 HR/9 and .460 wOBA. When also considering Betts’ strikeout rate is at a career-low 7.1% and that Colorado relievers have pitched to an NL-high 6.26 ERA and .367 wOBA against right-handed hitters, this is another situation where the slightly longer-shot prop is worth considering.
Where to play: Mookie Betts Higher Than 1.5 Total Bases (1.11x payout) | Underdog
Adley Rutschman More Than 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
Adley Rutschman is off to a fast start. In 13 games and 56 plate appearances this year, Rutschman has 13 hits (nine singles, one double, zero triples, and three homers), nine runs, five RBIs, a .265 batting average, .357 OBP, .469 slugging, .204 ISO, and .256 BABIP.
As good as Rutschman has been this year, he’s been a bit unlucky, too. Before Saturday, he had a .267 batting average, .285 xBA, .422 slugging, and .508 xSLG. The switch-hitting catcher has encouraging batted-ball data, and he smacked a homer yesterday.
Rutschman has done well against righties in his career. The switch-hitting catcher has had 1,347 plate appearances against righties since reaching the Majors in 2022, tallying 297 hits (191 singles, 63 doubles, three triples, and 40 homers), a .253 batting average, .343 OBP, .415 slugging, and .161 ISO.
Before this season, all Rutschman’s known is a pitcher-friendly home ballpark after renovations were made to the park before the 2022 season. The once hitter-friendly venue was a pitcher-friendly park to a degree that prompted dimension changes before this season to find a happy medium between the pre-2022 hitter-friendly and 2022-2024 pitcher-friendly park factors. According to Baseball Savant, Oriole Park at Camden Yards has 2025 park factors of 106 for runs and 116 for hits. The early results are good for Baltimore’s offense’s outlook when they take hacks in their home digs.
The other positive contextual factor for Rutschman today is his matchup against Jose Berrios. Rutschman has eviscerated Berrios. According to Baseball Savant, in 27 career plate appearances against Berrios in his career, Rutschman has had 15 hits (nine singles, two doubles, zero triples, and four homers), one strikeout, two walks, a .600 batting average, .431 xBA, 1.160 slugging, and .828 xSLG. Batter-versus-pitcher stats should be taken with a grain of salt, but Rutschman’s degree of success against Berrios is too good to ignore. He should surpass 1.5 hits plus runs and RBIs today.
Where to play: Adley Rutschman More Than 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs | Underdog
Underdog 2025 MLBSZN Picks
Paul Skenes Less Than 3.01 ERA
Paul Skenes was the No. 1 pick in the 2023 MLB Amateur Draft. He was a collegiate stud, concluding his amateur career with a 1.69 ERA, 1.10 FIP, 0.75 WHIP, 4.3 BB%, and 45.2 K% in 19 starts, totaling 122.2 innings for LSU. Skenes wasn’t a smoke-and-mirrors pitcher. Instead, he had front-of-the-rotation stuff, hence, the Pirates popping him first overall in the MLB Amateur Draft.
Skenes wasted no time in the minors, getting his feet wet in his draft season before tormenting Triple-A hitters for seven starts in 2023 and putting on a show for the Pirates. According to FanGraphs, in seven starts spanning 27.1 innings in Triple-A last year, Skenes had a 0.99 ERA, 2.07 xFIP, 0.91 WHIP, 7.6 BB%, and 42.9 K%. Obviously, Skenes couldn’t duplicate his Triple-A production in the Majors. Nevertheless, he was one of the best pitchers in The Show and earned the National League Rookie of the Year Award.
In 23 starts spanning 133.0 innings for Pittsburgh, Skenes had a 1.96 ERA, 2.53 xERA, 2.54 xFIP, 2.71 SIERA, 0.95 WHIP, 6.2 BB%, 33.1 K%, 13.1 SwStr%, 29.4 CSW%, 110 Stuff+, 110 Location+ and 115 Pitching+. His ERA estimators and underlying data didn’t entirely validate Skenes’ 1.96 ERA. Still, he had sparkling ERA estimators, a sky-high strikeout rate, and jaw-dropping pitch-modeling metrics.
Skenes is a genuine National League Cy Young Award candidate and is priced accordingly across sportsbooks. He’ll almost certainly need a sub-3.01 ERA to be a legitimate candidate for the Cy Young Award, so the sportsbooks suggest he should go under this line. Most of the projection models also predict the sophomore hurler to post a sub-3.01 ERA this year.
Where to play: Paul Skenes Less Than 3.01 ERA | Underdog
Hunter Brown Less Than 3.65 ERA
Hunter Brown had an ugly 5.09 ERA in 31 appearances (29 starts) spanning 155.2 innings in 2023, but his ERA estimators and underlying data indicated he was unlucky. In 2023, he also had a 4.27 xERA, 3.52 xFIP, 3.74 SIERA, 1.36 WHIP, 8.3 BB%, 26.8 K%, 10.6 SwStr%, 27.3 CSW%, 96 Stuff+, 102 Location+, and 100 Pitching+. Astute gamblers, fantasy baseball gamers, and baseball fans could have predicted a breakout for Brown in 2024, and they were correct.
However, it looked more like the same for Brown at the beginning of the 2024 season. Through his first six starts totaling 23.0 innings in 2024, Brown had a 9.78 ERA, 4.35 xFIP, 4.72 SIERA, 2.22 WHIP, 12.2 BB%, 20.9 K%, 9.0 SwStr%, 25.4 CSW%, 94 Stuff+, 94 Location+, and 92 Pitching+. Actually, calling it the same for Brown was inaccurate, as he took a step back to start 2024. He figured it out after his rough patch to begin the year.
Starting in May, Brown unleashed a sinker in his repertoire, and he thrived. In Brown’s final 25 appearances (24 starts) spanning 147.0 innings in 2024, he had a 2.51 ERA, 3.33 xFIP, 3.57 SIERA, 1.12 WHIP, 7.7 BB%, 26.0 K%, 10.5 SwStr%, 27.3 CSW%, 104 Stuff+, 102 Location+, and 106 Pitching+.
Brown was outstanding from May 1 through the end of last season, with the underlying data and a tangible tweak to his repertoire to point to as a viable reason for the improvement. Even with his brutal beginning to 2024, Brown had a 3.49 ERA, 3.31 xERA, 3.47 xFIP, and 3.74 SIERA. Thus, even if Brown doesn’t pitch at the same level as post-May, Brown should tally a sub-3.65 ERA again this season.
Where to play: Hunter Brown Less Than 3.65 ERA | Underdog
Top MLB DFS Pick’Em Apps
We love the MLB DFS pick’em projections available at top-flight daily fantasy sites like Underdog and Sleeper. They offer a very similar experience to player props.
You’ll often find a lot of value and strong payouts available at legal DFS sites. These apps are also available in many states that don’t yet have legal online sports betting.
Top Sportsbooks For MLB Props & Bets
The sportsbooks and daily fantasy sites featured in this article offer more than enough options to satisfy your MLB player props needs. As outlined before, always shop around for the best price when it comes to NBA player props.
You can’t go wrong with BetMGM, Caesars, and FanDuel Sportsbook when it comes to any kind of sports bet. Take a look at the following guides to see if these sportsbooks are legal in your state:
Top Sweepstakes Sites For MLB Props
What Is A Player Prop?
A prop bet is a newer way to bet on sports in the US sports betting industry, but it has been around for a long time. Prop betting used to be only offered at the Super Bowl or other major sporting events, but that is no longer the case.
The term prop bet stands for a propositional bet, and it’s a wager that typically doesn’t have anything to do with the final score of a game. Prop bets can be made throughout a game, or you can extend this type of wager into a full season.
MLB Prop Options
Now that you understand the difference between fun and skill prop bets, you also need to know when and what betting options are available. Each sportsbook will have different MLB prop betting markets, but there are some very similar options that you will find as well.
MLB Player Prop Bets
Prop betting is dependent on the bettor as to which is the most popular option, but sportsbooks tend to offer more player prop betting markets than any other kind. A player prop bet is a wager placed on just one player, and it usually focuses on a specific statistic.
There are times that sportsbooks will put two players against each other to create a prop bet, but that is similar to what a DFS game looks like. Player prop betting usually focuses on the top players in each MLB game.
Here are some MLB player prop options:
- Will Gerrit have over/under 9.5 strikeouts?
- Will Kris Bryant hit a home run in this game?
Additionally, you can see each of these in action along with detailed analysis in our dedicated MLB player prop articles:
MLB Team Prop Bets
A team prop is similar to an individual prop bet, but the wager focuses on an entire team rather than just one player. This is another prop betting option that will have more markets when a better matchup is being played.
Here are some potential team prop betting options that you would see at a sportsbook:
- Will the Chicago Cubs score over/under 5.5 total runs?
- Will there be a run in the first inning? Also known as NRFI or YRFI.
- The team that leads after 5 innings: Mets, Red Sox, or Tie
Full Season MLB Prop Bets
If you are a sports bettor who enjoys making futures bets, you will likely be interested in a full-season MLB prop bet. These are bets that don’t just cover one game in the season but take a look at the entire schedule in its entirety.
Both individual and team prop betting options will be included when it comes to a full-season MLB prop bet. These bets are usually open months before a season begins, and they might close once the games are underway.
Here are some potential options of what you might see:
- Best record in baseball: American League or National League
- Will any player win the Triple Crown? Yes or no
- Who will win the NL MVP or AL MVP?
Top Online Sportsbook And DFS Bonuses By State
Click on your state from the list below to see the best online sportsbooks and daily fantasy sites available in your area:
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MLB Prop Betting Tips
Now that you have a better understanding of how MLB prop betting works, it is time to take a look at some MLB prop betting tips that you can use to be successful.
Location Of Game
There isn’t a major home-field advantage when it comes to MLB games, but the location of a game does matter. Each ballpark is unique around baseball, and those different fields affect the MLB prop betting matchups.
You also need to check the weather for each game before placing an MLB prop bet as well. Most bettors always do this when betting on a baseball game, but it needs to be done when making an MLB prop betting wager as well.
Pitching Matchups
No matter what type of MLB bet you are looking to make, you always need to start your research by looking at the starting pitching matchups. Other factors determine an MLB game, but everything starts on the mound.
If you are betting on a particular batter’s performance in a game, you need to be sure that he isn’t facing one of the best pitchers in baseball. You also don’t want to make a player prop bet on a pitcher facing a tremendous offensive lineup.
Slumps vs. Streaks
Since the MLB season is so long, players and teams tend to go through long streaks at different season points. Looking at recent trends is one of the first things you will want to look at before making a prop betting wager.
These trends can always change, but finding out which players and teams are streaking and slumping can help you make successful MLB prop wagers. This can help in all forms of MLB betting, but it is especially true when focusing on props.