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Steelers-Bengals Props: Our Expert Reveals Surprise Best Bet (Nov. 16)

Keith Eyster

Keith Eyster

Last updated: November 16, 2025

steelers bengals props – predictions, odds & picks for Steelers-Bengals on Nov. 16, 2025 - Week 11

We’ve got you covered for the best Steelers-Bengals props for Week 11. We have a rematch of the Bengals’ thrilling 33-31 home victory on October 16. Aaron Rodgers (183/274, 1,853 yards, 18 TD, 7 INT through 9 games) faces a Bengals team that will again start Joe Flacco with Joe Burrow sidelined. The Steelers are 5.5-point favorites at Acrisure Stadium, but Rodgers is coming off his worst game of the season (161 yards, 50.6 passer rating vs LAC). Here’s the complete Steelers vs Bengals betting preview with stats for Sunday’s Week 11 showdown.

Steelers-Bengals Game Preview & Info

  • Date/Time: Sunday, Nov 16, 1:00 PM ET
  • Location: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA
  • TV: CBS
  • Steelers Record: 5-4 (2nd in AFC North)
  • Bengals Record: 3-6 (3rd in AFC North)
  • Spread: PIT -5.5

Steelers Record: 5-4 (2nd in AFC North)

  • Last Game: Loss 25-10 @ LA Chargers (Nov 9) – Rodgers 16/31, 161 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT (50.6 RTG)
  • Current Streak: Lost last game
  • Home: 3-2 | Road: 2-2
  • Rest Days: 7 days (normal week)

Bengals Record: 3-6 (3rd in AFC North)

  • Last Game: Loss 47-42 vs Chicago Bears (Nov 2) – Flacco 351 yds, 3 TD, 2 INT
  • Current Streak: Lost 4 of last 5 (only win: 33-31 vs PIT on Oct 16)
  • Home: 2-3 | Road: 1-3
  • Rest Days: 14 days (coming off bye week)

Steelers vs Bengals Player Props & Expert Pick

  • Jonnu Smith Higher Than 21.5 Receiving Yards

The Bengals have been one of the league’s worst defenses all season long, and they’ve been especially vulnerable to opposing tight ends. Cincinnati ranks third-worst in passing yards allowed per game overall and has surrendered the most receiving yards to the position.

The challenge for bettors is that Pittsburgh deploys a true tight-end committee, with Jonnu Smith, Darnell Washington, and Pat Freiermuth each playing at least 48% of snaps this season. Still, Smith has quietly separated himself as the most dependable pass-catching option. The 30-year-old leads the group in snap rate (59.7%), route participation (58.3%), and target share (12.3%).

While that target share might not jump off the page, Smith’s shallow 4.4-yard average depth of target enables a highly efficient role, reflected in his 76.5% catch rate. He has cleared this week’s line in four of nine games and faces arguably his best matchup of the season. Back in Week 7 against the Bengals, Smith sailed over this mark with 28 receiving yards, despite also committing a rare drop.

With a clearly defined role and a dream matchup against a defense that’s struggled to contain tight ends all year, Jonnu Smith over 21.5 receiving yards stands out as one of the strongest value plays on the board this week.

NFL Player Props – Live Odds

You can use our NFL Props Live Odds Comparison Tool to find the best and most accurate Steelers vs Bengals live odds and props for today!

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