If there’s football on Sunday, we are here with an Underdog 10x play, and as usual – because we love life and hate rooting for “lower than’s” – we’re going higher, higher, higher, and higher again.
NFL Week 16 Main Slate Parlay – 10X Value Picks
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Sam LaPorta higher than 44.5 receiving yards. So LaPorta started the season slow, but he’s had at least six targets in six of his last seven games. To be fair, that hasn’t always translated to yards – he’s only gone higher than 44.5 four of those games, including a miss against the Bears on Thanksgiving.
But, in general, the Bears are middling against tight ends, and – perhaps most importantly – the Lions will be without David Montgomery. Last year, in three games without Montgomery, LaPorta had target counts of 11, 10, and seven – with the 11 and 10 being his second and third most targets of the year. He also blasted through the yardage total each time. It would seem LaPorta almost takes on the role of chain-mover without Montgomery. Love this number here.
Next up, Davante Adams, and we’re going higher than 65.5 receiving yards. To be fair, this is a vibes play. It certainly seems like Aaron Rodgers and Adams are on a bit of a farewell tour together, playing their greatest hits. It doesn’t hurt that Adams has beaten this number the last four times he took the field, the Rams secondary isn’t particularly scary, and … well, that’s that.
Next up, James Cook to go higher than 63.5 rushing yards against the Patriots. Let’s call this play “giving Josh Allen a well-deserved week off.” Cook has hit this number half the time this year, and in their last 11 games, the lead running back has exceeded this number against the Patriots nine times. Feels about 20 yards too low.
Lastly, James Conner to go higher than 80.5 rushing yards against the Panthers. Here’s the relevant question: Do you think the Cardinals will win this game? If the answer is yes, then this is a no-brainer, as Connor has hit this number in five of the Cards’ seven wins. It doesn’t hurt he’s going up against a Panthers rush defense that is giving up 173 yards per game, which is – whoa – almost 30 yards more per game than the second-worst team in the league, the Giants. That’s a ridiculous number. Connor should smash.
NFL Week 16 Picks
Sam LaPorta higher than 44.5 receiving yards
Davante Adams higher than 65.5 receiving yards
James Cook higher than 63.5 rushing yards
James Conner higher than 80.5 rushing yards
10x at Underdog
As a reminder, this is a longer-shot combo of picks that carries more risk but a higher return if all hit. Good luck with all of your NFL plays in Week 16!