It’s once again time to go through our best college football picks for this Week 10 Saturday slate. We sifted through tons of daily fantasy sports picks and came up with our top CFB player props for Saturday.
Make sure to check back every week for a new article with all of our best college football player prop picks.
CFB Player Props – Week 10 Saturday Picks
Below, Props.com analyst Kyle Krogstad breaks down his top CFB player props for Week 10.
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Amari Daniels More Than 39.5 Rushing Yards
He’s surpassed this number in 4 of 8 games this season, and all four of the games have come when he has 10+ carries. He has been digging more and more into LeVeon Moss’s starting role, as last game he had 12 carries to Moss’s 14. He also ran for 91 yards to LeVeon’s 83. I think they will continue to try and get him the ball in this one as he’s coming off his best game averaging 7.6 yards per carry.
They get South Carolina this week, a team with a very good pass rush. A&M will try to stay away from the drop back pass game as much as possible, which might work even more in their favor if Marcel Reed starts this week (running QB). If they turn to him, I think we will see a TON of running from A&M, who ranks 13th in the country in rush attempts (42.3 per game), and 16th in the country in rush yards (running for about 206 per game).
South Carolina’s defense is good all around, but to find success it probably comes via the ground. They’re 15th in the country in run defense, allowing only 102 rushing yards per game. However, they have not played a team that can run the ball like A&M.
One thing I know Mike Elko won’t do is drop back all game and throw the ball. First, that isn’t their identity, especially if Marcel Reed gets the start here. Second, South Carolina’s pass rush ranks 3rd in the country, averaging 4 sacks per game.
As good as their defense is, I think the weakness is the run game and that plays perfectly into Texas A&M’s game plan, which will be to run the ball 40ish times per game.
I’ll ride with Daniels in a close game where he should see 10+ carries.
Where to play: Amari Daniels More Than 39.5 Rushing Yards | PrizePicks
Dylan Sampson Higher Than 101.5 Rushing Yards
This is a number I was extremely quick to lock in with not much thought behind it. Sampson has gone over this number in 6 of 7 games this season. He averages 25 carries per game for 121 rushing yards in conference play. This is an absolute workhorse-type role for Sampson.
Kentucky ranks 42nd in the country in rush defense, allowing 133 yards per game. However, I think they are a lot worse than that number suggests. Jarquez Hunter from Auburn just had 278 rushing yards last week against them. Two weeks ago, Jaden Baugh had 106 rushing yards. Both backs had 20+ carries, so there is no reason to think Sampson shouldn’t have that volume or better in this matchup.
Tennessee should be playing from ahead in this one and I expect them to lean on Sampson. He should end with 20+ carries and 100+ yards as he has consistently done all season long.
Where to play: Dylan Sampson Higher Than 101.5 Rushing Yards | Underdog
Andrew Armstrong More Than 76.5 Receiving Yards
Armstrong is over this line in 4 of 7 games, with misses coming at 72 and 76.
Arkansas gets Ole Miss in this matchup and against this defense, there’s only one way to find success, through the air. Ole Miss ranks 3rd in the country in rush defense, allowing only 84 rushing yards per game. They rank 70th in the country in pass defense, allowing 228 passing yards per game.
In a game Arkansas just dropped 58 points (I know it was against Mississippi State), I think they might’ve found some momentum in the pass game. QB Taylen Green looked great last week. He’s going to have to play big if they want to upset Ole Miss. Armstrong correlates with Green’s success as he is by far his favorite weapon, averaging around 10 targets per game.
I’m expecting a close game in this one and not a game where Arkansas finds much success on the ground. I think they’ll be throwing all game either to catch up with Ole Miss or to keep the foot on the gas. Give me Arkansas’ best WR to have a big game Saturday.
Where to play: Andrew Armstrong More Than 76.5 Receiving Yards | Sleeper
Emeka Egbuka More Than 55.5 Receiving Yards
Fourth play of the week is going to the game of the week, as the #4 Buckeyes head to Happy Valley to take on the #3 Nittany Lions.
Penn State has a fantastic defense, but what good offense have they played? USC, who hung 30 on them. Other than that, they really haven’t faced any real competition. They rank 6th in the country in rush defense, allowing only 93 rushing yards per game. They rank 12th in the country in pass defense, allowing about 175 passing yards per game. Ohio State’s ground game has also not been as great as everyone expected with the Judkins / Henderson combo. I think Penn State will load the box and take that away and try and let Will Howard beat them.
I chose to back Egbuka in this one, who is 25 yards lower than Jeremiah Smith. Not sure I agree with that big of a difference in this one. Egbuka is has gone over this number in 5 of 7 games, and averages just over 8 targets per game. He was non-existent in last week’s close win vs Nebraska, with only 3 catches for 20 yards.
I’m all for going back to him in this one in what I believe is a discounted pick based on last week. The only other close game Ohio State played in was Oregon, where he had 10 catches for 93 yards. I think he’ll be somewhere around 8-10 targets, which should be plenty to get home here.
Where to play: Emeka Egbuka More Than 55.5 Receiving Yards | Sleeper
Omarion Hampton Higher Than 103.5 Rushing Yards
Hampton is another workhorse running back. He’s averaging 24 carries for 113 rushing yards in ACC play. He has surpassed this number in 6 of 8 games this season, with one miss at 103 and the other he left with an injury (11 carries for 77 yards). He could very easily be 8/8 on this number and I don’t see how FSU is going to slow him down.
Florida State has been awful vs. the run, ranked 100th in the country, allowing 179 rushing yards per game. They’ve allowed 3 out of the last 4 opposing starting RBs to rush for over 100 yards. Their season is over, with nothing much left to play for. UNC should come into this game and run the ball all day.
Hampton, similar to Sampson, just needs to keep doing what he’s been doing all year. In what should be a close game, I think there’s no reason he can’t get to this number. I have him around the 23-26 carry mark for well over 100 rushing yards.
Where to play: Omarion Hampton Higher Than 103.5 Rushing Yards | Underdog
