The Warriors are gearing up for a showdown against the Dallas Mavericks on Tuesday, Apr 2. Today’s game is scheduled to start at 10:00 ET and will be broadcast on TNT. Golden State comes into this matchup as 1-point favorites, with the over/under set at 232. Will the Warriors manage to secure a win as the favorite? Below, you’ll find our Warriors vs. Mavericks predictions.
Warriors vs. Mavericks Odds
- Spread: Warriors -1
- Total 232
Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!
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Game Info
- Date: Tuesday, Apr 2
- Time: 10:00 ET
- Location: Chase Center, San Francisco CA
- TV: TNT
Mavericks Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Mavericks have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 5-0 vs. the spread.
- The Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last road games and 5-0 straight-up.
- As the betting underdog, the Mavericks have an ATS record of 3-0 in their last three games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 2-1.
Warriors Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Warriors have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
- Through their last ten home games, Golden State has an ATS record of just 6-4. However, their overall record was 7-3 while averaging 110 points per game.
- Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Warriors have gone 5-5 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 6-4.
Will the Mavericks Defense Show Up in San Francisco?
The Mavericks have won seven straight games and are currently 45-29, which is good for 5th place in the Western Conference. In the Southwest Division, they are in 1st place.
Dallas has a record of 43-31 against the spread this season, including going 25-12 ATS on the road. As the underdog, they are 14-15 ATS on the road and have covered the spread in their last four road games.
On average, the Mavericks’ games have finished with a combined scoring total of 235 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 232, and their O/U record for the season is 35-39.
In their last game, the Mavericks beat the Rockets by a score of 125-107. The O/U line for that game was 230 points, and Dallas covered the spread as 3.5-point favorites.
For the season, the Mavericks are 16-10 against non-conference opponents and 29-19 against the Western Conference. On the road, they have a record of 23-14.
The Mavericks are one of the top-scoring teams in the NBA, averaging 118.7 points per game (6th). On the road, they are averaging 118.1 points per game (3rd).
When it comes to pace, Dallas is 11th in the league at 99.5 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are shooting 48% (11th).
So far this season, the Mavericks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 60.8% of their games. In terms of two-point shooting, they are 4th in the NBA at 57%.
The Mavericks’ defense is presently ranked 20th in the league, allowing an average of 116.3 points per contest. Dallas’ defense is currently forcing 11.8 turnovers per game, which is 6th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 18th in blocked shots, with an average of 4.8 rejections per game.
Can the Warriors Deliver Being Favored at Home?
Golden State is 40-34 this season and has won four straight games. They are currently 10th in the Western Conference and 5th in the Pacific Division.
As the favorite, the Warriors are 32-16 this season and have been favored in 48 of their 74 games. They are favored by 1 point today and have gone 24-24 ATS as the favorite.
Golden State’s O/U record for the season is 36-37-1, and their games have averaged 233.8 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 232.
In their last game, the Warriors beat the Spurs by a score of 117-113. The O/U line for that game was 227.5, and Golden State was favored by 10.5 points going into the game.
Against the spread, Golden State is 40-33 this season, going 25-12 on the road and 15-21 at home. However, they have covered the spread in their last four road games.
Out of their 74 games, the Warriors have had an average combined scoring total of 233.8 points. Today’s O/U line is set at 232.
At home this season, the Warriors have averaged 117.9 points per game, which is 11th in the NBA. Overall, they are 7th in the league in scoring at 118 points per game. In terms of pace, Golden State is 10th in the NBA at 99.6 possessions per game.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Warriors are 3rd in the league in both makes per game (14.7) and attempts per game (39.2). Their three-point percentage is 9th at 37%. In terms of field goal percentage, Golden State is 15th at 47%.
So far this season, the Warriors have outscored the NBA scoring average in 58.1% of their games. In terms of free throw shooting, they are 24th in makes per game (15.8) and 26th in attempts per game (20.3).
At this time, the Warriors’ defense is positioned 17th in the NBA, permitting 115.9 points per game. Inside the arc, the Warriors defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 54.2% and 35.8% from three-point territory.
Warriors vs. Mavericks Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is Luka Doncic and his points prop of 33.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -111 while the under is at -123. In this game against the Warriors, we suggest betting on the under for Luka Doncic and his points prop set at 33.5. Our player projection model anticipates him not reaching his prop, with a projected total of 33.
- The Prop: Luka Doncic Under 33.5 Points (-123)
Warriors vs. Mavericks Predictions
Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +1, the Mavericks is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.
As for the over/under, the line is currently at 232, and our model projects the Mavericks and Warriors to reach a combined total of 230 points. Our bet is on taking the under.
The Pick: Mavericks +1 | at Fanduel Sportsbook