Rockets vs. Warriors Player Props, Odds & Predictions – Thursday, Apr 4

Nov 20, 2023; San Francisco, California, USA; Houston Rockets guard Dillon Brooks (9) looks down against the Golden State Warriors during the fourth quarter at Chase Center.
Image Credit: D. Ross Cameron-USA TODAY Sports

If you’re on the hunt for predictions regarding Rockets vs. Warriors, look no further. The Warriors are hitting the road to challenge the Rockets on Thursday, Apr 4 at 8:00 ET. Currently, the total is 227.5, with Warriors being favored by 3.5. Check out our Rockets vs. Warriors player props and predictions.

Rockets vs. Warriors Odds

  • Spread: Warriors -3.5
  • Total 227.5

Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!

Game Info

  • Date: Thursday, Apr 4
  • Time: 8:00 ET
  • Location: Toyota Center, Houston TX
  • TV: NBCS

Warriors Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Warriors have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • Golden State has played well in their previous three road games, going 3-0 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 111 points per game while allowing 101. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • Golden State has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in their last three games.

Rockets Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Rockets have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • The Rockets are 2-1 ATS in their last three home games and 2-1 straight-up.
  • In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Rockets have a straight up record of 4-6 and an ATS mark of 7-3.

Can Golden State Secure a Road Victory?

The Warriors have won five straight games and are currently 10th in the Western Conference with a record of 41-34. In the Pacific Division, they are in 5th place.

On the road, Golden State is 22-15 this season and they have covered the spread in four straight games. Their ATS record on the road is 25-12, compared to 16-21 at home.

This season, the Warriors are 32-16 as the favorite and have gone 24-24 ATS as the favorite. As the favorite, they have won three straight games and have a scoring margin of +5.3 points per game.

Golden State’s O/U record for the season is 36-38-1, and their games have averaged 233.4 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 227.5.

In their last game, the Warriors beat the Mavericks by a score of 104-100. Golden State was a 1-point underdog in that game, giving them the ATS win. The O/U line for that game was 232.

When it comes to scoring, the Warriors are 8th in the NBA at 117.8 points per game. However, they have scored less than the league average in 42.7% of their games this season. In terms of pace, Golden State is 9th in the league at 99.6 possessions per game.

On the road, the Warriors are averaging 118 points per game compared to 117.6 at home. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 15th in the NBA at 47%. From two-point range, Golden State is 16th in the league at 54%.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Warriors are 3rd in the NBA in both makes (14.7 per game) and attempts (39.1 per game). Overall, they are 6th in three-point shooting percentage at 37%. In terms of free throws, Golden State is 26th in makes at 15.7 per game.

At present, the Warriors’ defense is ranked 17th, allowing 115.6 points per game. The Warriors defense is coming off a game in which they held the Mavericks offense to just 45.6% shooting. Overall, they gave up 100 points to Dallas.

Will Houston Find a Way to Win at Home?

Houston’s O/U record for the season is 36-39, and the over has hit in their last two games. Today’s line of 227.5 is slightly higher than their season average of 226.6.

The Rockets have gone 24-22 vs. the spread as underdogs this season and are 43-31 overall. At home, they are 27-11 ATS compared to 16-20 on the road. As underdogs, their ATS record is 24-22.

In their most recent game, the Rockets lost to the Timberwolves by a score of 113-106. The O/U line for that game was 214.5, and Houston covered the spread as 7.5-point underdogs.

Following that loss, the Rockets are now 38-37 on the season and are currently 11th in the Western Conference. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 26-21 and 9-6 vs. the Southwest Division.

As underdogs this season, the Rockets are 15-32 and are 3.5-point underdogs today. They have gone 9-2 ATS as underdogs in their last 11 games.

The Rockets are one of the most efficient teams in the league at getting to the free-throw line, averaging 23.4 attempts per game (6th). They have also been above the NBA scoring average in 42.7% of their games this season.

When it comes to three-point shooting, Houston is 16th in the league in three-point makes per game (12.6). However, they are just 23rd in three-point shooting percentage at 35%.

At home this season, the Rockets are averaging 116.4 points per game (13th). For the season, they are 16th in the league in scoring at 114.1 points per game.

Coming into today’s game, the Rockets’ defense is giving up an average of 112.6 points per contest. Opponents are hitting 54.0% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 34.5% of their three-point attempts.

Rockets vs. Warriors Player Prop

A player prop we are looking at is Jalen Green and his points prop of 26.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -127 while the under is at -108. In his matchup vs. the Rockets, we are recommending to take the under on Jalen Green and his prop of 26.5 points. Our player projection model has him falling short of his prop with a projected 24.

  • The Prop: Jalen Green Under 26.5 Points (-108)

Rockets vs. Warriors Predictions

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Warriors vs. Rockets game, our recommendation is to take the Rockets at +3.5. Despite our model showing the Warriors winning 110-108, we like Rockets as our point-spread pick.

As for the over/under, the line is currently at 227.5, and our model projects the Warriors and Rockets to reach a combined total of 218 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

The Pick: Rockets +3.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook