NFL Week 15 Odds: Money Favors Rams, Eagles In Tuesday Games

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SATURDAY: This matchup was one of three moved off the weekend and onto a weekday, due to Los Angeles’ COVID issues. Seahawks-Rams will take place at 7 p.m. ET Tuesday night. Most books opened Los Angeles -7, and the line got as low as -3.5 off the COVID info before the postponement. Then the game came off the board.

WynnBet went back up earlier today at Rams -6.5 and hasn’t moved. L.A. is netting 75% of tickets, but just 54% of money on the spread. The new total went up at 45 and is stable, with 82% of bets/97% of money on the Over.

UPDATE 12:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: News out of Rams camp Thursday included the addition of eight players to the COVID list, including linebacker Von Miller. So that’s 25 L.A. players whose status is uncertain for Sunday’s home game against Seattle. Multiple sportsbooks took the game off the board for a period of time late Thursday afternoon/early Thursday evening.

BetMGM got as low as Rams -3.5 off that news and is now -4, after opening -7. Los Angeles is taking 57% of spread tickets and 61% of spread money. The total bottomed out at 45 from a 47.5 opener and is now 45.5. The Over is drawing 54% of tickets/60% of money.

UPDATE 2 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Like Cleveland, Los Angeles is among several teams in enhanced COVID protocols. Wideout Odell Beckham was among a host of players testing positive in the wake of the Rams’ Monday night win at Arizona. L.A. was shorthanded by COVID in that game, as well. By Tuesday afternoon, DraftKings lowered the Rams to -4.5, from a -7 opener. The Rams are taking 87% of bets, but just 62% of cash on the spread.

The total is down to 45 from a 48 opener, with 78% of bets/57% of cash on the Over.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Seattle (5-8 SU, 7-6 ATS) might not have a lot to play for, but it enters this one having won and covered back-to-back games. After rallying for a Week 14 home win over San Francisco, the Seahawks broke open a close game in the fourth quarter at Houston and thumped the Texans 33-13 as 9.5-point road faves.

Meanwhile, Los Angeles (8-4 SU, 5-7 ATS) will try to build off a Week 13 blowout victory over the Jaguars when it travels to Arizona on Monday night.

“This will be an interesting game,” Murray said. “The wiseguys love to play the Rams, but the Seahawks are playing much better lately, and we didn’t want to open the line too high with Russell Wilson on the other side. This looks like the marquee afternoon game with Lamar Jackson on the shelf, and we expect it to be a good-handle game for us.”

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SATURDAY: This is the third game postponed by the NFL, with the Eagles now hosting Washington at 7 p.m. ET Tuesday. The Football Team’s COVID issues had this line approaching double digits Friday, before the league made its move. WynnBet then took the game off the board, reposted this afternoon at Eagles -5 and is now at Eagles -6.

Point-spread splits are rather interesting: 59% of tickets are on Washington, but 86% of money is on Philadelphia. In fact, Eagles spread is WynnBet’s top remaining liability in the NFL Week 15 odds market. The total reopened at 42 and is now juiced a touch to -115, with 69% of tickets on the Over/73% of money on the Under.

UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Washington has well beyond a dozen players on the COVID list and is another team in enhanced mitigation protocols. Correspondingly, this line shot from an Eagles -3 opener all the way to -7 by this afternoon at DraftKings. Much of that movement came in the past couple of hours, and updated betting splits aren’t yet available. The total moved from 44.5 to 43 by Monday afternoon, returned to 44.5 Tuesday afternoon and is now at 44. Ticket count is 2/1 on the Over, but money is almost dead even.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Washington’s four-game SU and ATS surge came to a halt in Week 14, though the Football Team showed some fight. After digging a 24-0 halftime hole vs. Dallas, Washington (6-7 SU, 5-8 ATS) made it respectable in a 27-20 home loss catching 6.5 points.

Philadelphia (6-7 SU, 7-6 ATS) comes out of its Week 14 bye on a 3-1 SU and ATS upswing.

This line in this NFC East battle moved a point in the first hour to Eagles -4 at The SuperBook, while the total dipped to 43.5.

UPDATE MIDNIGHT ET SUNDAY: It’s an unusual 5 p.m. ET/2 p.m. PT kickoff for this COVID-rescheduled game. Most books had Raiders-Browns open in the range of Cleveland -6/-6.5. The line jumped the fence midweek, due to Cleveland’s exacerbated COVID woes, then came off the board altogether Friday.

TwinSpires Sportsbook went back up at Browns -3 and is still -3, with 55% of bets/60% of cash on Cleveland. The total reopened at 41 and inched down to 40.5, with 59% of bets on the Over/60% of money on the Under.

“Sharp play on Under 41,” TwinSpires trading analyst Zachary Lucas said.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SATURDAY: COVID made a mess of the line for this game, which ended up being moved from Saturday to Monday. WynnBet opened Cleveland as a 6-point favorite Sunday. The line then jumped the fence to Las Vegas as a short chalk on the Browns’ COVID issues. After the NFL stepped in Friday and moved the game to Tuesday, it came off the board. WynnBet went back up earlier today at Browns -2.5 and advanced to -3.

Browns QB Baker Mayfield is among those hoping to clear COVID protocols before Monday’s 5 p.m. ET kickoff. At WynnBet, point-spread ticket count is almost dead even, and Cleveland is drawing 56% of money. The total also came off the board everywhere after opening in the 43.5 range and dropping as low as 38.5. WynnBet put its total back up Saturday at 41 and dipped to 40.5, with the Over taking 73% of bets/53% of money.

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: This game has seen huge movement, because there are significant COVID issues in Cleveland. Today, Baker Mayfield reportedly tested positive, and on Tuesday, eight players went on the COVID list. Further, coach Kevin Stefanski tested positive. With much uncertainty over who will pass protocols and be able to play, the Browns are no longer favored at books opting to keep this game on the board.

DraftKings opened Cleveland -6.5, dipped to -3.5 by Tuesday afternoon, and by lunch hour today had Las Vegas -1.5. The Raiders are now -1, with ticket count 2/1 Cleveland money 2/1 Las Vegas. The total plunged from 43.5 to 38.5, with the Over getting 79% of bets, but just 53% of cash.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Las Vegas (6-7 SU, 5-8 ATS) is mired in a 1-5 SU and ATS purge, and Week 14 was the worst of it. The Raiders gave up a scoop-and-score fumble on the first play from scrimmage at Kansas City. From there, Las Vegas fell into a 35-0 hole en route to a 48-9 wipeout catching 10 points.

Cleveland darted out to a 24-3 first-half lead over Baltimore in Week 14 … then tried its best to pull a Cleveland. The Browns (7-6 SU, 5-8 ATS) didn’t score another point and found themselves up just 24-22 in the final minute after giving up a TD and failing to recover an onside kick. But the defense ultimately slammed the door shut, securing the 24-22 win, but failing to cash as 3-point home faves.

“Cleveland is back in good shape playoffs-wise after beating Baltimore today and seeing both Pittsburgh and Cincinnati lose this week,” Murray said. “On the other hand, the Raiders look like a team that is running on fumes. Nothing to report yet, but I’m confident we’ll be pulling for the local team.”

Neither the line nor total moved tonight for the opening game of a Saturday NFL doubleheader.

UPDATE MIDNIGHT ET SUNDAY: As Chicago deals with its own COVID issues, Minnesota is up to a 6.5-point favorite at TwinSpires Sportsbook. The Vikings, who opened -3.5, are attracting 58% of tickets and 82% of money on the spread.

“It’s a mix of public and sharp money on the Vikings. It’s fairly lopsided. Bears outright would be a nice result for us,” TwinSpires trading analyst Zachary Lucas said.

The total is up a notch, from 44 to 44.5, on two-way action: 56% of tickets on the Under/58% of money on the Over.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Minnesota steadily climbed throughout the week at WynnBet, from -3.5 to -6 by Friday night. The Vikings are taking 72% of spread bets, and those wagers are translating to a whopping 98.5% of spread money. Among remaining games, Minnesota on the spread is WynnBet’s third-largest liability in the NFL Week 15 odds market. The Monday Night Football total is pinned to the 44 opener, despite 72% of bets/89% of cash on the Over.

UPDATE 2 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The Monday nighter opened Vikings -4 at DraftKings and spent a chunk of Monday at -4.5 before dropping to -3.5. Minnesota remains -3.5 today, with 70% of tickets on the Vikes, but money almost dead even. The total rose from 43 to 44, with ticket count 4/1 and money 6/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Prior to the Week 14 Sunday nighter, we — and probably you — thought: What did we do to deserve the Chicago Bears in back-to-back prime-time games? But Chicago was pretty entertaining in the Week 14 Sunday nighter at Green Bay, so maybe we’ll get a repeat. Entertainment value aside, the Bears (4-9 SU and ATS) blew multiple double-digit leads to the Packers, eventually falling 45-30 as a 12-point pup.

Minnesota (6-7 SU, 7-6 ATS) enters this one off a mini-bye, having played in the Week 14 Thursday nighter. The Vikings built a 29-0 lead against Pittsburgh, then had to hang on for a 36-28 win, cashing as 3.5-point home faves.

“Seems like Chicago has been in a lot of nationally televised games this season. And we are usually pulling for them. Monday night will be no different,” Murray said. “The Vikings will be a popular road chalk. We didn’t see much worth reporting on this game before closing it once the Sunday Night Football game kicked off, but I’m confident we will be pulling for Da Bears.”

The line and total were unchanged prior to coming off the board when Bears-Packers kicked off. The game will go back up on the NFL Week 15 odds board Monday morning.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Green Bay opened as a 4.5-point chalk at WynnBet, peaked at -7 briefly on Friday, then went to -6.5. The Packers are now -6.5 (-120) on very lopsided point-spread action, taking 87% of bets and 95% of money. So oddsmakers are convinced Baltimore QB Lamar Jackson (ankle) isn’t playing Sunday.

Green Bay on the spread is WynnBet’s second-largest liability of all remaining games on the NFL Week 15 odds board. And the Packers are the largest Sunday liability. The total is nailed to 43.5, having not moved all week, although 91% of bets/93% of dollars are on the Over.

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Lamar Jackson (ankle) is uncertain to play Sunday, but this line is trending toward Baltimore at DraftKings. Green Bay opened -7 and on Monday afternoon was down to -5, where the line remains now. But the early action is heavy to the Packers, with tickets running 9/1 and money 5/1. The total is up a point to 43.5, with 95% of tickets/85% of money on the Over.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Green Bay (10-3 SU, 11-2 ATS) got much more than it expected from Chicago in a Week 14 victory. The Packers trailed 10-0 early and 24-14 late in the second quarter. However, the Pack got it together and ultimately won and cashed 45-30 as 12-point chalk, remaining the NFL’s No. 1 spread-covering team.

Baltimore lost QB Lamar Jackson to a first-half ankle injury at Cleveland in Week 14. Still, the Ravens made a game of it late, cutting a 24-3 deficit to 24-22 after scoring a touchdown with barely a minute remaining. Baltimore even recovering an onside kick after their final touchdown, but the magic rand out, and the Ravens (8-5 SU, 6-7 ATS) fell 24-22 while covering as 3-point pups.

“We opened Packers -7 and didn’t see much action on the game before we closed it, once Sunday Night Football kicked off,” Murray said. “This number is obviously based on Lamar Jackson not playing. The Packers will be a huge public side next weekend.”

As Murray noted, Packers-Ravens came off the board once Bears-Packers kicked off Sunday night. There was no line or total movement early, and Packers-Ravens will go back up on The SuperBook’s NFL Week 15 odds board Monday morning.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SATURDAY: WynnBet hasn’t budged off Tampa Bay -11 all week, though the Bucs are modestly juiced right now, at -115. Tampa is landing 63% of spread bets and 72% of spread dollars for the Sunday night game. The total is down to 45 from a 46.5 opener. Ticket count is almost 4/1 on the Over, but money is 2/1-plus on the Under.

UPDATE 2 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: DraftKings opened Tampa Bay -11, poked up to -11.5 a couple of times and stabilized at -10.5 Monday night. The Bucs are drawing 77% of spread bets and 60% of spread cash for the Sunday night game. The total sat at 48 briefly and has been nailed to 46.5 since Sunday night, with 77% of bets/58% of money on the Over.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Tampa Bay looked as if it would coast to a Week 14 win over free-falling Buffalo. The Bucs took a 24-3 lead into halftime, then let the Bills climb all the way back to forge a 27-27 tie and force overtime. But after the Bills failed to score on their first possession of extra time, Tom Brady moved the Bucs down the field and eventually connected with Breshad Perriman on a 58-yard catch-and-run touchdown. With that, Tampa Bay (10-3 SU, 7-6 ATS) prevailed 33-27 and cashed as a 3.5-point home chalk.

New Orleans (6-7 SU and ATS) pulled away from the New York Jets in the second half, winning 30-9 as a 4.5-point road chalk. While the Saints knocked off the Bucs 36-27 as 4-point home ‘dogs in Week 8, Tampa enters this one with a perfect 5-0 SU/ATS record as a double-digit favorite.

“There was a lot of discussion in the room about this line, with some people having the Bucs a bigger favorite,” Murray said. “Tampa Bay showed some of its warts defensively in the second half today. The question is: Can the Saints’ offense expose them? That remains to be seen. But we do know the Saints’ D is solid, and we expect them to hang around. We’ll be rooting for them.”

The line and total were stable tonight.

UPDATE 2 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Dallas opened -12 at DraftKings, dropped to -10 within a few hours and stabilized at -10.5 Tuesday afternoon. Despite the dip, ticket count is 5/1 and money approaching 4/1 on the Cowboys. The total inched from 45 to 44.5, with 61% of tickets on the Over, and money split 50/50.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Dallas (9-4 SU, 10-3 ATS) raced out a 24-0 halftime lead at Washington in Week 14, then let off the gas before escaping with a 27-20 victory as a 6.5-point road chalk. The Cowboys carry the NFL’s second-best point spread record into this NFC East clash with New York (4-9 SU, 6-7 ATS), which provided little resistance at the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday, losing 37-21 as a 9-point pup.

Dallas dipped to -11 at The SuperBook a couple of hours after tonight’s opening, while the total was stable.

UPDATE 2 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: DraftKings moved Tennessee from -2.5 to -1.5 to -2, all by Monday afternoon, then returned to -1.5 this afternoon. Point-spread ticket count is 3/1 Titans, while money is 2/1 Steelers. The total is up a point to 42, with ticket count 4/1 and money 3/1-plus on the Over.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Tennessee (9-4 SU, 8-5 ATS) had little trouble disposing Jacksonville in Week 14, rolling to a 20-0 victory laying 8.5 points at home. Pittsburgh (6-6-1 SU, 5-8 ATS) went to Minnesota as a 3.5-point Thursday night ‘dog and rallied from a 29-0 third-quarter deficit. But the Steelers ultimately fell short on the scoreboard and at the betting window, losing 36-28.

There was no change in the line or total tonight.

UPDATE 2 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Arizona opened a full two-touchdown chalk at DraftKings, then crept down from -14 to -13.5 Tuesday afternoon. The Cardinals are attracting 79% of spread tickets, but just 55% of spread dollars. It’s worth noting that Detroit is in enhanced COVID protocols, though no skill-position offensive starters are on the COVID list. The total is pinned to 47.5, with 59% of tickets on the Over, and money split 50/50.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: One bright spot for Detroit this season has been its propensity to cash tickets. That changed in Week 14, though, as the Lions (1-11-1 SU, 8-5 ATS) got dumped 38-10 at Denver as 12.5-point ‘dogs, ending a four-game spread-covering run.

Arizona (10-2 SU, 9-3 ATS) still has Week 14 work remaining, with a big NFC West home tilt against the Los Angeles Rams on Monday night.

The SuperBook held firm on the line and total tonight.

UPDATE 2 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: This has been a jumpy line at DraftKings over the past three days. Buffalo opened -11, quickly hit -12, then tumbled to -9.5 by lunchtime Monday. However, by midmorning today, the Bills were up to -10.5. Ticket count is beyond 6/1 and money almost 2/1 on Buffalo. The total opened at 45, fell to 43.5 in fairly short order, then this afternoon rebounded to 44.5. Updated splits on the total weren’t yet available.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Just when it looked as if Buffalo would fall flat in another big game, Josh Allen and Co. actually fought back at Tampa Bay last Sunday. The Bills let the defending Super Bowl champs run out to a 24-3 halftime lead, then made a game of it. Buffalo (7-6 SU, 6-6-1 ATS) outscored the Bucs by the same margin in the second half to force overtime, but gave up a 58-yard TD pass to lose 33-27 as a 3.5-point ‘dog.

The good news for the Bills this week: They host the struggling Panthers (5-8 SU and ATS), who have followed up a 3-0 SU and ATS start by going 2-8 SU and ATS. That includes a 29-21 home loss to the Falcons as a 2.5-point home chalk in Week 14.

The line and total were unchanged tonight at The SuperBook.

UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: By Wednesday morning, WynnBet moved San Francisco from -8 to -9, and the line is unchanged since. The Niners are netting a relatively modest 61% of tickets, but that’s translating 86% of money. The total opened at 45 and spent most of the week at 46, with 68% of tickets/94% of cash on the Over.

UPDATE 2 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: San Francisco initially dipped from -8.5 to -8 at DraftKings, but is now up to -9.5. Point-spread ticket count is 2/1 and money almost 4/1 on the 49ers. The total opened at 45, bottomed out at 44.5, peaked at 46.5 and is now 46. Tickets and money are just short of 3/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: San Francisco is 4-1 SU and ATS in its last five, moving into the NFC playoff picture in the process. In Week 14, the 49ers (7-6 SU, 6-7 ATS) blew a 20-6 lead at Cincinnati but won 26-23 in overtime laying 2 points.

Atlanta (6-7 SU and ATS) was a 2.5-point underdog at Carolina and won outright, 29-21. Including a Week victory over the Jets in London — which was technically a “home” game  — the Falcons are 5-1 SU and ATS in their last six outside of Georgia.

The line and total didn’t move tonight at The SuperBook.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Denver opened -1.5 at WynnBet and by Friday morning reached -3, where the line sits tonight. Ticket count is almost 2/1 Bengals, but money is beyond 5/1 Broncos. The total opened at 43.5 and has been at 44 since Wednesday. The Over is collecting 88% of tickets/95% of money.

UPDATE 2 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: After opening -1 Sunday night, Denver reached -3 this afternoon at DraftKings. The total opened at and is currently 44, after stints at 43.5 and 44.5. Check back later for updated betting splits.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Cincinnati climbed out of a 20-6 fourth-quarter deficit against San Francisco in Week 14, scoring two late TDs to forge a 20-20 tie and push the contest into overtime. But after taking a 23-20 lead on a field goal on the first OT possession, the Bengals (7-6 SU, 6-7 ATS) gave up a touchdown and lost 26-23 as 2-point home ‘dogs.

At the same time Cincy was slugging it out with San Francisco, Denver (7-6 SU and ATS) rolled over sickly Detroit 38-10 as 12.5-point home favorites.

Last week, The SuperBook had the look-ahead line on this game at Bengals -3. On Sunday night, it opened Broncos -1 and ticked up to -1.5, while the total held steady at 43.5.

UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Miami moved from -8 to -8.5 quickly Sunday night, then this morning went to -9.5 on the way to -10 at DraftKings. Ticket count is beyond 3/1 and money almost 9/1 on the Dolphins. The total opened at 43.5, bottomed out at 42 and is now 42.5, with 60% of tickets/81% of money on the Under.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: New York (3-10 SU and ATS) continued its quest for a high draft pick with a 30-9 loss as a 4.5-point home ‘dog to New Orleans. The Jets have cashed just once in their last six games and they’re 1-5 SU and ATS on the road this season.

Conversely, Miami (6-7 SU, 7-5-1 ATS) is quietly on the rise, as it comes out of a bye week on a 5-0 SU and ATS streak. The Dolphins’ hot streak includes a 24-17 victory at the Jets as a 4-point home favorite three weeks ago.

The line was stable tonight, while the total ticked down to 43 at The SuperBook.

UPDATE 1 P.M. ET THURSDAY: Less than 24 since the previous update on this game (see dropdown below), the Jaguars are up 1.5 points at WynnBet and have risen everywhere else, as well. That’s been the response to Wednesday night’s firing of coach Urban Meyer.

WynnBet opened Jacksonville -3, went to -3.5 Tuesday, then rose straight to -4.5 this morning, on the way to -5. And WynnBet noted that sharp play is driving the movement, even the initial rise from Jags -3 to -3.5, pre-Meyer firing. Houston is seeing 70% of spread tickets, but 82% of spread money at this point is on Jacksonville.

“When a coach is fired, it isn’t always a negative thing for that team in its next matchup,” WynnBet trader Sawyer Johnson said. “It often can be a breath of fresh air and a bonding moment for every member of the organization. Teams in this situation will also most likely be using new schemes that haven’t been shown on film, which gives them the element of surprise.”

The total dipped from 40.5 to 39.5 Tuesday morning and stuck there, with 55% of bets and practically all the cash on the Under.

UPDATE 2:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Jacksonville opened as a 3-point favorite at DraftKings and fell to -2.5 Tuesday morning. But by Tuesday afternoon, the Jags were up to -4 (-105), where they remain now. Houston is taking 74% of spread bets, while Jacksonville is getting 57% of spread money. The total for these two dreadful teams dipped from 41 to 39 by lunchtime Tuesday, and it’s now 39.5. Ticket count is almost dead even, but 94% of early money is on the Under.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Welcome to the We’re Really Dreadful Bowl. If not for Jacksonville, Houston would have only one win this season. The Texans (2-11 SU, 5-8 ATS) opened the year with a 37-21 home win getting 3.5 points vs. the Jaguars. Houston then lost its next eight games.

In Week 14, the Texans gave Seattle a scare for two quarters, then got outscored 17-0 in the second half on the way to a 33-13 loss as 9.5-point home ‘dogs.

Jacksonville (2-11 SU, 4-9 ATS) somehow has a home win over Buffalo, but otherwise, the Urban Meyer experiment has been a complete failure. In Week 14, the Jags lost at Tennessee 20-0 as 8.5-point underdogs, their fourth consecutive non-cover.

Even including its 9-6 win over the Bills, Jacksonville has been held to 17 points or fewer in six consecutive games, averaging just 10.7 points per contest during this stretch.

The line in this AFC South game didn’t move tonight, but the total fell to 40.5.

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: This big Saturday night contest could very well pit Pros vs. Joes, with sharp bettors on Indy and the public on red-hot New England. At DraftKings, the Patriots opened -1, the number quickly flipped to Colts -1 and by Monday night was Colts -2.5. However, 73% of early tickets and 70% of early dollars are on the Pats. The total rose from 43.5 to 46 by Monday, then receded to 45 by this morning. The Over is netting 71% of tickets/78% of money.

UPDATE MIDNIGHT ET SUNDAY: New England (9-4 SU and ATS) comes out of its bye on a seven-game SU and ATS spree, capped by a home win over Tennessee and a road win over Buffalo. Indianapolis (7-6 SU, 8-5 ATS) also returns from a week off having won four of five and six of eight (5-3 ATS) entering this Saturday night showdown.

“We opened the game a pick ’em and saw multiple sharp accounts play the Colts, quickly moving us to [Indy] -1,” Murray said, noting the Colts later moved to -2. “The Colts have been getting hit by the wiseguys seemingly every game for weeks now. But I definitely anticipate plenty of public support for the Patriots. The public played the Pats hard last week, and they were rewarded for doing so. No reason to think they won’t go back to the New England as well on Saturday night.”

The total was unchanged tonight on the NFL Week 15 odds board.

UPDATE 1:30 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: A day and change out from this Thursday night showdown, Kansas City is a 3-point chalk at DraftKings. But this number has bounced around a bit since opening Sunday night. The Chiefs opened -3, went to -3.5 in short order, then back to -3 Monday morning. By Monday afternoon, K.C. was up to -4, then dipped to -2.5 briefly on Tuesday, before stabilizing at -3.

That said, it’s pretty much all Chiefs on the spread, at 81% of tickets/86% of money. The total is out to 52 from a 49.5 opener, with 83% of tickets/89% of money on the Over.

UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Kansas City (9-4 SU, 6-7 ATS) has put a 3-4 start well in the rearview mirror by winning six in a row. That includes four straight spread-covers, which also marks a turnaround for a Chiefs team that started out 2-7 ATS. In Week 14, K.C. dumped all over the turnover-prone Raiders in a 48-9 shellacking as 10-point home favorites.

Los Angeles (8-5 SU, 7-6 ATS) seems to have solved its midseason woes, winning and cashing its last two. The Chargers followed up a Week 13 rout of the Bengals in Cincinnati with a 37-21 victory over the New York Giants as a 9.5-point home favorite in Week 14.

Kansas City will be looking for some revenge in this one after a 30-24 Week 3 home loss as a 3-point fave against Los Angeles.

“We talked about opening this one a little higher because we know the public will hammer the Chiefs, but settled on starting out at -3,” Murray said. “Kansas City is playing like the best team in the NFL this week. This could be one of our biggest Thursday night decisions of the season, with the books pulling for the Chargers.”

The line crept up to -3.5 (even) late tonight, and the total went up a point to 50.