NFL Wildcard Weekend Parlay: Aiming For 13x Return

Houston Texans running back Joe Mixon (28) scores a touchdown during the third quarter of an NFL football matchup Sunday, Dec. 1, 2024 at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Fla. The Texans held off the Jaguars 23-20.
Image Credit: Corey Perrine/Florida Times-Union

Wild card weekend is here, and with it one more time trying to 13x ourselves over at Underdog.

NFL Wildcard Weekend Parlay – 13x Value Picks

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Starting with a Saturday game, where we are all over Isaiah Likely to go higher than 26.5 receiving yards. This one is just about a lock button, as the Ravens will be without Zay Flowers, and Likely is very likely to just about fill that role. Additionally, the Steelers pass defense has traditionally been weak over the middle, and Joey Porter Jr. will be nowhere near Likely.

Honestly, he might hit this number on the first drive. Love it.

Next up, and sticking with the Saturday slate, let’s take Joe Mixon of the Texans to go higher than 18.5 rushing attempts – which also gives us a bit of a boost to 1.05x. The Chargers rush defense is nothing spectacular, the Texans are at home, and there is zero question they want to run the ball.

As long as the game is close, Mixon is going to get fed, and the Texans stifling defense should give Justin Herbert enough headaches to do just that. 

For our third play, to Buffalo where we’re going with Marvin Mims Jr. to go higher than 40.5 receiving yards. Put simply, this number is too low for Mims’ new role in the Broncos offense, which can best be described as “featured.” After not getting more than three targets in any of the first nine games of the season, he’s had less than four only once since then. He’s also topped the 40.5 yardage marker in six of his last seven outings. Add in the fact the Broncos will almost certainly have to throw the ball, playing from behind, and that’s a recipe for a Mims smash.

Lastly, to Tampa, where we’re going to take Jayden Daniels to go higher than 0.5 rushing and receiving touchdowns. Daniels is inarguably one of the most dangerous quarterbacks running the ball, and in a win-or-go-home situation, it would seem more than likely that Daniels will be looking to scramble.

It doesn’t hurt that he has six rushing touchdowns on the year, that he hasn’t rushed the ball fewer than seven times in the last six games (discounting Week 18 here) and, as a bonus, the multiplier is at 1.26x, bringing the entire play to a juicy 13.23x.

NFL Wildcard Weekend Picks

Isaiah Likely higher than 26.5 receiving yards

Joe Mixon higher than 18.5 rushing attempts

Marvin Mims higher than 40.5 receiving yards

Jayden Daniels higher than 0.5 rushing and receiving touchdowns

13x at Underdog

As a reminder, this is a longer-shot combo of picks that carries more risk but a higher return if all hit. Good luck with all of your NFL plays in Wildcard Weekend!