The Thunder are all set to face off against the Milwaukee Bucks on Friday, Apr 12. Today’s game is slated to tip off at 8:00 ET and will be shown on KSBI. Oklahoma City enters this contest as 15-point favorites, and the over/under total stands at 223.5. Can the Bucks come out on top as the favorite? Our Thunder vs. Bucks predictions can be found below.
Thunder vs. Bucks Odds
- Spread: Thunder -15
- Total 223.5
Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!
Top Sportsbooks in Ohio
Game Info
- Date: Friday, Apr 12
- Time: 8:00 ET
- Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City OK
- TV: KSBI
Bucks Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Bucks have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- Across the Bucks last three road games, the team averaged 111 points per game while allowing 112. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 1-2 straight-up.
- In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Bucks have a straight up record of 4-6 and an ATS mark of 5-5.
Thunder Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Thunder have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- Through their last three home contests, the Thunder offense has averaged 111 points per game while allowing an average of 126. Oklahoma City posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 0-3 ATS.
- Through their last three games as the favorite, the Thunder have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 3-0.
Can the Bucks Lock in a Road Win?
Milwaukee has a season record of 49-31 and is currently 2nd in the Eastern Conference. In non-conference games, they are 15-14 compared to 34-17 against the East.
On the road, the Bucks are 18-20 for the season and have an average scoring margin of -0.2 points per game. Their ATS record on the road is 16-22.
As the underdog, Milwaukee has gone 4-9 straight-up and 6-7 ATS. Today, they are 15-point underdogs and have an ATS underdog streak of 3 games.
In their last game, the Bucks beat the Magic by a score of 117-99. They were 1.5-point underdogs going into the game and are now 2-0 ATS in their last two games.
This season, the Bucks have had an average over/under line of 234.7 and their games have averaged 235.8 points. Their O/U record for the season is 40-40.
When it comes to scoring, the Bucks are one of the most potent teams in the NBA, averaging 119.5 points per game (4th). On the road, they are averaging 117.7 points per game (5th).
So far this season, the Bucks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 62.5% of their games. However, they are currently in a six-game streak where they have scored less than their own scoring average.
In terms of their style of play, the Bucks are 6th in pace at 100 possessions per game. When it comes to field goal percentage, they are 7th in the league at 48%.
Coming into the game, the Bucks’ defense is giving up an average of 116.3 points per game. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA league average in 57.5% of their games. Opponents are hitting 53.9% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 35.5% of their three-point attempts.
Do the Thunder Have a Shot at a Home Win?
The Thunder have won three straight games at home and are looking to extend their overall winning streak to four games. In the Western Conference, they are currently in 3rd place with a record of 55-25.
Oklahoma City has been favored in 59 of their 80 games this season and have a record of 45-14 in those games. As the favorite, their ATS record is 33-26 and they have covered the spread in their last two games.
On average, the Thunder’s games have finished with a combined scoring total of 232.9 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 223.5, and their games have averaged an O/U line of 232.4.
In their last game, the Thunder defeated the Spurs by a score of 127-89. The O/U line for that game was 231 points, giving the Thunder their 2nd straight game finishing below the O/U line.
Coming into today’s game, the Thunder are 20-21 ATS on the road and 25-14 ATS at home. Their average scoring margin at home is +11.9 points per game compared to +1.9 on the road.
The Thunder are one of the top offensive teams in the NBA this season, averaging 119.8 points per game (3rd). At home, they have been even better, averaging 122.8 points per game (2nd).
Oklahoma City has been one of the most efficient teams in the league, ranking 2nd in field goal percentage (49%). They are also 2nd in three-point shooting at 38%.
In terms of pace, the Thunder are 7th in the NBA at 99.7 possessions per game. They have also been one of the top teams in terms of getting to the free-throw line, ranking 17th in attempts.
The Thunder’s defense is presently ranked 12th in the league, allowing an average of 113.1 points per contest. Oklahoma City’s defense is currently forcing 11.8 turnovers per game, which is 5th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 1st in blocked shots, with an average of 6.6 rejections per game.
Thunder vs. Bucks Player Prop
When looking at a player prop for this game, Khris Middleton has a points prop of 22.5 with both the over and under paying out at -115. Our projections have Khris Middleton finishing with a stat line of 18 points, 6 and 6 assists. As for his points prop, we like the under at 22.5.
- The Prop: Khris Middleton Under 22.5 Points (-115)
Thunder vs. Bucks Predictions
For a point-spread bet in this Bucks vs. Thunder matchup, we’re leaning towards the Bucks at +15. Although our projections show the Thunder winning 114-113, we suggest placing your bet on the Bucks for the point-spread.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 223.5 and given that our model is projecting 227 points between the teams, we like the over.
The Pick: Bucks +15 | at Fanduel Sportsbook