NFL Week 13 Odds: Two-Way Action On Patriots Vs Bills

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SATURDAY: WynnBet has been pinned to Buffalo -3 all week, with a few price adjustments along the way. The Bills are currently -3 (even), with tickets and money both in the 2/1 range on the road ‘dog Patriots. Monday night’s forecast for Buffalo is not looking good, and as such, the total has plunged from 45.5 to 41. The Over is nabbing 72% of tickets, but a healthy 92% of dollars are on the Under.

UPDATE 2 A.M. ET SATURDAY: Buffalo landed on Caesars’ NFL Week 13 odds board at -3 and has been at -3 (-120) since Thursday afternoon. New England is netting 57% of spread tickets, while the Bills are getting 71% of spread dollars. In terms of overall ticket count, this is Caesars’ second-most-bet spread in the NFL this week, behind only Cardinals-Bears. The total in this game plunged to start the week to 42 by this evening. Chilly, windy weather is expected Monday night.

UPDATE NOON ET WEDNESDAY: DraftKings very briefly had Buffalo a 3.5-point favorite when this line opened Sunday night, then went to to -3. A couple more short trips to -3.5 occurred within hours before the line stabilized at -3, and the past two days have featured jockeying between Bills -3 and -2.5. Right now, Buffalo is -3, but ticket count is 2/1 and money 3/1-plus on New England. The total opened at 45, quickly went to 44 and has been steady at 43.5 since Monday night. The Over is landing 81% of tickets, but 69% of money is on the Under.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: New England (8-4 SU and ATS) leads a division that most observers expected Buffalo to control this season. But then, most observers didn’t see a team with a rookie QB ripping off six consecutive SU and ATS wins. In Week 12, Mac Jones and the Patriots got that sixth straight win and cover by plastering Tennessee 36-13 as 7-point home favorites.

In mid-October, Buffalo was the favorite to win not only its division but the Super Bowl. However, the Bills (7-4 SU, 6-4-1 ATS) then dropped three of their next five games. Among those losses: an inexplicable setback at Jacksonville and a home blasting at the hands of Indianapolis. But Buffalo might have regained some swagger on Thanksgiving night when it basted New Orleans 31-6 as a 7-point road chalk.

The Monday Night Football clash is clearly the marquee game on the NFL Week 13 odds board.

“This is about as good as it gets. These look like the two best teams in the AFC, and both are very, very popular at the betting window right now,” Murray said. “We expect the Patriots to be a popular public ‘dog in this game, so we didn’t want to open the line over 3. Nothing significant to report yet, but this should be one of the highest handle Monday night games of the year.”

The SuperBook juiced the opening number, at Bills -3 (-120), and very briefly touched -3.5 tonight. The line then returned to -3 (-120). The total crept down to 45.5.

UPDATE 2 A.M. ET SATURDAY: Caesars Sportsbook has a massive wager on this game, but it’s not skewing the money count as much as you might expect. Cincinnati moved from -2.5 to -3 (-120), and at that point, a Nevada customer put $350,000 on Los Angeles +3 (even). The Bengals are now -3 flat (-110) while taking 65% of tickets. And despite that large Chargers play, the Bolts are only getting 63% of point-spread money. The total hasn’t budged off 50.5 this week.

UPDATE NOON ET WEDNESDAY: Cincinnati hit DraftKings’ NFL Week 13 odds board at -2.5, peaked at -3.5 and is now -3. Point-spread ticket count is 2/1 on the Bengals, but spread money is almost dead even. The total nudged from 51 to 50.5, with 67% of tickets/60% of cash on the Over.

UPDATE MIDNIGHT ET SUNDAY: In Week 12, Cincinnati looked much more like the team that boat-raced Baltimore on the road in Week 7. A week after posting a blowout victory in Las Vegas, the Bengals (7-4 SU, 6-5 ATS) pummeled Pittsburgh 41-10 giving 3.5 points at home.

Meanwhile, Los Angeles has gone from league darling to afterthought over the past several weeks. Through five games, the Chargers were 4-1 SU and ATS, with impressive wins at Kansas City and vs. Cleveland. Following Sunday’s 28-13 loss as a 2.5-point fave at Denver, Los Angeles sits at 6-5 SU/5-6 ATS.

“We opened Bengals -2.5 (-110), took a sharp bet on the favorite, and moved to Cincinnati -2.5 -120. That will be a popular side this week,” Murray said. “The Bengals looked great today, and the Chargers really let bettors down on the road at Denver. But we know that if we go too high, the wiseguys will be happy to back the Chargers as a road underdog.”

Later this evening, The SuperBook moved to Bengals -3 (even), and the total dipped to 50.5.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Baltimore landed on WynnBet’s NFL Week 14 odds board at -3.5 and is now -4. The Ravens are drawing 73% of spread tickets, but just 57% of spread dollars. The total opened at and is currently 44, with 54% of tickets/61% of cash on the Under.

UPDATE 2 A.M. ET SATURDAY: Caesars books moved from Baltimore from -3.5 to -4.5 by Wednesday, and the line remains -4.5 now. However, action isn’t out of whack, with the Ravens taking 57% of tickets and money. The total has been fairly stable at 44 all week, save for a few hours Monday at 44.5.

UPDATE NOON ET WEDNESDAY: Baltimore opened as a 2.5-point favorite at DraftKings and has been climbing ever since, now at -4.5. Point-spread ticket count is 4/1 and money beyond 6/1 on the Ravens. The total has been hailed to 44, with 59% of tickets on the Under/52% of money on the Over.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Baltimore halted a 1-2 SU hiccup (0-3 ATS) by topping Cleveland 16-10 as 3-point favorites in the Sunday nighter. The victory kept the Ravens (8-3 SU, 5-6 ATS) atop the AFC North.

Pittsburgh (5-5-1 SU, 4-7 ATS) fell to the bottom of the division in flame-out fashion in Week 12. Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers got waxed 41-10 at Cincinnati as 3.5-point road pups.

“We opened the Ravens -3 and closed it when the [Week 12] Sunday night game kicked off,” Murray said during the first half of the Browns-Ravens game. “Baltimore could be a very popular public side next week, especially if they are able to get the win over the Browns tonight. The books will be big Steelers fans after that performance Pittsburgh turned in today.”

Neither the line nor total moved prior to Ravens-Steelers coming off the board. The game will go back up at The SuperBook on Monday morning.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Kansas City spent almost all week as a 10-point chalk at WynnBet, then Friday dipped to -9.5, where the line sits now. Ticket count is dead even, but Denver is attracting a surprising 91% of money on the point spread. Broncos spread is WynnBet’s third-largest liability on Sunday’s NFL docket. The total opened at 49, bottomed out at 46.5 Friday and is now 47. Ticket count and money are both running almost dead even.

UPDATE 2 A.M. ET SATURDAY: The Week 13 Sunday nighter opened with Kansas City laying 9.5 points at Caesars. On Monday, K.C. moved to -10 and stayed there until this morning, when the number returned to -9.5. Early spread bettors are actually on Denver, which is taking 71% of bets/78% of cash.

“The Broncos’ win over the Chargers was pretty impressive last week, and they’ve got a good defense,” Caesars assistant director of trading Adam Pullen said. “Kansas City is not where [it’s] been in recent years offensively. So it’s not surprising to see the Broncos are the most heavily backed underdog of the lot.”

The total dropped from 49.5 to 47 by Tuesday and hasn’t moved since.

UPDATE NOON ET WEDNESDAY: Kansas City went up as a 10-point chalk at DraftKings and dropped to -9 by Monday morning. But within a couple of hours, the Chiefs were back to -10 and remain there now, with 56% of tickets on K.C. and money running dead even. The total is down to 47 from a 49 opener, with tickets and money leaning very slightly to the Under.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: A month ago, there were concerns about a Kansas City team that was 3-4 SU (2-5 ATS). Four consecutive wins later, the Chiefs (7-4 SU, 4-7 ATS) are alone atop the AFC West, and oddsmakers fully expect a fifth win this week. K.C. is well-rested, coming off its bye, which followed a 19-9 home win over Dallas as a 2.5-point fave in Week 11.

Denver hasn’t exactly played inspired football this season, but is just a game back in a crowded division. The Broncos dumped the Chargers 28-13 as 2.5-point home ‘dogs in Week 12.

“This game was flexed to Sunday Night Football, and I think that says a lot about the quality of matchups next Sunday,” Murray said. “We stayed high on the Chiefs, knowing how many parlays and teasers will be going to Kansas City in this time slot.”

The line and total were unchanged tonight.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Las Vegas is down to a 1.5-point favorite at WynnBet, after opening -3 Sunday night. Ticket count is almost 2/1 Raiders, but money is running 3/1 Washington. The total opened at 48, spent much of the week at 49, then dropped straight to 47.5 this afternoon. Las Vegas not having tight end Darren Waller (back/knee), and running back Josh Jacobs (ankle) being questionable likely contributed to that move. The Under is taking 70% of tickets/79% of dollars.

UPDATE NOON ET WEDNESDAY: The Raiders moved from -2.5 to -3 Monday and back to -2.5 Tuesday at DraftKings. Las Vegas is currently -2.5 (-115), with ticket count and money in the 2/1 range on the favorite. The total moved from 48 to 50 to 49, with 73% of bets/70% of cash on the Under.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: The Raiders went to Dallas as a 7-point pup on a three-game SU and ATS skid. And they did so on a short week, playing on Thanksgiving. Yet somehow, Las Vegas (6-5 SU, 5-6 ATS) pulled out a 36-33 overtime victory.

Washington (4-6 SU, 3-7 ATS) still has Week 12 work to do, hosting Seattle on Monday night.

“We opened the Raiders -2.5 and haven’t seen much action on the game yet,” Murray said. “Washington has quietly been playing decent football lately, and if they win Monday night [vs. Seattle], they actually would be bringing a three-game winning streak into Allegiant Stadium.

“This is a very good schedule spot for the Raiders. They played Thursday afternoon, and Washington has to play on Monday night and then fly to the West Coast.”

The line and total were stable tonight.

UPDATE 2 A.M. ET SATURDAY: Tampa Bay opened -10 at Caesars, moved to -11 Monday, back to -10 Thursday, then went to -10.5 this afternoon. It’s two-way action, with 53% of bets on the Bucs and 56% of cash on the Falcons. The total moved from 51 to 50 to 50.5.

UPDATE NOON ET WEDNESDAY: The Bucs opened -10 at DraftKings and initially dipped to -9.5, then rose to -11 Monday morning. Late Monday night, the line went to -10.5 for a couple of hours before returning to -11, where it sits now. Ticket count is 3/1 and money 6/1 on Tampa Bay. The total opened at 50, peaked at 51 and is now 50.5, with the Over nabbing 55% of bets/66% of money.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Tampa Bay has followed a two-game SU and ATS speedbump with two straight wins and covers. The first was over the Giants, which won’t impress anyone. But the second was against a Colts team that’s much better than its now 6-6 SU mark. The Buccaneers (8-3 SU, 5-6 ATS) went to Indy as a 3-point chalk, trailed 24-14 at halftime, and exited with a 38-31 victory, clinching it on a last-minute touchdown.

Atlanta (5-6 SU and ATS) ended a 1-3 SU and ATS slide with a 21-14 win laying 1 point at Jacksonville.

“We’ve seen this one before. The public will be all over the Bucs, teasing the Bucs, throwing the Bucs in every moneyline parlay,” Murray said. “All we can do is hope that Matt Ryan doesn’t throw two pick-sixes in the fourth quarter this time.”

In Week 2, Tampa Bay was a 13.5-point home favorite vs. Atlanta. The Bucs’ Mike Edwards picked off Ryan twice and returned both for fourth-quarter scores in a 48-25 victory. Including that victory, Tampa Bay is a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS as a double-digit favorite (all at home).

There was no change in the line or total tonight.

UPDATE 1 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Arizona has bounced between -7/-7.5/-8 over the past three days and is currently -7.5 at DraftKings. Early ticket count is just shy of 4/1 Cardinals, and money is even more lopsided at 9/1 Cardinals. The total dipped from 46.5 to 44.5, then rebounded to 45.5, with ticket count dead even and 61% of money on the Under.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Arizona, coming off a bye, hopes to have Kyler Murray (ankle) back after a three-game absence. Even without Murray and stud wideout DeAndre Hopkins, the Cardinals (9-2 SU, 8-3 ATS) went 2-1 SU and ATS, including a 23-13 upset at Seattle in Week 11 as 4.5-point underdog.

Chicago halted a five-game SU slide on Thanksgiving, but its spread-covering skid stretched to 1-5 ATS. The Bears (4-7 SU and ATS) got a final-seconds field goal to edge Detroit 16-14 as a 2.5-point road fave.

The SuperBook stuck at Cards -7 tonight, but dropped the total to 46.

UPDATE 3 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Minnesota quickly moved from -7.5 to -7 at DraftKings, and the line hasn’t budged since Sunday night. That said, ticket count is approaching 4/1 and money is almost 9/1 on the Vikings. The total bounced around a bit, opening at 46.5, peaking at 48, returning to 46.5 and now sitting at 47. Ticket count is 2/1 and money almost 3/1 on the Under.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Detroit is still in search of its first win, letting arguably its best remaining chance slip away on Thanksgiving. The Lions (0-10-1 SU, 7-4 ATS) lost to Chicago 16-14 on a final-seconds field goal. On the bright side, Detroit — catching 2.5 points at home — posted its third straight cover and fourth in five games.

Minnesota got back to .500 with a big Week 11 home win over Green Bay, then fell back under .500 in Week 12. The Vikings (5-6 SU, 6-5 ATS) lost at San Francisco 34-26 as 4-point underdogs.

The line was stable, but the total rose to 48 tonight.

UPDATE 3 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: This number opened Indianapolis -7.5 at DraftKings, peaked at -9.5, then dropped to -8 and got back to -9 by this morning. The Colts are now -8.5 while taking 82% of bets and 96% of dollars on the spread. The total slipped from 46 to 45.5, with 59% of bets on the Over/64% of money on the Under.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: It could be reasonably argued that Indianapolis is far better than its 6-6 SU mark (7-5 ATS). In Week 11, the Colts hammered host Buffalo, and in Week 12, they gave defending Super Bowl champ Tampa Bay all it could handle. Indy raced out to a 24-14 halftime lead but fell 38-31 after surrendering a Bucs touchdown with 20 seconds remaining.

On the other hand, no one will argue that Houston is any better than its 2-9 SU mark (5-6 ATS). In a Week 12 battle for draft position, the Texans were laying 3 points at home and lost to the Jets 21-14.

The line and table were stable tonight.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SATURDAY: San Francisco hit WynnBet’s NFL Week 13 odds board at -2.5, went straight to -3.5 Tuesday morning, then fell to -3 (-120) a few hours later. The Niners remain -3 (-120) while taking 80% of bets and 89% of money. The total is down to 45 from a 46 opener, although the Over is seeing 54% of bets and a robust 87% of cash.

UPDATE 3 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: San Francisco has bounced around this week at DraftKings, going from -2.5 to -4 to -3 and now sitting at -3.5 (even). Point-spread ticket count and dollars are both running 4/1 on the 49ers. The total opened at 46.5, bottomed out at 45 a couple of times and is now 46. Ticket count is 2/1 and money beyond 5/1 on the Under.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: San Francisco has quietly won three in a row and four of five SU and ATS. In Week 12, the 49ers (6-5 SU, 5-6 ATS) staved off Minnesota 34-26 giving 4 points at home. Meanwhile, Seattle (3-7 SU, 5-5 ATS) is pretty much baked at this point but still has Week 12 work to do, as it visits Washington on Monday night.

The SuperBook held steady on the line and total Sunday night.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SATURDAY: WynnBet pegged Los Angeles a 14-point chalk and has been at -13 since Thursday afternoon. The Rams are attracting 81% of spread tickets, but the Jaguars are landing 55% of spread dollars. The total opened at 47.5 and reached 48.5 by Thursday, with 72% of tickets on the Under/57% of money on the Over.

UPDATE 3 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Los Angeles opened as nearly a two-touchdown chalk at DraftKings, starting at -13.5 Sunday night. The line dipped as low as -12 Tuesday morning, then inched up to -12.5. However, early ticket count is 4/1 and money beyond 9/1 on the Rams. The total opened at 48, dipped to 47.5 Tuesday and 47 today, with tickets 2/1 and money almost 5/1 on the Under.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Los Angeles came back from a bye in Week 12, only to lose its third straight on the field and its fifth straight against the number. The Rams (7-4 SU, 4-7 ATS) couldn’t keep up with Green Bay, falling 36-28 as 2-point road favorites.

Jacksonville is likely just what the Rams need. The Jaguars (2-9 SU, 4-7 ATS) closed as 1.5-point home ‘dogs to Atlanta and lost 21-14.

The line and total were unchanged tonight at The SuperBook.

UPDATE 3 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Philly opened -7.5 and by Monday afternoon dropped to -6.5 at DraftKings, then rose to -7 this afternoon. The Eagles are attracting 60% of spread bets and 88% of spread cash. The total is down to 45 from a 46.5 opener, with the Under nabbing 65% of bets/60% of cash.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Philadelphia (5-7 SU, 6-6 ATS) had its 3-1 SU and ATS upswing squelched in boring fashion. The Eagles mustered only a fourth-quarter TD in a 13-7 loss to the Giants as 4-point road favorites. New York (3-8 SU and ATS) won a game it’ll probably wish it had lost when the NFL Draft rolls around. Going off as 3-point road underdogs, the Jets beat hapless Houston 21-14.

Neither the line nor total moved tonight.

UPDATE 3 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Miami opened -2.5, touched -5 multiple times and is now -4.5 at DraftKings. The Dolphins are netting 73% of spread tickets and 69% of spread money. The total opened at 43.5, tumbled to 40.5 and is now 41, the lowest total on the NFL Week 13 odds board. The Over is taking 67% of tickets, while 60% of money is on the Under.

UPDATE MIDNIGHT ET SUNDAY: Miami (5-7 SU, 6-5-1 ATS) is still sub-.500, but is on a four-game SU and ATS streak. In Week 12, the Dolphins dumped Carolina 33-10 getting 1 point at home. New York (4-7 SU, 6-5 ATS) topped Philadelphia 13-7 as a 4-point home pup.

The line was stable tonight at The SuperBook, but the total dropped a point to 42.

UPDATE NOON ET WEDNESDAY: Dallas opened -6 at DraftKings, dropped to -4 by Monday night and rose to -4.5 Tuesday night. Despite the line dip, ticket count and money are both 4/1-plus on the Cowboys. The total toggled between 47 and 47.5 the past couple of days, then rose to 48.5 within just the past hour. But it’s two-way play, with 56% of bets on the Over/55% of cash on the Under.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Dallas was outstanding over the first two months of the season, going 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS. But the Cowboys (7-4 SU, 8-3 ATS) are 1-3 SU and ATS in their last four. On Thanksgiving, the Pokes fell to the reeling Raiders 36-33 in overtime as a 7-point home favorite.

New Orleans (5-6 SU and ATS) also played on Thanksgiving but was hardly prime in prime time. The Saints got shellacked by Buffalo 31-6 as a 7-point home underdog.

It’s another Thursday contest for these two teams, meeting in the first game of Week 13.

Cowboys running back Ezekiel Elliott (knee) might rest this week. Wideout Amari Cooper is expected to return from COVID, and fellow wideout CeeDee Lamb should return from a concussion.

“As much as anything else, we will be tracking the injury reports here,” Murray said. “Both teams have been missing key players the last couple of weeks, and both are coming off bad losses on Thanksgiving Day. The books will need New Orleans pretty big, with a lot of Week 13 parlays starting with the Cowboys.”

Later Sunday, Dallas moved to -6, while the total was unchanged.