We’re once again here with the Props.com Sunday NFL Parlay of the Day, this time coming to you from Fliff.
We’ve got a big ol’ three-legger for you today at +505, so get ready!
NFL Week 4 Parlay – Fliff Main Slate Picks
Our staff has its best NFL parlay at Fliff ready to go for Week 4.
Atlanta Falcons RB Bijan Robinson over 73.5 rushing yards
Robinson is primed for a breakout game. He’s played 146 of the Falcons 178 offensive snaps, lapping his former 1B Tyler Allgeier, who has 36. Beyond that, Robinson has parlayed those snaps into 48 carries for 196 yards. Not exactly world-beating numbers, but he is a world-class talent.
And this week, he gets to go up against the Saints, who got torched by Saquon Barkley last week for 147 yards. Of course, the Saints blew out the Cowboys and Panthers in their first two games, so their rush defense wasn’t tested. Last week was the first test. They failed.
Robinson is ready to rumble this week.
Chicago Bears QB Caleb Williams over 224.5 passing yards
Yes, Williams has struggled this year so far, but come on – he is a rookie. And last week, he uncorked 363 yards in a win over the Colts.
One week does not a trend make, but perhaps Williams has been unleashed.
If so, this yardage prop is way too low, especially as Williams is going up against the Los Angeles Rams. And the Rams … not so good defending the pass.
So far this year, Jared Goff threw for 218 yards, Kyler Murray for 266 yards, and Brock Purdy for 292 yards.
Three weeks, yeah, that’s a trend. Williams should sail over this number.
Houston Texans WR Nico Collins over 76.5 receiving yards
Per PFF, no team plays more man-to-man defense than the Jaguars, and it’s not even close. While most teams hover in the 30% range, the Jags are running out man-to-man coverage at over a 60% clip.
And you know who’s a beast against man-to-man?
Nico Collins. Per PFF, he’s the highest-graded wideout so far this year against man coverage, at 93.7.
Last year, the passer rating for throws to Collins in man coverage was 155.8, first in the league.
This one writes itself, folks. Collins is set up for an explosive performance this weekend. He should crush this number.
Week 4 NFL Parlay
Bijan Robinson over 73.5 rushing yards
Caleb Williams over 224.5 passing yards
Nico Collins over 76.5 receiving yards
NFL Parlay Odds: +505 on Fliff