NFL Week 16 Odds: Bettors Back Dolphins Vs Undermanned Saints

UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET MONDAY: Miami stretched out to -3.5 a couple of times today at DraftKings and is now at -3 (-115). Keep in mind, this tilt opened at New Orleans -3 (-120), went to Saints -2.5 Thursday morning, then jumped straight to Miami -1.5 Thursday afternoon. The swift move was due to Saints QBs Taysom Hill and Trevor Siemian both entering COVID protocols. New Orleans will start rookie Ian Book, a fourth-round draft pick out of Notre Dame.

Point-spread ticket count is 2/1 and money 3/1 on the Dolphins for the Week 16 Monday nighter. The total tumbled from 40.5 to 37 by Sunday night, but rebounded to 38 today. Ticket count is 2/1 on the Over, while money is running almost dead even.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SATURDAY: With New Orleans currently minus QBs Taysom Hill and Trevor Siemian (COVID), the Monday Night Football line flipped at every sportsbook. WynnBet opened the Saints -3, then Friday went to straight to Dolphins -2.5 on the New Orleans COVID news. Miami is taking 55% of tickets and 78% of money. The total dropped to 37.5 from a 39 opener, although 68% of tickets/70% of dollars are on the Over.

UPDATE 8:15 P.M. ET FRIDAY: New Orleans is among several teams dealing with ‘rona issues in Week 15, causing this line to jump the fence. Most notably, starting QB Taysom Hill and backup Trevor Siemian are in COVID protocols. So at the moment, rookie Ian Book is the starter for the Monday night game.

DraftKings initially had the Saints as 3-point favorites and went to -2.5 Thursday morning. A few hours later, after the COVID news became public, the number jumped straight to Dolphins -1.5. By late Friday night, the spread had leapt another point to Miami -2.5.

Miami is collecting 57% of spread bets and a more robust 79% of spread cash. The total fell from 40.5 to 37.5, with 72% of bets on the Over/70% of cash on the Under.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Generally speaking, New Orleans (7-7 SU and ATS) is as middling as its record. But one thing the Saints have that no one else does: two wins over the defending Super Bowl champion. In Week 15, the Saints — 11.5-point road underdogs — stymied Tampa Bay in a 9-0 snoozer of a Sunday night game.

In Week 8, the Saints beat the Bucs in a much more exciting tilt, 36-27 as a 4-point home pup.

Miami got a quick Week 15 wake-up call against the Jets, falling behind 10-0 and 17-7 in the first half. The Dolphins (7-7 SU, 7-6-1 ATS) pulled it together for a 31-24 win, but failed to cover as 10.5-point favorites. Still, the ‘Phins are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in their last six.

The SuperBook took Dolphins-Saints off the NFL Week 16 odds board board when Saints-Bucs kicked off Sunday night. There was no early movement, and Dolphins-Saints will go back up Monday morning.

UPDATE 1 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Caesars dropped Dallas straight from -9.5 to -8.5 this morning, after opening the week at -10 and peaking at -11 midweek. Washington is taking a slim majority 52% of spread bets, along with 56% of spread dollars for the Sunday night game. The total dropped from 47.5 to 46.5, with ticket count 4/1 and money beyond 9/1 on the Under.

UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Dallas spent all week at -10.5, then Friday afternoon fell to -10 at WynnBet. The Cowboys are landing 56% of spread bets and 62% of spread dollars. The total has been nailed to 47, with 56% of bets/71% of cash on the Under.

UPDATE 2 P.M. ET FRIDAY: DraftKings installed Dallas as a 10-point chalk, spent most of the week at -10.5, then returned to -10 this morning. It’s two-way action with a lean toward the Cowboys, who are getting 56% of bets/54% of money. The total opened at 47.5, dipped to 46.5 Thursday night, and is now 47. The Under is seeing 70% of bets/80% of money so far for the Sunday night game.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Dallas has followed a 1-3 SU and ATS skid by winning and cashing in its last three games. In Week 15, the Cowboys (10-4 SU, 11-3 ATS) took care of the New York Giants 21-6 as 11.5-point road faves. Dallas is tied with Green Bay for the NFL’s No. 1 spread-covering mark.

Washington still has Week 15 work to do, due to mounting COVID issues among its players. The Football Team was scheduled to play at Philadelphia on Sunday, but will now play Tuesday night. Washington (6-7 SU, 5-8 ATS) just played Dallas in Week 14, losing 27-20 as a 6.5-point home ‘dog.

“How is this the Sunday Night Football game, with all these other actual good games available on Sunday?” Murray pondered. “We opened Dallas -10 and were quickly bet up to -10.5. That number may climb depending on [Washington’s] results this week. We will be big Football Team supporters next Sunday night.”

The total was stable tonight.

Bills at Patriots

Opening line: Pick, Over/Under 44

UPDATE 12:45 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Shortly before kickoff, New England is a 1-point favorite at Caesars Sportsbook, after bouncing around a bit this week. The Patriots opened -1, got to -2.5 Monday, then slowly backed up to -1 by this morning. Buffalo is attracting 58% of spread bets and 79% of spread dollars. The total inched from 44 to 43.5, with 58% of tickets/85% of money on the Under.

UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: New England moved from -1.5 to -2 early Wednesday, then backed up to -1 this evening at WynnBet. Ticket count is dead even, and the Patriots are netting 62% of money on the spread. The total moved from 44 to 43.5 Tuesday and hasn’t budged since, with 60% of tickets on the Over/76% of money on the Under.

UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: WynnBet bumped New England from -1.5 to -2 in the wee hours today. Buffalo is actually taking a slim majority of tickets, at 53%, but 80% of money thus far is on the Patriots. The total dipped from 44 to 43.5 Tuesday afternoon, with 60% of tickets on the Over/84% of cash on the Under.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Buffalo (8-6 SU, 7-6-1 ATS) halted a 1-3 SU and ATS skid in Week 15, blasting Carolina 31-14 as 14.5-point home favorites.

Meanwhile, New England finally cooled off after a blazing 7-0 SU and ATS spree. The Patriots (9-5 SU and ATS) went to Indianapolis as 1-point underdogs and exited with a 27-17 loss.

In Week 13, the Pats went to Buffalo, attempted just three passes in gusty conditions, and yet still upset the Bills 14-10 as 3-point pups.

“This was one we had a good discussion about before opening it as a pick ’em and letting the bettors decide which way it should go,” Murray said. “We took a sharp bet on the Patriots right away and went to [New England] -1. The Patriots really struggled Saturday night against the Colts, but we don’t want to overreact too much to one game. This should be one of the best games of the week. I expect to need the Bills.”

While the total nudged a point, the total was stable tonight at The SuperBook.

UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Baltimore is a mess at quarterback, so correspondingly, the line made a big move this evening. Lamar Jackson (ankle) is out, and news hit this afternoon that backup Tyler Huntley entered COVID protocols and is also out. After opening at -2.5, Cincinnati was already up to -5 before today’s update that relative unknown Josh Johnson will start for Baltimore.

WynnBet took the game off the board, then this evening reposted at Bengals -7.5, where the line sits now. Cincy is garnering a relatively modest 57% of bets, but that’s translating into 87% of money. Bengals spread is WynnBet’s top liability among all remaining games in the NFL Week 16 odds market. The total moved from 43.5 to 45.5 by Tuesday, then fell to 44.5 Friday. The Over is seeing 66% of bets/54% of money.

UPDATE 3 P.M. ET FRIDAY: The Bengals jumped a full point in the last hour, from -3.5 to -4.5 at DraftKings. That came after starting today at -3, spending a good chunk of the week at -2.5, and even sitting at -2 for a bit. Today’s move stemmed from Ravens QB Lamar Jackson (ankle) remaining questionable and not practicing. Jackson’s backup, Tyler Huntley (non-COVID illness), also sat out today.

Cincinnati is netting 54% of spread bets and 68% of spread money. The total opened at 43.5, peaked at 45.5 Thursday and is now 44.5. Despite the Ravens’ uncertainty at QB, 76% of bets and 94% of dollars are on the Over.

UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Cincinnati hasn’t moved off -2.5 at WynnBet, beyond a price adjustment from the flat -110 to -120 this evening. The Bengals are seeing 53% of spread bets and 72% of spread money. The total climbed from 43.5 to 45.5, with ticket count 4/1 and money 5/1 on the Over. Baltimore QB Lamar Jackson (ankle) remains questionable. However, based on the spread and the movement on the total, it would appear he’s expected to play Sunday.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Baltimore almost made do without Lamar Jackson (ankle) against Green Bay, arguably the NFL’s best team. The Ravens (8-6 SU, 7-7 ATS) rallied from a 31-17 fourth-quarter deficit with two late TDs to pull within 31-30. But after the second score, John Harbaugh opted to go for a potential game-winning 2-point conversion that was snuffed out.

Ravens bettors were surely happy to see them cover as 9-point underdogs. But Baltimore has lost three in a row and four of six SU to fall out of the AFC North penthouse. While the Ravens are technically tied with Cincinnati for first place in the division, the Bengals own the tiebreaker.

Cincinnati (8-6 SU, 7-7 ATS) has been inconsistent, as well. But in Week 15, the Bengals slogged to a 15-10 win catching 3 points at Denver. Cincy now hopes to mimic one of its most impressive wins of the season: a 41-17 road rout of Baltimore catching 6.5 points in Week 7.

“This was the only game we considered not opening for betting, due to the Lamar Jackson situation,” Murray said. “We lined the game as if Lamar will be back under center for Baltimore, and apparently the market agreed. We quickly moved down to Ravens +3 (-120), took a bet at that number and went to Bengals -2.5. The Ravens are looking like a good teaser option for next week.”

While the line dipped a point, the total was unchanged tonight.

UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Kansas City continues getting players back from the COVID list, and the line keeps rising in response. Most notably today, stud wideout Tyreek Hill was cleared. Star tight end Travis Kelce remains in protocols but hopes to gain clearance. Several books got as low as Chiefs -7.5/-7 earlier in the week. Tonight at WynnBet, K.C. is a 10-point chalk, with ticket count just shy of 2/1 and money beyond 3/1 on the Chiefs.

The total moved from 46 to 45 to 45.5, with 68% of tickets on the Over/72% of money on the Under.

UPDATE 2 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Kansas City hit DraftKings’ NFL Week 16 odds board as a 9.5-point chalk and peaked at -10.5. The Chiefs then tumbled to -7 Tuesday due to their COVID situation, leading DK and other sportsbooks to take the game off the board. The line went back up Thursday at Chiefs -8.5, where it remains now. Neither starting TE Travis Kelce nor WR Tyreek Hill have cleared COVID protocols yet.

Kansas City is netting 65% of spread bets, while Pittsburgh is taking 57% of spread money. The total moved from 46.5 to 47, then went straight to 44 on Tuesday’s COVID news, before coming off the board. On Thursday, the total went back up at 44.5 and quickly rose to 45. The Over is getting 72% of bets and the Under 62% of money.

UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: This is the matchup with the most notable COVID volatility so far. In fact, the game is off the board at most books right now. At the moment, Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce are on the COVID/reserve list, as are several more players. DraftKings opened Kansas City -9.5 Sunday night and got to -10.5 in short order, before backing up to -9.5 Monday.

On Tuesday afternoon, the number went straight to Chiefs -7.5 and then to -7 as K.C.’s COVID issues grew. The total initially rose from 46.5 to 47, then dropped to 44. With the game now off the board, betting splits weren’t available.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Kansas City (10-4 SU, 7-7 ATS) appears to be rounding into form on the field. Hell, the Chiefs are even covering spreads. They’re also coming off a mini-bye, having played the Week 15 Thursday night game.

KC was a 3-point chalk at the Los Angeles Chargers, got a late TD to tie the game at 28, then won 34-28 in overtime. Those final two TDs were both Patrick Mahomes-to-Travis Kelce hookups, and they gave the Chiefs’ their seventh consecutive SU victory and fifth straight spread-cover.

Pittsburgh (7-6-1 SU, 6-8 ATS) kept itself in the hunt in a messy and tight AFC North race. Stepping out of the division, the Steelers rallied from a 10-0 deficit and stopped Tennessee 19-13 giving 1 point at home.

“We opened Chiefs -10 and are still there,” Murray said. “We felt the Steelers were very fortunate to win today, and it was mostly a product of Tennessee turnovers and some questionable whistles. And let’s face it, the Chiefs are the best team in the NFL right now.”

Like the point spread, the total also was unchanged tonight.

UPDATE 2 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Tampa Bay opened -14 at DraftKings prior to its Week 15 Sunday night game against New Orleans, which it lost 9-0. The NFL Week 16 betting market quickly reacted to that upset, with the Bucs dropping to -11.5 Monday morning, though that was as much due to injuries as the Bucs’ loss. Wideout Chris Godwin (knee) is done for the season, and running back Leonard Fournette (hamstring) went on injured reserve, so his regular season is finished.

By early this morning, Tampa was down to -9.5, then back up to -10 on Friday, with tickets running 3/1 and money 2/1 on the Bucs.

The total plunged from 48.5 to 42.5 by Thursday afternoon, then nudged up to 43 today. Ticket count is almost dead even, while 86% of money is on the Under.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: In Week 15, Tampa Bay aimed to keep pace with Green Bay atop the NFL standings. Instead, the Buccaneers — who took the field as an 11.5-point Sunday night home favorite against New Orleans — were stunningly shut out 9-0. Tampa, which had been 5-0 SU and ATS as a double-digit favorite, fell to 10-4 SU (7-7 ATS).

After getting swept in their home-and-home series against New Orleans, the Bucs’ Week 16 opponent might be just what they need. Carolina (5-9 SU and ATS) has dumped four in a row on the scoreboard and at the betting window, and is 2-9 SU and ATS since starting out 3-0 SU and ATS. In Week 15, the Panthers lost at Buffalo 31-14 getting 14.5 points.

Per The SuperBook’s standard operating procedure, once the Saints-Bucs game kicked off, Bucs-Panthers came off the NFL Week 16 odds board. There was no movement at that point, and Bucs-Panthers will go back up Monday morning.

UPDATE 8:15 P.M. ET FRIDAY: DraftKings has bounced around on Los Angeles a bit, opening at -3 (even), dipping to -2.5 (-125) midweek, then rising to -3.5 Thursday, with the spread staying there late Friday. Ticket count is almost 5/1 and money almost 4/1 on the Rams. The total opened at 49, peaked at 49.5, bottomed out at 48, and is now 49 again. The Over is netting 55% of bets, while 63% of cash is on the Under.

UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Los Angeles inched up from -2.5 to -3 this morning at WynnBet and is now -3 (even). Ticket count and money are running 4/1 on the Rams. The total is stuck on 49, with 60% of early tickets/90% of early money on the Under. L.A. hosted Seattle on Tuesday night, in a COVID-delayed game, and won 20-10 as a 6.5-point home fave.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Thanks to Los Angeles’ COVID issues, its Week 15 home tilt against Seattle has yet to take place. The NFL moved the game from Sunday to Tuesday night. The Rams have followed a three-game losing skid with back-to-back victories. That includes an impressive 30-23 Week 14 win as 3-point pups at Arizona.

Minnesota (6-7 SU, 7-6 ATS) also has Week 15 work to do, though in the regularly scheduled Monday night tilt at Chicago.

The SuperBook lowered the Rams to -2.5 tonight, while the total was unchanged.

UPDATE 2 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Philadelphia didn’t play its Week 15 game until Tuesday night, due to Washington’s COVID issues. The Eagles won 27-17 laying 6.5 points at home, leading DraftKings to initially stick at its opener of Eagles -10 vs. the Giants. Philly briefly went to -9.5 Wednesday, then returned to -10 as of today. The Eagles are landing 57% of spread bets and 76% of spread money. The total fell from 42 to 40.5 at DraftKings, with 60% of bets on the Over/72% of money on the Under.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: New York (4-10 SU, 6-8 ATS) offered little resistance to NFC East rival Dallas in Week 15. The Giants, getting 11.5 points at home, mustered just two field goals in a 21-6 loss.

Philadelphia was already supposed to be on to Week 16, but Washington’s COVID issues altered those plans. Instead, the Eagles (6-7 SU, 7-6 ATS) have to host The Football Team on Tuesday night, then face the Giants on Sunday. In Week 12, Philly faltered at New York 13-7 as a 4-point chalk.

Shortly after this line posted, The SuperBook nudged Philly down to -10. The total was stable.

UPDATE 2 P.M. ET FRIDAY: DraftKings opened Los Angeles -10.5, bottomed out at -9 Monday, and is now at -10 (-120). Ticket count is 7/1 and money 9/1 on the Chargers. The total opened at 47.5 and early on dipped to 46, where it remains today. The Under is getting 54% of tickets/59% of money.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Los Angeles (8-6 SU, 7-7 SU) gave visiting Kansas City all it could handle in the Week 15 Thursday nighter. But the Chargers, catching 3 points, gave up a late TD that tied the game at 28 and forced overtime. L.A. didn’t see the ball again, losing 34-28 after Kansas City got a TD on the opening possession of OT.

Houston (3-11 SU, 6-8 ATS) might have played itself out of a No. 1 overall draft pick with its Week 15 effort. The Texans were 6-point pups at Jacksonville, yet coasted to a 30-16 victory.

Neither the line nor total moved tonight at The SuperBook.

UPDATE 8:15 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Atlanta opened -4.5 and is up to -7 (-105) at DraftKings, largely due to Detroit QB Jared Goff being in COVID protocols. Still, the Lions are drawing 63% of spread bets, while 54% of spread dollars are on the Falcons. The total initially rose from 44 to 44.5, but is now down to 42.5. Contrary to the dip, tickets and money are just short of 2/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: After going winless in its first 11 games, Detroit is comparatively on fire, riding a 2-1 SU and ATS streak. The Week 15 win was surely unexpected, as the Lions stormed out to a 17-0 lead against visiting Arizona and were never threatened in a 30-12 victory. Detroit (2-11-1 SU, 9-5 ATS) cashed as 13-point home underdogs and is now 5-1 ATS in its last six outings.

Atlanta (6-8 SU and ATS) hung around for most of the first half at San Francisco. However, the Falcons failed to come away with any points on three trips inside the 49ers’ 10-yard-line and ultimately fell 31-13 as a 9.5-point ‘dog.

Despite the disparate Week 15 results, Atlanta moved up to -5 tonight at The SuperBook. The total was stable.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Las Vegas went from -1 to -1.5 early in the week at WynnBet, but the line has been at pick ’em since Wednesday night. The dip comes despite the Raiders garnering 70% of spread tickets/78% of spread money. The total went from 42 to 41.5 Thursday, then to 41 tonight. Ticket count is dead even, but 91% of cash is on the Under.

UPDATE 2 P.M. ET FRIDAY: This line jumped the fence at DraftKings, from Raiders -2.5 to Broncos -1 (-105). Las Vegas is landing 53% of tickets, while Denver is drawing 65% of money. The total dipped from 42.5 to 40.5 (Over -115), with tickets split 50/50 and 86% of cash on the Under.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Las Vegas (6-7 SU, 5-8 ATS) is another team waiting to play its Week 15 contest. The Raiders were to battle the Browns in Cleveland on Saturday, but the NFL moved the game to Monday due to the Browns’ COVID issues.

Denver (7-7 SU and ATS) played its Week 15 game and probably wished it hadn’t. The Broncos lost QB Teddy Bridgewater to a scary play on which he suffered a concussion. And backup Drew Lock didn’t help much, as Denver lost to Cincinnati 15-10 as a 3-point home chalk.

The line and total were unchanged tonight.

UPDATE 2 P.M. ET FRIDAY: COVID is hampering New York this week, as well. Coach Robert Saleh (positive test) likely won’t be on the sidelines Sunday. Further, between COVID and injuries, the Jets could be down four starters on defense and two on the offensive line. The Jets opened -1.5 at DraftKings and got to -3 Monday, then the line dropped to pick ’em by Wednesday afternoon.

New York is now back to -1.5 while getting 69% of tickets, while Jacksonville is netting 61% of money. The total went from 42.5 to 41 to 41.5, with tickets almost dead even and 56% of money on the Under.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: If the Jets is favored, you know it’s a matchup of bad football teams. In Week 15, though, New York at least gave host Miami a test. The Jets (3-11 SU, 4-10 ATS) took the field as a 10.5-point underdog, opened a 10-0 lead and was competitive throughout, but lost 31-24.

Jacksonville (2-12 SU, 4-10 ATS) was a popular Week 15 play in the wake of head coach Urban Meyer’s firing. That popularity was misplaced, as the Jaguars — 6-point home faves — lost outright to Houston 30-16.

New York ticked up to -1.5 shortly after this line went up at The SuperBook. The total was stable.

UPDATE 3 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Seattle opened as a 7-point chalk at DraftKings and has been pinned to -6.5 since Tuesday afternoon. The Seahawks are seeing 58% of spread bets, while the Bears are bagging 66% of spread dollars. The total is down to 42 from a 44 opener, with ticket count 4/1 and almost all the money on the Under.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Seattle was another team caught up in Week 15 COVID issues, due to the outbreak of positive tests with the Los Angeles Rams. The Seahawks (5-8 SU, 7-6 ATS) were supposed to put their modest two-game SU and ATS winning streak on the line Sunday but will now play Tuesday night in L.A.

Chicago (4-9 SU and ATS) has more conventional Week 15 work remaining. The Bears, who are mired in a 1-7 SU and ATS slump, host the Vikings in Monday Night Football.

The line and total were unchanged tonight on The SuperBook’s NFL Week 16 odds board.

UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The Saturday night prime-time tilt has Arizona -1 at WynnBet, down from a -2 opener. It’s two-way action, with 55% of bets on the Colts, and 54% of cash on the Cardinals. The total is stable at 49, despite 58% of early bets/80% of early cash landing on the Over.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Indianapolis (8-6 SU, 9-5 ATS) will play its second straight Saturday night game, and that spot certainly suited the squad in Week 15. The Colts went off as 1-point home faves against streaking New England and posted a 27-17 victory. Carson Wentz and Co. are now 8-3 SU and ATS since starting the season with three straight losses (1-2 ATS).

On the flip side, Arizona (10-4 SU, 9-5 ATS) suffered the second-biggest upset of the 2021-22 season. The Cardinals were 13-point road favorites against one-win Detroit and got housed 30-12. Only the Bills (9-6 loss at Jacksonville as a 16-point chalk) have endured a more stunning loss this season.

“The Colts are on fire right now, and their games are being bet accordingly,” Murray said. “We had this game Arizona -3.5 on the look-ahead line, but we re-opened it -2.5 based off the Colts’ win Saturday night and the Cardinals’ lackluster performance today in Detroit. Right away, we had a player take the 2.5 and move us down to 2.

“I wouldn’t be surprised to see the sharp money keep coming on the Colts’ side. The wiseguys have been betting them for weeks, and they’ve never showed much confidence in Arizona.”

The total was unchanged tonight for this prime-time Christmas game.

UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Cleveland is slowly getting players back from the COVID/reserve list, but Baker Mayfield isn’t yet among them. The Browns also have defensive injury issues up front and in the secondary ahead of Saturday’s game. Green Bay moved from -7.5 to -7 Monday, then returned to -7.5 this afternoon at WynnBet. And it’s all Packers on the spread: 89% of tickets/96% of money. The total went from 45.5 to 44.5, then returned to 45.5 this evening, with tickets 3/1 on the Over and money beyond 6/1 on the Under.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Green Bay (11-3 SU and ATS) is No. 1 in the NFL on the field and is tied with Dallas for the best spread-covering mark. In Week 15, the Packers hung on for a 31-30 win at Lamar Jackson-less Baltimore. Green Bay stopped a last-minute 2-point attempt to seal the victory, but failed to cash as a 9-point favorite despite holding a 31-17 fourth-quarter lead.

Cleveland is in a sticky situation, to say the least. The Browns (7-6 SU, 5-8 ATS) were supposed to host Las Vegas in a Week 15 Saturday contest. But COVID issues led the NFL to move that game to Monday. So at the moment, Cleveland has a short turnaround before its Christmas Day trip to Green Bay.

“We didn’t have much discussion on this one. Everyone made it 7.5 or 8,” Murray said. “It’s a weird spot for the Browns, going to Lambeau on a Saturday afternoon after playing on a Monday afternoon. We will be watching close to see who is or isn’t available to Cleveland, but this number is based on the Browns having their usual roster.”

The line was stable at Packers -7.5 and the total at 45.5 tonight.

UPDATE 9:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Less than 24 hours before kickoff, San Francisco is a 3-point chalk at WynnBet. The Niners opened -3 (-120) and spent much of the past couple days at -3.5. San Fran is drawing 62% of spread tickets and 75% of spread money. The total nudged from 44.5 to 44 this morning, with 64% of tickets on the Over, but 80% of money on the Under.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: San Francisco (8-6 SU, 7-7 ATS) is on a 5-1 SU and ATS surge, moving into the playoff picture in the process. In Week 15, Jimmy Garoppolo and the 49ers dispatched Atlanta 31-13 giving 9.5 points at home.

Meanwhile, Tennessee (9-5 SU, 8-6 ATS) enters this Thursday night clash on skids of 1-3 SU and 1-4 ATS. The Titans — who at one point were 8-2 (7-3 ATS) — got out to a 10-0 lead at Pittsburgh, but lost 19-13 as 1-point pups.

“We opened the 49ers -3 and were quickly bet up to -3.5. I can’t disagree with the player who came in on San Francisco,” Murray said. “The 49ers have been playing great football and even look like a team that could win a game in the playoffs. I’ve never been a big Jimmy G fan, but I have to admit he looks very comfortable running that offense right now. The play-calling is excellent, and they have some great weapons.

“With the Titans limping in and dealing with a number of injuries, the public will be big on San Francisco on Thursday night.”

While the line ticked up a half-point on the NFL Week 16 odds board, the total didn’t move tonight.