As NFL Week 4 odds hit betting boards across the country, if you had the Raiders posting three times more victories than the Chiefs to this point, well, go collect your prize. We’ll see if that trend, among others, holds up.
One game definitely jumps off the NFL Week 4 page: Tom Brady returning to New England to lead his Tampa Bay Buccaneers against the Patriots in the Sunday nighter.
SuperBook executive director John Murray provided insights on opening lines and early action on NFL Week 4 betting. Check back all week for updates on every game.
NFL Week 4 Odds
| Matchup | Time | Spread | Over/Under |
| Jaguars at Bengals | 8:20 p.m. ET Thursday | Bengals -7.5 | 46 |
| Washington at Falcons | 1 p.m. ET Sunday | Washington -1.5 | 47.5 |
| Lions at Bears | 1 p.m. ET Sunday | Bears -3 | 41.5 |
| Titans at Jets | 1 p.m. ET Sunday | Titans -6 | 44.5 |
| Browns at Vikings | 1 p.m. ET Sunday | Pick | 51.5 |
| Colts at Dolphins | 1 p.m. ET Sunday | Dolphins -2.5 | 42.5 |
| Panthers at Cowboys | 1 p.m. ET Sunday | Cowboys -4 | 51.5 |
| Giants at Saints | 1 p.m. ET Sunday | Saints -7 | 42 |
| Chiefs at Eagles | 1 p.m. ET Sunday | Chiefs -7 | 54.5 |
| Texans at Bills | 1 p.m. ET Sunday | Bills -17.5 | 47 |
| Cardinals at Rams | 4:05 p.m. ET Sunday | Rams -4 | 54 |
| Seahawks at 49ers | 4:05 p.m. ET Sunday | 49ers -2.5 | 52 |
| Ravens at Broncos | 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday | Broncos -1 | 44 |
| Steelers at Packers | 4:25 p.m. ET Sunday | Packers -6 | 45 |
| Buccaneers at Patriots | 8:20 p.m. ET Sunday | Bucs -6.5 | 49 |
| Raiders at Chargers | 8:15 p.m. ET Monday | Chargers -3 | 51.5 |
Odds via The SuperBook (updated as of 5 p.m. ET Monday)
Raiders at Chargers
Opening line: Chargers -3, Over/Under 53
UPDATE 7:45 P.M. ET MONDAY: About a half-hour before kickoff, the Chargers are 3-point favorites at TwinSpires Sportsbook, which is where they opened last week before spending some time at -3.5. The Raiders are getting 56% of point-spread bets, while the Chargers are drawing 59% of spread cash.
“Good two-way action on the spread,” TwinSpires trading analyst Zachary Lucas said, while noting the total went from 52.5 to 51.5, though 70% of bets/64% of dollars are on the Over. “Sharp action on Under 52.5.”
UPDATE 4:45 P.M. ET MONDAY: With kickoff 3.5 hours out, Los Angeles is a 3-point favorite at WynnBet, right where the line opened. But the price on Chargers -3 is -120, while the Raiders are +3 (even). Ticket count and money are quite close, with L.A. getting 52% of bets/54% of cash.
“It’s a pretty mixed bag. We need the Chargers at the moment, but it’s not a massive decision either way. Parlays that included the Buccaneers’ spread certainly took away some liability tied to both teams,” WynnBet senior trading manager Alan Berg told Props. “Of course, a small-spread underdog covering and not winning for an isolated game such as Monday Night Football is almost always a good result for the house.”
The total dipped from 53 to 51 and is now 51.5, with 72% of bets on the Over and money running dead even.
UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: The Chargers opened as 3-point favorites at Caesars Sportsbook and spent much of the week at -3.5 before returning to -3 Saturday. Point-spread ticket count is almost dead even, while Los Angeles is taking 64% of money. The total opened at 53.5 and has been stable at 51.5 since late Thursday night, with 83% of bets on the Over, but 66% of money on the Under.
UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The Week 4 Monday nighter has been fairly stable at Chargers -3.5, save for short trips to -4 and -3 at DraftKings. And the two-way action reflects the general stability, with the Raiders drawing 53% of tickets and money. The total went from 52 to 53 and back, with the Over getting just 55% of bets but 81% of money.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: The Raiders are 3-0 SU (2-1 ATS), with two of those wins coming in overtime, including Sunday’s 31-28 home victory laying 4 points against Miami. The Chargers (2-1 SU and ATS) are coming off an impressive 30-24 upset of Kansas City as a 7-point road underdog.
“The Chargers win at Arrowhead and the Raiders improve to 3-0, and all of a sudden, this looks like one of the biggest Monday Night Football games of the year,” Murray said. “We took a few small bets on the Chargers, but nothing that caused us to move off our opener of LA -3 (-120). There will be a ton of support for the Raiders plus the points and on the moneyline in this matchup.
“This should be a huge-volume game for the books. This may go down as our best Sunday night/Monday night pairing of the entire regular season, in terms of interest and betting handle.”
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at New England Patriots
Opening line: Buccaneers -5.5, Over/Under 49
UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Less than two hours before kickoff, TwinSpires Sportsbook has the Buccaneers at -6.5, up from the -5.5 opener but down from -7, where Tampa Bay spent much of the week. Still, it’s all Tampa, all the time for Sunday Night Football, at 88% of spread tickets and 92% of spread money.
“It’s our biggest liability of the season. The public has been piling up on Tampa Bay week,” TwinSpires trading analyst Zachary Lucas said.
The total is up a tick from 49 to 49.5, with 67% of tickets/62% of dollars on the Over.
UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: As is the case pretty much everywhere, Caesars Sportsbook was seeing huge ticket and money counts in favor of Tampa Bay. On Friday afternoon, the Bucs were taking a whopping 96% of spread tickets and 97% of spread money. The line opened Buccaneers -5.5 and got to -7 by Tuesday morning, remaining -7 the rest of the week.
Earlier today, there was finally some Patriots pushback, and in a big way. A Caesars customer put $500,000 on New England +7. So while the Bucs are still seeing 96% of bets, the Pats–thanks to that one massive play–are drawing 62% of money on the spread. Still, with parlays, moneyline parlays and teasers sure to run heavy on Tampa Bay, the book could still end up needed New England.
“This will be the biggest regular-season game of the year in terms of handle and interest,” Caesars Sportsbook VP of trading Craig Mucklow said. “The storylines and Brady coming off a loss will continue to drive public money on the Bucs and the over. Bettors are also looking to bet alternate spreads, thinking that Brady will blow his former team out and run the score up on [Bill] Belichick.”
UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Tampa Bay hit DraftKings’ odds board as a 5.5-point chalk Sunday night, stretched to -7 Tuesday, backed up to -6.5 early today and returned to -7 a few hours later. Early point-spread betting is ridiculously one-sided, with 94% of tickets/97% of money on the Bucs. The total moved from 49 to 49.5 to 48.5 and returned to the opener Tuesday afternoon, with 62% of tickets/80% of cash on the Over.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: The Bucs (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) are coming off a 34-24 loss to the Rams as a 1-point home favorite. The Patriots (1-2 SU and ATS) got dumped by the visiting Saints 28-13 laying 3 points. Last week, The SuperBook pegged Tampa Bay a 5.5-point favorite over New England on the lookahead line, and that’s where Murray and the risk room opened the Bucs on Sunday night.
‘We are still there, for now,” Murray told Props.com. “Tampa Bay will be a huge public side next week, especially with the narrative of Brady and the Bucs coming off a loss and the Patriots struggling so badly again today. This line will likely climb higher unless a very sharp group comes in on the ‘dog.”
While the Bucs-Pats side was stable Sunday night, the total dipped a tick to 48.5.
Chiefs at Eagles
Opening line: Chiefs -5.5, Over/Under 55
UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Kansas City opened -6 at Caesars Sportsbook and briefly got to -7.5 Tuesday morning, then spent most of the week at -7 before dipping to -6.5 Friday afternoon. The Chiefs are taking 90%-plus of point-spread tickets, but that’s translating to “just” 67% of money, so there is some Eagles interest.
UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The Chiefs rose from -5.5 to -7 by early Tuesday, then receded to -6.5 this afternoon at DraftKings. But this game is much like Bucs-Pats, with road favorite Kansas City attracting 93% of early bets and 98% of early dollars. The total went from 54 to 55 and back to 54, though early ticket count is 3/1 and early money beyond 2/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Kansas City entered Week 3 having not lost two straight games since Weeks 5 and 6 of the 2019-20 season, nearly two years ago. The Chiefs then went on to win the Super Bowl. So perhaps the results from the past two weeks–a road loss to the Ravens, followed by Sunday’s home setback to the Chargers–will prove a precursor.
The SuperBook opened Kansas City (1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS) as 5.5-point road chalk against Philadelphia (1-1 SU and ATS), which still has Week 3 work to do in the Monday nighter at Dallas.
“Sunday saw the Chiefs once again not cover the spread, and this time they even lost the game outright,” said Murray, referring to K.C.’s ongoing 1-12-1 ATS slump. “But that won’t deter the public. They’ll be all over Kansas City again as a road favorite. Philadelphia will be one of our biggest needs next weekend.”
Cardinals at Rams
Opening line: Rams -6.5, Over/Under 53
UPDATE 1 P.M. ET SUNDAY: FanDuel has the Rams down to -3.5, after opening Los Angeles -6.5 last Sunday night and quickly going to -6. However, ticket count and money are still in the 2/1 range on the Rams. But on the moneyline, bettors are jumping on the Cardinals, to the tune of a 3/1 ticket count and 2/1 money count. The total is up to 54.5 from a 52.5 opener.
UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Despite an impressive victory over Tampa Bay, Los Angeles is already down to -4 from a -6 opener at DraftKings. It’s two-way action thus far, with ticket count almost dead even and 54% of money on the Rams. The total is out to 55 from a 53.5 opener, with early bettors signing up for a high-scoring game, as 85% of tickets/90% of dollars are on the Over.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Los Angeles and Arizona are both 3-0 SU, putting them among the five remaining unbeaten teams. In Week 3, the Rams (2-1 ATS) dispatched defending Super Bowl champion Tampa Bay 34-24 as a 1-point home underdog. Meanwhile, Arizona (2-1 ATS) had to rally at Jacksonville, but ultimately scored the last 21 points in a 31-19 victory as an 8-point road fave.
“We opened Rams -6.5, and despite a flurry of bets on the Cardinals, we are still there,” Murray said. However, literally minutes after his comments, the Rams dipped to -6. “The Rams posted a very impressive win today, a game we did very well on. We are comfortable being in a position to root for the Rams.”
While the side dropped a half-point, the total moved up a notch to 53.5.
Steelers at Packers
Opening line: Packers -7, Over/Under 47
UPDATE 1 P.M. ET SUNDAY: FanDuel pegged the Packers a 7-point favorite and on Saturday got to -6, where the number remains now. Contrary to the adjustment, though, ticket count is 6/1 and money 3/1 on Green Bay. The total opened at 47.5, bottomed out Saturday at 44.5 and is now 45.5.
UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The Packers bounced between -7 and -6.5 in the early going at DraftKings, and they’re currently at the lower number. Still, 85% of early bets and 94% of early dollars are on Green Bay. The total opened Monday at 45.5 and edged up to 46 Tuesday, with 76% of bets/85% of cash on the Over.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: This number went up about an hour before Green Bay’s Week 3 Sunday night game at San Francisco. So Steelers-Packers, per The SuperBook’s standard operating procedure, came off the board once the Packers-49ers game started, and the Week 4 tilt will go back up Monday morning.
Pittsburgh (1-2 SU and ATS) enters off a stunning 24-10 home loss to Cincinnati as a 3-point favorite. Green Bay (2-1 SU and ATS) edged San Franciso 30-28 on a last-second field goal as a 3-point road ‘dog.
“The Steelers’ offense looks completely lost, and they’re a very banged-up football team,” Murray said early on in the Sunday night game. “If the Packers continue to impress tonight, expect this line to be higher on Monday morning. The books will be huge Steelers fans next Sunday afternoon.”
Seahawks at 49ers
Opening line: 49ers -3, Over/Under 51.5
UPDATE 1 P.M. ET SUNDAY: San Francisco went from -3.5 to -2.5 by Friday and remains at that lower number now at FanDuel. As is the case at other books, Seattle is a public underdog today, taking 76% off spread bets and 86% of spread dollars. The total moved from 51 to 52.5.
UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: The concern in this game at Caesars books is likely less with the point spread than the moneyline. That’s because a bet of $362,500 came in Thursday on San Francisco moneyline -145. On the spread, the 49ers opened -3 and dipped to -2.5 Friday, with tickets and money running in the 2/1 range on the underdog Seahawks.
UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: San Francisco is pinned to -3 at DraftKings, where Seattle is taking 69% of tickets and 86% of money on the spread. The total moved from 51 to 52.5 to 51.5, with the Over getting a modest 54% of bets but 89% of money thus far.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Seattle (1-2 SU and ATS) went to Minnesota as a 2-point favorite and exited on the short end of a 30-17 score after blowing a 17-7 lead. San Francisco (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) was a 3-point home fave against Green Bay and fell 30-28 on a final-seconds field goal.
“We opened 49ers -3 and took a few small bets on San Francisco before closing the game for betting when Sunday Night Football kicked off,” Murray said, alluding to the Packers-Niners Week 3 game. “All of a sudden, the Seahawks are on a two-game losing streak, and their defense looks lost. We will likely be rooting for Seattle next week, and I’m not sure that’s where we want to be right now.”
Jaguars at Bengals
Opening line: Bengals -7.5, Over/Under 46.5
UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET THURSDAY: The Bengals opened -7.5 and are currently -7.5 at WynnBet, where 83% of spread bets and 77% of spread dollars are on the favorite.
“The public has been all over the Bengals, but we have seen some sharp play on Jaguars +7.5,” WynnBet trader Sawyer Johnson told Props. “We have liability on the Bengals to cover and on the Jaguars winning outright. The best for the house would be for the Bengals to win, but inside the number.”
The total is down a tick from 46.5 to 46, with 69% of bets on the Over, but 63% of money on the Under.
UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET TUESDAY: PointsBet USA pegged the Bengals as 7.5-point favorites Sunday night, and the number hasn’t budged, save for price adjustments to -7.5 (-120) and now -7.5 (-115). Ticket count and money are both running 2/1 on the Bengals in the Week 4 Thursday nighter.
The total quickly dipped from 46.5 to 45.5 Sunday, and it’s now at 46, with 71% of tickets/79% of money on the Over. And it’s probably worth noting that the Over is 8-1 in the NFL’s nine prime-time games so far this season.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Cincinnati (2-1 SU and ATS) did a number on Pittsburgh in Week 3, easily winning 24-10 as a 2.5-point road pup. Jacksonville (0-3 SU and ATS) actually held a 19-10 third-quarter lead against Arizona, but gave up the final 21 points in a 31-19 loss as an 8-point home ‘dog.
Much like last week’s Panthers-Texans prime-time clash, this Thursday night matchup doesn’t exactly get the heart rate up.
“We opened Bengals -7.5 and are still there. Not much action to report,” Murray said of early activity at The SuperBook. “I guess we will see people start [betting] moneyline parlays and teasers with the 2-1 Bengals at home, but it’s hard for me to say there is much value on [Cincinnati] at this number. This is some prime-time matchup.”
Early betting favors a lower-scoring game, as the total dipped to 46 Sunday night.
Washington at Falcons
Opening line: Pick ’em, Over/Under 49
UPDATE 10:30 A.M. ET SUNDAY: Caesars Sportsbook opened this game at pick ’em and got to Washington -1.5 by Friday. Washington is taking 58% of point-spread bets and 69% of point-spread money. The total dipped from 48.5 to 47.5, with ticket count 2/1 and money 4/1 on the Under.
UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: At DraftKings, this number flipped from Atlanta -1 to Washington -2 by this morning and is now Washington -1.5. The now-road favorite Washington is netting 63% of bets and 62% of cash on the spread. The total has been at 47 for the past 24 hours or so, down from a 49 opener, with ticket count 3/1 on the Under and money about 2/1 on the Over.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: At least this isn’t the Thursday night game, so it’s got that going for it. Which is nice. Washington is 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS after getting pasted at Buffalo 43-21 as a 7-point road ‘dog. Atlanta (1-2 SU and ATS) notched its first win of the season with a 17-14 road decision as 2.5-point pups against the Giants.
The point spread didn’t move Sunday night, but the total dipped to 48.5 at The SuperBook.
Lions at Bears
Opening line: Bears -4, Over/Under 44
UPDATE 10:30 A.M. AT SUNDAY: The Bears bounced between -3 and -3.5 a few times and are currently -3 (-105) at BetMGM Nevada. “Sharp play on both sides. Detroit is a public ‘dog for sure. Tickets are almost 5/1 and money over 2/1 on the Lions,” BetMGM Nevada’s Scott Shelton said. “And there are a lot of tickets and money on Lions moneyline.”
UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: DraftKings moved the Bears from -3 to -3.5 a couple of times, dropped to -2.5 and returned to -3 late Tuesday night. The Lions are landing 82% of early tickets and 89% of early money, with Chicago coach Matt Nagy unsure of who he’ll start at quarterback Sunday. Season-opening starter Andy Dalton is looking to return from a knee injury, rookie Justin Fields injured his right hand in the Week 3 loss at Cleveland, and Nick Foles is apparently an option, too.
The total dropped from 44 to 41 by Tuesday evening, then rose to 42, with the Under nabbing 59% of bets/89% of money.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Chicago (1-2 SU and ATS) enters off a dismal performance in a 26-6 loss at Cleveland as a 7.5-point pup. Detroit (0-3 SU, 2-1 ATS) thought it had its first victory of the season, but Baltimore’s Justin Tucker made an NFL-record 66-yard field goal –banking it off the crossbar–to send the Lions to a shocking 19-17 last-second defeat.
The SuperBook moved the Bears to -3.5 an hour after this line went up Sunday night.
Titans at Jets
Opening line: Titans -7.5, Over/Under 46.5
UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Tennessee is down to -6 from a -7.5 opener at Caesars, aided in part by a massive Jets wager on Thursday. A Nevada customer put $300,000 on New York +7. Therefore, much like the Bucs-Patriots splits at Caesars, the Titans are drawing more than 90% of spread tickets, but the Jets are getting 60% of spread dollars. The total is down to 44.5, with 70% of bets/93% of cash on the Under.
UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The Titans went from -7.5 to -8 by Tuesday afternoon, but they’re down a full point today, dipping to -7 at DraftKings. That fall comes despite Tennessee taking 95% of early spread tickets and 87% of early spread money. Injuries are likely the key to the line move, as Titans wideouts Julio Jones (leg) and A.J. Brown (hamstring) are questionable to play Sunday.
The total is down to 44 from a 46 opener, with ticket count and money running 2/1 on the Under.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: After its 26-0 loss at Denver on Sunday, New York (0-3 SU and ATS) joins Jacksonville as the only team with neither a victory on the scoreboard nor a spread-cover on the betting board. Tennessee sits atop the AFC South at 2-1 SU and ATS after Sunday’s 25-16 home win over the Colts as a 4.5-point chalk.
The line was stable Sunday night at The SuperBook, while the total backed up a tick to 46.
Browns at Vikings
Opening line: Pick ’em, Over/Under 51
UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Caesars Sportsbook, which opened this game a pick ’em, reported Friday taking a $275,000 wager on Browns -2, though interestingly, the line remained at -2. In fact, on Saturday, Caesars lowered the Browns to -1. Cleveland is getting 61% of tickets and, despite that huge play, just 53% of cash.
UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Cleveland went up as a 1-point favorite Sunday night at DraftKings and reached -2.5 Tuesday morning, then backed up to -2 earlier today. Ticket count and money are both running just shy of 2/1 on the road favorite Browns. The total zipped from 52.5 to 54 early, but has since dialed down to 51, with 71% of tickets on the Over/76% of money on the Under.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Cleveland (2-1 SU and ATS) had no issues with Chicago in a dominating 26-6 home win giving 7.5 points, while Minnesota (1-2 SU, 2-1 ATS) scored the game’s final 23 points in its 30-17 comeback victory over Seattle as a 2-point home ‘dog.
The line moved from pick to Browns -1 Sunday night at The SuperBook, and the total jumped 1.5 points to 52.5.
Colts at Dolphins
Opening line: Dolphins -2.5, Over/Under 44
UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Get used to reading about these monster bets at Caesars, which is taking bushelfuls of money on multiple games this week. In this instance, a bettor put $275,000 on Dolphins -2, and Miami is now -2.5. While Indianapolis is getting 53% of spread tickets, Miami is landing 86% of spread dollars, thanks largely to one bet. The total is at 42.5 from a 44.5 opener, with 59% of bets on the Over/66% of money on the Under.
UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: After opening as 1.5-point favorites at DraftKings, the Dolphins reached -2.5 a couple of times and are now -2, but it’s the Colts drawing the bulk of action thus far. Indianapolis is taking 65% of tickets and 57% of cash on the point spread at midweek. The total fell from 43.5 to 42 by this morning, then edged up to 42.5, with the Over nabbing 70% of bets and the Under 62% of money.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Miami (1-2 SU, 2-1 ATS) had a 14-0 lead in a hurry at Las Vegas in Week 3, but ultimately tumbled 31-28 in overtime as a 4-point pup. Indianapolis (0-3 SU, 1-2 ATS) is still seeking the win column after a 25-16 setback getting 4.5 points at Tennessee.
The line and total both moved Sunday night at The SuperBook, with the Dolphins dipping to -1.5 and the total dipping to 43.5.
Panthers at Cowboys
Opening line: Cowboys -5, Over/Under 50
UPDATE 10:30 A.M. ET SUNDAY: The Cowboys went from -4.5 to -5 early at Caesars books, then made their way down to -4 by Saturday. The Panthers are landing 69% of spread bets and 71% of spread money. The total moved from 50 to 51.5, with 57% of bets/56% of dollars on the Over.
UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Dallas opened as a 4-point favorite Sunday night at DraftKings, initially dipped to -3.5, then rose to -5 before returning to the opener Tuesday night. Ticket count is running 2/1 and money almost 3/1 on the Cowboys. The total crept from 50 to 50.5 Tuesday morning, with 71% of bets on the Over, but 54% of dollars on the Under.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Wait a minute, what? Carolina is 3-0 SU and ATS, joining Denver as the only two NFL teams unbeaten overall and against the number — and yet the Panthers are sizable underdogs in Week 4? Indeed, that’s the case. Carolina will be coming off a mini-bye, having beaten Houston 24-9 as an 8-point road chalk Thursday night. Meanwhile, Dallas (1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS) has Week 3 work remaining as it hosts Philadelphia on Monday night.
Panthers money flashed quickly at The SuperBook, which dropped to Cowboys -4.5 Sunday night.
Giants at Saints
Opening line: Saints -8, Over/Under 46.5
UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: This is yet another game with a big play at Caesars, and it’s again on the underdog. A bettor put $275,000 on the Giants +7.5, helping push the line to Saints -7 Thursday, after opening Saints -8. So, although ticket count is about 3/1 on New Orleans, money is in the 3/1 range on New York. The total is down to 42 from a 43.5 opener, with 68% of bets on the Over, but 63% of money on the Under.
UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: New Orleans went from -7.5 to -8 Tuesday, but is down a full point to -7 today at DraftKings. Still, ticket count is 2/1 and money almost 3/1 on the Saints. DK opened the total at 43.5 and is now at 42, with 64% of tickets on the Over and 62% of money on the Under.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: After a solid 28-13 win catching 3 points in New England, the Saints (2-1 SU and ATS) hit The SuperBook’s odds board as 8-point favorites for their first true home game of the season. That line was surely aided by the Giants’ 17-14 home loss as 2.5-point favorites against the Falcons. New York is 0-3 SU (1-2 ATS).
The line didn’t budge Sunday night, but early bettors definitely don’t foresee a bunch of scoring in this game, as the total tumbled 3 points to 43.5.
Texans at Bills
Opening line: Bills -17.5, Over/Under 47.5
UPDATE 10:30 A.M. ET SUNDAY: PointsBet USA is sitting at Bills -17, which is where this line opened last Sunday. Buffalo is taking a modest majority of tickets and money, at 55% and 57%, respectively. The total dipped from 48 to 47, with a 2/1 ticket count on the Over, but money running almost dead even.
UPDATE 9 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Caesars Sportsbook didn’t have point-spread betting splits at the ready for this game. However, after taking a monster $500,000 Bills -16.5 play a couple of hours ago, it’s safe to assume the book needs the Texans in a big way. In the wake of that wager, Caesars returned to its opener of Buffalo -17.5. On Friday, Caesars sent out its updated splits, showing Buffalo getting a nominal 57% of bets, but 96% of dollars, thanks to that massive bet.
The total moved from 47.5 to 48, then dipped to 47, with 77% of bets on the Over, but 61% of money on the Under.
UPDATE 3:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The Bills dipped from -17 to -16 at DraftKings, where Houston is actually getting 54% of bets as a modest majority takes the big number. Still, Buffalo is landing 72% of spread cash thus far. The total is down a point to 47, with 69% of bets on the Over, but money running dead even.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Welcome to the largest point spread of the NFL season thus far, likely driven by Houston’s dismal showing behind rookie QB Davis Mills in the Week 3 Thursday nighter. Houston (1-2 SU, 2-1 ATS) fell 24-9 getting 8 points at home against Carolina. Meanwhile, Buffalo (2-1 SU and ATS) scored 27 first-half points and drilled Washington 43-21 as 7-point home chalk.
Ravens at Broncos
Opening line: Broncos -2.5, Over/Under 45
UPDATE 1 P.M. ET SUNDAY: This line made the modest fence jump a couple of times at FanDuel, from Broncos -1 to Ravens -1 and this afternoon back to Broncos -1. It’s very much two-way action on the point spread, with Baltimore taking 58% of spread bets and 52% of spread money. The total is down a point to 44.5 at FanDuel.
UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Denver toggled between -1.5 and -1 a couple of times and is currently at the lower number at DraftKings. Early bettors definitely like Baltimore in this spot, with 75% of tickets and 70% of cash on the Ravens. The total moved from 44.5 to 44 to 45, with 72% of bets/54% of money on the Over.
UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Aided by a favorable early-season schedule, Denver (3-0 SU and ATS) joins Carolina as the only perfect team both on the field and against the oddsmakers. The Broncos — who took down the still-winless Giants in Week 1 and still-winless Jaguars in Week 2 — blanked the winless Jets 26-0 Sunday as 10-point home faves. Likewise, as 8-point favorites, the Ravens (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) were expected to have a relatively easy time at Detroit. Instead, Baltimore needed a league-record 66-yard Justin Tucker field goal–which banked in off the crossbar as time expired–to steal a 19-17 win.
Denver opened -2.5 at The SuperBook, and bettors weren’t quite buying that, as the Broncos dropped to -1.5 90 minutes after the game went on the board. The total also inched down to 44.5.
