Nuggets vs. Wizards Player Props, Odds & Predictions – Thursday, Feb 22

Nov 25, 2023; Washington, District of Columbia, USA; Washington Wizards forward Kyle Kuzma (33) looks on against the Atlanta Hawks during the second half at Capital One Arena.
Image Credit: Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports

The Nuggets are all set to face off against the Washington Wizards on Thursday, Feb 22. Today’s game is slated to tip off at 9:00 ET and will be shown on ALT. Denver enters this contest as 15.5-point favorites, and the over/under total stands at 232. Can the Wizards come out on top as the favorite? Our Nuggets vs. Wizards predictions can be found below.

Nuggets vs. Wizards Odds

  • Spread: Nuggets -15.5
  • Total 232

Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!

Game Info

  • Date: Thursday, Feb 22
  • Time: 9:00 ET
  • Location: Ball Arena, Denver CO
  • TV: ALT

Wizards Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Wizards have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • Across the Wizards last ten road games, the team averaged 112 points per game while allowing 117. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 8-2, while going 3-7 straight-up.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Wizards have gone 4-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 0-5.

Nuggets Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Nuggets have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
  • Although Denver has a straight up record of 4-6 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 3-6-1. The team averaged 106 points per game in these games.
  • Although the Nuggets have a strong straight up record in their last five games as the betting favorite, they have not done as well vs the spread going 2-3.

Can Washington Lock in a Road Win?

Washington has lost eight straight games and is 9-45 on the season. In the Eastern Conference, they are in 14th place and 5th in the Southeast Division.

The Wizards are 15.5-point underdogs today and have been the underdog in all but three of their games this season. As the underdog, they have gone 9-42 straight-up and 26-24 against the spread.

This season, Washington has an average scoring differential of -9.2 points per game as the underdog. On the road, their scoring differential is -7.5 PPG.

In their last game against the Pelicans, the Wizards lost by a score of 133-126. The O/U line for that game was 234.5, and Washington covered the spread as 14.5-point underdogs.

For the season, the Wizards have an O/U record of 25-29, and their games have averaged 238.6 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 232.

Against the spread, the Wizards have covered in two straight games and have an overall ATS record of 26-27. On the road, they are 19-9 ATS compared to 7-18 ATS at home.

Washington comes into this game as the NBA’s top-ranked team in pace, averaging 102.5 possessions per game. However, their scoring has been inconsistent, as they have outscored the league average in just 50% of their games. So far this season, the Wizards are averaging 114.8 points per game, which is 16th in the NBA.

When it comes to shooting, Washington is 17th in field goal percentage at 47%. They have been one of the league’s best teams inside the arc, converting 55% of their two-point attempts (14th). However, they are just 28th in three-point shooting at 35%.

On the road, the Wizards are averaging 115.3 points per game compared to 114.2 at home. In terms of free throws, they are 23rd in the NBA in free throws made per game (16) and 25th in attempts (20.9). Washington’s assist numbers are solid, as they are 9th in the league at 28.1 per game.

On defense, the Wizards are ranked 29th in the NBA this season. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA scoring average in 70.4% of their games. On two point field goal attempts, the Wizards’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 57.1% and allowing 36.7% from beyond the arc.

Can the Denver Offense Score Enough at Home?

The Nuggets are favored by 15.5 points today and have been the favorite in 47 of their 55 games this season. As the favorite, they have gone 34-13 straight up and 19-26 against the spread. On average, they have outscored their opponents by 4.9 points per game as the favorite.

In Western Conference play, the Nuggets are 20-13 compared to 16-6 against non-conference opponents. This puts them in 4th place in the West and 3rd in the Northwest Division with a record of 36-19.

Denver has lost three straight games both straight up and against the spread. In their last game, they were favored by 5.5 points but lost to the Kings by a score of 102-98. The O/U line for that game was 228.5.

This season, the Nuggets have an O/U record of 19-35-1, and their games have averaged 224.8 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 232, and the team has hit the under in their last two games.

At home, the Nuggets are averaging 118.7 points per game, which is 10th in the NBA. Overall, they are 19th in scoring at 113.9 points per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, Denver is 14th in the league with a 36% success rate. They are 26th in three-pointers made per game at 11.5.

So far this season, the Nuggets have outscored the NBA scoring average in 43.6% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 29th in the league at 95.9 possessions per game.

Currently, the Nuggets’ defense holds the 6th rank in the NBA, allowing 110.8 points per game. Opponents are hitting 53.0% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 36.2% of their three-point attempts.

Nuggets vs. Wizards Player Prop

A player prop we are looking at is Nikola Jokic and his points prop of 27.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -142 while the under is at +104. According to our projections, Nikola Jokic is expected to record 26 points, 12 rebounds, and 9 assists. Regarding his points prop, we recommend taking the under at 27.5.

  • The Prop: Nikola Jokic Under 27.5 Points (+104)

Nuggets vs. Wizards Predictions

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Wizards vs. Nuggets game, our recommendation is to take the Wizards at +15.5. Despite our model showing the Nuggets winning 121-114, we like Wizards as our point-spread pick.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 232, and our model predicts the Wizards and Nuggets to score a combined 235 points. We recommend betting on the over.

The Pick: Wizards +15.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook