As we head into more exciting Monday Night Football action, two key PrizePicks plays stand out as high-value picks for tonight’s games.
Mike Evans and Ladd McConkey both find themselves in favorable positions to surpass their PrizePicks numbers, thanks to projected volume and exploitable matchups. Let’s break it down below.
Monday’s Sharp Selections: NFL Week 7 PrizePicks Monday Preview
Let’s break down why these two plays are worth locking in for Monday night.
Play 1: Mike Evans More Than 53.5 Receiving Yards
Mike Evans has been a consistent target for the Buccaneers this season, and Monday night presents an ideal opportunity for him to continue delivering. PrizePicks has set his receiving yard number at 53.5, while projections have him racking up over 65 yards on around 7 targets.
Evans’ role is even more critical in this matchup as the Buccaneers enter the game as 3.5-point underdogs, likely leading to a pass-heavy game script. Tampa Bay is projected to pass on nearly 63% of plays, which should result in plenty of opportunities for Evans to surpass this line.
Baltimore’s defense has been vulnerable against wide receivers, ranking 31st in the league in receiving yards given up to opposing wideouts. This weakness plays right into Evans’ strengths, making more than 53.5 receiving yards a strong bet. With the Buccaneers needing to stay competitive in a likely pass-heavy game, Evans should have no problem clearing this number.
Play 2: Ladd McConkey More Than 52.5 Receiving Yards
Ladd McConkey is another receiver primed for a productive night. His PrizePicks number is set at 52.5 receiving yards, while projections have him going for over 60 yards on 8+ targets. The Cardinals’ defense has struggled mightily against opposing wide receivers, ranking 23rd worst in yards allowed and allowing the highest adjusted completion percentage to receivers in the league.
Arizona’s defensive struggles create an ideal matchup for McConkey to thrive. With low wind conditions, there won’t be any weather-related disruptions to the passing game, meaning McConkey should have a clear path to exceed his receiving yardage projection. His high projected target share only adds to the confidence that he will see enough volume to surpass 52.5 receiving yards.
Why These Plays Are Worth Locking In
Both Mike Evans and Ladd McConkey are set to be heavily involved in their respective team’s game plans, with strong projected target shares and favorable matchups. What makes these plays particularly attractive is the combination of weak opposing defenses and game scripts that point toward a pass-heavy approach for both the Buccaneers and Cardinals.
Evans benefits from facing a Ravens defense that has consistently given up big yardage to receivers, while McConkey is up against an Arizona defense that has struggled all season to contain wideouts. Both players are in positions where their teams will likely lean on the pass, making these strong plays for Monday night.
Tip of the Day: Exploit Defensive Weaknesses
When looking for PrizePicks plays, always focus on how opposing defenses have performed against specific positions. Weaknesses like Baltimore’s struggles against wide receivers and Arizona’s inability to contain the pass can offer valuable insights into which players are likely to exceed their projected yardage or reception lines. Combine that with game scripts where teams are expected to pass more often, and you have a recipe for success.
Good luck with your PrizePicks entries, and here’s to a winning Monday night!
