Bills vs. Steelers Player Props & Predictions – Monday, Jan 15

Pittsburgh Steelers running back #22 Najee Harris carries the ball in a 2021 home game.
Image Credit: Joe Sargent/Getty Images

If you’re on the hunt for predictions regarding Bills vs. Steelers, look no further. The Steelers are hitting the road to challenge the Bills on Sunday, Jan 14 at 1:00 ET. Currently, the total is 36, with the Bills being favored by 10. Let’s look at the Bills vs. Steelers player props and predictions below.

Bills VS. Steelers Odds

  • Spread: Bills -10
  • Total 36

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Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, Jan 14
  • Time: 1:00 ET
  • Location: Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park NY
  • TV: CBS

Steelers Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Steelers have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • In their last five road games, Pittsburgh has averaged 17 points per game while allowing 17. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Steelers have a straight-up record of 6-4 and an ATS mark of 6-4.

Bills Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Bills have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • Through their last ten home contests, the Bills offense has averaged 25 points per game while allowing an average of 19. Buffalo posted an overall record of 6-4 while going 5-5 ATS.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Bills have a straight-up record of 7-3 and an ATS mark of 3-7.

Do the Steelers Have a Shot at a Win at Orchard Park?

The Steelers head into their 9th road game of the season with a road record of 5-3 and have rattled off two straight wins away from home. Overall, the Steelers are 10-7 and in 3rd place in the AFC North. When it comes to the spread, the Steelers come in at 10-7. Going into the Wild Card round, their scoring margin per game is -1.2.

In their most recent matchup, the Steelers secured a win against the Ravens, with a final score of 17-10. Against the spread, the Steelers’ 7-point win was enough to cover as 2.5-point favorites. In their most recent game, the over/under line was 34 points. By combining for 27 points, the under hit.

On offense, Mason Rudolph ended with 152 passing yards on a completion rate of 90%. On the ground, the Steelers ran the ball 39 times, amassing 155 yards. The team converted 6 third-downs at a rate of 40%.

On the defensive front, the Steelers currently hold the 11th position in tackles for loss and rank 8th in sacks. Opponents are averaging 19.1 points and 342.1 yards per game against them.

Is A Home Victory Likely for Favored Buffalo?

This season, the Bills hold the 1st position in the AFC-East with an overall record of 11-6. In non-conference games, they have a record of 4-1, and in AFC action, they are 7-5. So far this season, the Bills are above .500 vs. the spread at 7-10. Their average scoring margin this season is +8.2.

In their most recent matchup, the Bills secured a win against the Dolphins with a final score of 21-14. The Bills covered the spread, as they were favored by 2.5 against the Dolphins. In their most recent game, the over/under line was 48 points. By combining for 35 points, the under hit.

Offensively, Josh Allen finished with 359 passing yards while completing 78% of his passes. On the ground, the Bills ran the ball 36 times for 128 yards. The team went 9/15 on third down.

On the defensive side of the ball, Buffalo currently ranks 4th in points allowed. Their opponents have been averaging 18.3 points per game while gaining 307.2 yards per contest.

Bills vs. Steelers Player Props

Under offensive coordinator Joe Brady, Bills QB Josh Allen has increased his running plays, which could be even more the case in the upcoming cold, windy, and snowy game.

Allen executed 17 designed runs and seven scrambles in the last two games, surpassing 37.5 rushing yards in both.

His postseason track record also shows a tendency to run, averaging 52.1 rushing yards per game over eight playoff games, exceeding 37.5 yards five times.

Notably, against mobile quarterbacks, the Steelers allowed 45 and 40 rushing yards to Lamar Jackson and Tyler Huntley, respectively.

  • The Prop: Josh Allen Over 37.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

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Bills VS. Steelers Predictions

From the time the lines were first released, Buffalo has transitioned from -9.5 point favorites to their current line of -10 (-109). Conversely, Pittsburgh is currently +10 (-113) point underdogs on the road.

I’m going with Pittsburgh to cover as 10-point underdogs in this matchup. Pittsburgh had an impressive performance in their last game, particularly in the ground game against Baltimore. I anticipate them to replicate that success, which is why I’m backing Pittsburgh before kickoff.

The Pick: Steelers +10 | -113 at Fanduel Sportsbook