As we head into another exciting NFL Sunday, it’s time to highlight a few players who are primed for big performances. Whether you’re eyeing favorable matchups or taking advantage of team game scripts, these three PrizePicks plays present strong opportunities to cash in.
Below you’ll find out why these players are well-positioned to exceed their PrizePicks projections this week.
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Let’s break down these plays and the reasons behind each pick, so you can take full advantage this week.
Jayden Reed MORE Than 4.5 Receptions
Jayden Reed has been a consistent target in the Packers’ offense, and this week’s game looks like another solid opportunity for him to shine. His projection is set at 4.5 receptions, and with sportsbooks favoring the over at -138 odds, Reed is expected to see a lot of action.
Projections have him hauling in 5+ receptions on around 8 targets, and the Packers are expected to pass on 64% of their plays. Given that the game is shaping up to be high-scoring, Reed’s involvement in the passing game should be significant. Plus, the Texans’ defense has been average at best when defending wide receivers. All signs point to Reed surpassing 4.5 receptions comfortably.
DK Metcalf MORE Than 4.5 Receptions
DK Metcalf is always a threat in the Seahawks’ offense, and this Sunday, he has a favorable matchup against Atlanta’s defense. Metcalf is projected for 5+ receptions and more than 8 targets, making him a key player in a game where the Seahawks are expected to pass often.
The Seahawks come into this game as 3.5-point underdogs, which typically forces more passing plays as they try to keep up with their opponent. Atlanta’s defense has allowed the highest adjusted completion percentage in the league at a staggering 75%. With Metcalf being one of the focal points in Seattle’s passing game, it’s hard to see him falling short of the 4.5-reception mark.
Amon-Ra St. Brown MORE Than 16.5 Fantasy Score
When it comes to Amon-Ra St. Brown, everything lines up for a strong performance this Sunday. With a fantasy score line set at 16.5, St. Brown is projected for nearly 90 receiving yards and 7 receptions. That alone puts him in a great spot to hit the over, but there’s more: he’s got a solid chance of finding the end zone as well, which would significantly boost his fantasy score.
The Lions are expected to pass on nearly 62% of their plays, and the game being played in a dome means weather won’t be an issue. The Vikings’ defense has struggled against wide receivers, ranking 29th in receptions allowed and 28th in receiving yards given up. This matchup gives St. Brown the perfect opportunity to clear 16.5 fantasy points, especially in a game where he’s likely to see a high volume of targets.
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These three plays all have one thing in common: they align with favorable game scripts, matchups, and projections. Jayden Reed benefits from a high-volume passing attack in what could be a shootout, DK Metcalf has the perfect matchup against a weak Atlanta secondary, and Amon-Ra St. Brown is positioned to thrive against a Vikings defense that struggles to defend wideouts.
What sets these picks apart is the combination of expected volume and defensive vulnerabilities. Reed and Metcalf are both in positions where their teams are likely to pass more due to the game script, while St. Brown has a dream matchup against a defense that has consistently given up big yardage to wide receivers.
Tip of the Day: Combine Volume with Weak Matchups
When selecting PrizePicks plays, always factor in how often a player is likely to be targeted or used in the game, especially in matchups where the opposing defense has clear weaknesses.
High-volume receivers going up against defenses that allow high completion rates or yardage offer great value for hitting the over on receptions or fantasy points. Pay attention to these trends and matchups to give yourself an edge when picking your plays.