The Nuggets host the Phoenix Suns on Wednesday, Mar 27. Today’s game is set for 10:00 ET and will be shown on ESPN. Denver comes into this game as 7.5-point favorites with the total set at 226.5. Keep reading to get our Nuggets vs. Suns predictions.
Nuggets vs. Suns Odds
- Spread: Nuggets -7.5
- Total 226.5
Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!
Game Info
- Date: Wednesday, Mar 27
- Time: 10:00 ET
- Location: Ball Arena, Denver CO
- TV: ESPN
Suns Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Suns have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- In their last five games away from home, the Suns have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 116 points per game in these contests.
- Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Suns have gone 1-4 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-4.
Nuggets Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Nuggets have an over/under record of 5-0 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
- Across their five previous home games, Denver has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 4-1 while averaging 110 points per game.
- Through their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Nuggets have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 2-3.
Are Phoenix Ready for a Road Win?
Phoenix is 7.5-point underdogs today against the Nuggets and has gone 6-12 straight-up as underdogs this season. On the road, the Suns are 15-20 ATS compared to 14-22 ATS at home.
On average, Phoenix’s games have finished with 231.2 points this season, and today’s O/U line is set at 226.5. The Suns’ O/U record for the season is 32-39-1.
In their last game, the Suns lost to the Spurs by a score of 104-102. The O/U line for that game was 234.5, giving them an ATS loss. Phoenix was favored by 12 points going into the game.
Overall, the Suns are 42-30 this season, which has them in 8th place in the Western Conference. Against the West, they are 23-20 and 7-8 against other Pacific Division teams.
In the Western Conference, Phoenix is currently in 3rd place. On the road, the Suns are 19-16 compared to 23-14 at home. Their ATS record on the road is 15-20, while they have covered the spread in their last two home games.
Phoenix’s offense is one of the most efficient in the NBA, ranking 4th in both field goal percentage and true shooting percentage. They are also 4th in free throws made per game, but just 21st in three-pointers made.
On the season, the Suns are averaging 117.1 points per game, which is 10th in the league. They have scored at least the NBA average in 56.9% of their games.
When it comes to pace, Phoenix is 15th in the NBA. In terms of assists, they are 12th overall.
Coming into today’s game, the Suns’ defense is giving up an average of 114.1 points per contest. Inside the arc, the Suns defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 53.2% and 36.2% from three-point territory.
Will Denver Come Through as Home Favorites?
As the Nuggets look to extend their win streak to five games, they are favored by 7.5 points against the Suns. This season, Denver has been favored in 62 of their 72 games, going 47-15 as the favorite.
Denver’s O/U record for the season is 29-41-2, and their games have averaged 224.8 points per game, compared to today’s line of 226.5. The team’s last four games have all gone over the O/U line.
In their most recent game, the Nuggets defeated the Grizzlies by a score of 128-103. The O/U line for that game was 214.5 points. Denver covered the spread as 12.5-point favorites.
Looking at the Western Conference standings, the Nuggets are in 1st place with a record of 51-21. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 29-15 compared to 22-6 against the East.
Denver has an ATS record of 33-37 this season, going 18-16 against the spread at home and 15-21 on the road. The team has covered the spread in their last two home games and are 28-32 ATS as the favorite.
At home, the Nuggets are averaging 119.0 points per game, which is 10th in the NBA. Overall, they are 14th in scoring at 114.8 points per game. Denver is one of the top teams in the league in field goal percentage, shooting 49% on the season. In terms of pace, the Nuggets are 28th in the NBA.
When it comes to three-point shooting, Denver is 11th in the league in percentage at 37%. However, they are last in the NBA in three-point attempts per game. In terms of free throws, the Nuggets are 29th in both attempts and makes.
One area where the Nuggets excel is in two-point shooting. They are 9th in the league in two-point percentage at 56%. In addition, Denver is 3rd in the NBA in assists.
In the current season, the Nuggets defense has excelled, sitting 7th in the NBA by allowing 110.0 points per game. Denver’s defense is currently forcing 11.8 turnovers per game, which is 6th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 11th in blocked shots, with an average of 5.5 rejections per game.
Nuggets vs. Suns Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is Nikola Jokic and his points prop of 28.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -105 while the under is at -125. In this game against the Nuggets, we suggest betting on the under for Nikola Jokic and his points prop set at 28.5. Our player projection model anticipates him not reaching his prop, with a projected total of 26.
- The Prop: Nikola Jokic Under 28.5 Points (-125)
Nuggets vs. Suns Predictions
Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +7.5, the Suns is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.
Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 226.5, and our model predicts the Suns and Nuggets to score a combined 225 points. We recommend betting on the under.
The Pick: Suns +7.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook