Time for the Props.com Sunday Three Pick of the Day for NFL Week 3, as we take a look at a longer-shot prop parlay that could come through for us.
It’s a three-pick play at the standard 6x, and the picks and analysis – all highers – are below. Let’s see where the value lies for this Sunday’s slate.
Sunday Three Pick of the Day: Week 3 NFL Player Props Parlay
Our staff takes a chance at a three-pick of the day for NFL Week 3’s main slate.
Lamar Jackson Higher Than 50.5 Rushing Yards
Jackson simply runs more in close games. Last year, Jackson rushed for 821 yards in 16 games – a 51.3 per game average, which already puts us above this week’s number. But in games settled by more than two scores – there were four of them last year – Jackson “only” ran for 158 yards, or 39.5 yards per game.
So in two score-or-less games, he averaged 55.25 yards per game. And on Sunday, the Ravens are 1.5-point favorites in Dallas against the Cowboys in what is kind of a must-win game for both teams. It should be close. Jackson should be running. Higher is the play.
Sam Darnold Higher Than 224.5 Passing Yards
Darnold threw for 208 yards in a blowout win against the Giants in Week 1, and followed that up with a 268-yard performance in the Vikings’ impressive Week 2 win against the 49ers.
This week, the Vikes stay at home against the Houston Texans. The total sits at 46.5 points, and the Texans are 2.5-point favorites.
Justin Jefferson should be fine, the Texans’ pass defense plays below par, we’re in a dome, there’s definite shootout potential, and … higher, higher, higher for Mr. Darnold.
Tony Pollard Higher Than 59.5 Rushing Yards
Pollard’s running back mate Tyjae Spears left last week’s game against the Jets with an ankle injury. He avoided a major setback, but he’s day-to-day. Meanwhile, Pollard has carried the ball 33 times through the Titans’ first two contests, and racked up 82 yards against the Bears and 62 yards against the Jets. You’ll note both those numbers are higher than 59.5.
This week, Pollard will face the Packers, who have given up 214 yards rushing against the Eagles and Colts so far this season.
Add it all up, and 59.5 seems a little light over here.
Week 3 Play Summary
Lamar Jackson Higher Than 50.5 Rushing Yards
Sam Darnold Higher Than 224.5 Passing Yards
Tony Pollard Higher Than 59.5 Rushing Yards