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Looking for free soccer props, picks and analysis for major soccer competitions, including the English Premier League and UEFA Champions League? You’re in the right place.
In this space, we post our favorite DFS pick’em plays and soccer props today along with well-reasoned breakdowns. We’ll be focusing on the most popular daily fantasy sports and betting sites and have breakdowns for the EPL, UCL and more.
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Soccer Props Today – Premier League Picks & Analysis
Each week, we will break down the matches and pick out our favorite soccer player props.
Saturday, December 20th
We have a massive English Premier League slate to go through on Saturday, and we’re here to break it all down from a DFS and betting perspective.
Here’s the schedule:
Newcastle vs. Chelsea
Bournemouth vs. Burnley
Brighton vs. Sunderland
Man City vs. West Ham
Wolves vs. Brentford
Tottenham vs. Liverpool
Everton vs. Arsenal
Leeds vs. Crystal Palace
Biggest moneyline favorites (approximate):
- Man City (-500)
- Bournemouth (-205)
- Arsenal (-180)
- Brighton (-155)
There are a lot of notable injuries to be aware of. The likes of Mohamed Salah, Cody Gakpo, Estevao, Jeremy Doku and Ismaila Sarr are out, and a host of other key figures are questionable to play.
Here are the updated leaders in shot-creating actions per 90 minutes so far this season, filtered for non-injured players on today’s slate (Football Reference):
Rayan Cherki (6.09)
Bukayo Saka (4.93)
Florian Wirtz (4.51)
Dominik Szoboszlai (4.46)
Phil Foden (4.28)
Yeremy Pino (4.26)
Jack Grealish (4.18)
Top Targets
A quick overview of our top player picks for the upcoming slate
Man City Attack – Let’s get the obvious out of the way. All of Erling Haaland, Phil Foden and Rayan Cherki are in play at home against the Hammers. They’ve been in top form, and the Citizens are huge -500 moneyline favorites. Consider an alternate goal play on Haaland.
Antoine Semenyo > 0.5 Goals + Assists – This is a strong spot for Bournemouth at home to Burnley. Semenyo has become one of the most dangerous attacking players in the Premier League and has a great chance of at least one goal or assist here.
Bukayo Saka > 0.5 Goals + Assists – An away match against Everton doesn’t sound all that appetizing, but Arsenal should be able to control possession. The Gunners are looking strong this season, and Saka has been creating a lot of chances on a per-90 basis.
Post-Lineups Update
IMPORTANT: We recommend waiting until starting 11s are released before finalizing picks.
All mentioned players are in starting 11.
Good luck!
Soccer Props Today – Champions League Picks & Analysis
For each main UCL slate, we will break down the matches and pick out our favorite soccer player props.
Wednesday, December 10th
We have another busy day of UCL action ahead of us, highlighted by a highly-anticipated showdown between Real Madrid and Man City in Spain.
Here’s the schedule:
Qarabag vs. Ajax
Villarreal vs. FC Copenhagen
Ath Bilbao vs. PSG
Bayer Leverkusen vs. Newcastle
Benfica vs. Napoli
Club Brugge vs. Arsenal
Dortmund vs. Body/Glimt
Juventus vs. Pafos
Real Madrid vs. Man City
Some of the most popular plays on the Underdog app for that Real Madrid/Man City battle:
Biggest moneyline favorites (approximate):
Juventus (-600)
Dortmund (-295)
Arsenal (-275)
Villarreal (-220)
PSG (-135)
Updated UCL leaders in Shot-Creating Actions Per 90 Minutes, filtered for players on today’s slate (Football Reference):
- Kylian Mbappe (7.98)
- Vinicius Junior (6.77)
- Phil Foden (6.29)
- Kenan Yildiz (6.10)
- Francisco Conceicao (5.95)
- Nicolas Pepe (5.94)
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia (5.92)
- Arda Guler (5.67)
- Jens Petter Hauge (5.61)
- Jeremy Doku (5.59)
- Bradley Barcola (5.25)
- Dodi Lukebakio (4.92)
- Achraf Hakimi (4.87)
Top Targets
A quick overview of our top player picks for the upcoming slate
Nicolas Pepe > 0.5 Goals + Assists – Pepe sticks out in the two-game early slate. Villarreal will be at home to Copenhagen and is a firm favorite in the odds.
Pepe is a direct and dangerous player who is averaging 5.22 shot-creating actions per 90 minutes in La Liga play so far this season. That’s easily the most within the Villarreal squad and the 10th-most in the league.
Juventus Attack – We’ll be eagerly awaiting Juventus’ starting lineup for this favorable matchup. Dusan Vlahovic is injured. Jonathan David and Kenan Yildiz would be our preferred targets, if they make the team.
Serhou Guirassy – This is a great team situation for Dortmund at home to a less talented side, and Guirassy has been highly effective leading the line for the club in recent seasons. He should be able to score at least one goal, and if you want to take a bigger chance, consider backing him to net two or more.
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia & Bradley Barcola – PSG is without Ousmane Dembele and Achraf Hakimi, among others, yet is still favored away to Ath Bilbao. We have interest in both Kvaratskhelia and Barcola, even in what should be a hostile environment, as they’re both been creating a lot of chances going forward.
Post-Lineups Update
We recommend waiting until starting 11s are released before finalizing picks. Check back to this space later for updated plays and analysis.
Serhou Guirassy is not starting. Other than that, no updates.
Good luck!
Tuesday, December 9th
The UCL returns with a full day of action on Tuesday.
Here’s the schedule:
Kairat Almaty vs. Olympiacos
Bayern Munich vs. Sporting
Atalanta vs. Chelsea
Barcelona vs. Frankfurt
Monaco vs. Galatasaray
PSV vs. Atletico Madrid
Royale Union vs. Marseille
Tottenham vs. Slavia Prague
Biggest favorites:
- Barcelona (-600)
- Bayern Munich (-400)
- Tottenham (-220)
- Olympiacos (-205)
Most popular picks on Underdog at time of writing:
Top Targets
A quick overview of our top player picks for the upcoming slate
Harry Kane & Michael Olise – Young starlet Lennart Karl also stands out and is likely to go more under-the-radar (if he picks up the start), but it’s hard to ignore the output Kane and Olise have been producing for Bayern.
Kane has 17 goals and three assists in 20 Bundesliga matches and Olise has recorded six goals and eight assists in 13 appearances. Kane is already up to five goals in five UCL games, with Olise at three goal contributions (one goal, two assists).
Raphinha & Lamine Yamal – Another dynamic duo. Along with Robert Lewandowski, we can feel great about liberally targeting Barcelona playmakers Lamine Yamal and Raphinha. Though the competition isn’t a walkover, the Catalan outfit is the biggest favorite on this slate at home versus Eintracht Frankfurt.
Raphinha (four goals, three assists in seven La Liga matches) recently returned from injury and continues to cause havoc offensively. Ditto for Yamal, who’s notched six goals and seven assists in 12 La Liga matches and two goals and one assist in four UCL games. The dominant Spaniard is averaging 6.49 shot-creating actions per 90 minutes in Europe so far this term (Football Reference).
Richarlison – Assuming he gets the start up front, Richarlison is interesting in a home spot against Slavia Prague. He found the back of the net in the EPL over the weekend and showed great chemistry with Xavi Simons, who had his best performance in a Spurs kit.
Simons is also intriguing, as he seems to be getting more and more comfortable in his new surroundings. There’s a good chance he’ll miss out on the starting 11, though, so that’s something we’ll have to monitor.
Post-Lineups Update
We recommend waiting until starting 11s are released before finalizing picks. Check back to this space later for updated plays and analysis.
No updates today. All mentioned players are in the starting 11.
Good luck!
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Overview of Soccer Props & Betting Markets
See below for an overview of all of the most popular markets in soccer. Most of these are self-explanatory, and it should be noted that this is not a complete list of every type out there.
- Goals
- Assists
- Shots
- Shots on Target
- Crosses
- Touches
- Fouls Drawn
- Passes Attempted
- Goalie Saves
- Shots Assisted
- Clearances
- Attempted Dribbles
- Fouls
Soccer Props & Betting Strategy Tip: Understanding Odds
Just like in other sports, it’s important to understand the macro game environment in soccer. If a team is heavily favored, such as Manchester City against a weak Premier League opponent, that squad is likely to control possession and create a lot more scoring chances.
Understanding team dynamics and who will be in the best opportunities to succeed and fall short of the mark will help you narrow down your favorite soccer props and betting picks.
Feature Image Credit: Imagn
