NFL Week 11 Odds: Two-Way Action On Giants Vs Buccaneers

UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Tampa Bay spent the early part of the week at -11 and the latter part of the week at -10.5 at WynnBet. The Bucs, coming off a stunning loss at Washington, are seeing 59% of spread bets. However, 71% of spread dollars are on the Giants in the Monday night game. The total is down a point to 50, with ticket count 2/1 and money beyond 9/1 on the Under.

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: The Week 11 Monday night game opened with the Bucs an 11.5-point favorite at DraftKings, then spent much of the past couple of days at -10.5. Tampa Bay nudged up to -11 today, while taking 69% of spread tickets, but New York is getting 60% of spread money. The total opened at 50.5 and made a couple of treks to 49.5, where it sits now, with ticket count almost dead even and 65% of money on the Over.

UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: If these last two weeks proved anything, it’s that even the big favorites can take a big tumble. In Week 10, it was Tampa Bay’s turn to get whacked. The defending Super Bowl champion Bucs (6-3 SU, 3-6 ATS) stunningly fell 29-19 at Washington giving 10 points.

Playing at home against New York on Monday night might be just what the Bucs need. For what it’s worth, the Giants (3-6 SU, 5-4 SU) are on a 2-1 SU roll, cashing in all three outings. New York had its bye in Week 10.

“Bad loss for the Bucs today. I know they were missing some key options on offense, but it’s inexcusable to lose to the Football Team when you’re trying to keep up with the Packers, Cowboys, Cardinals, and Rams in the NFC playoff chase,” Murray said. “We re-opened this game Bucs -11 after dealing it at -12.5 [on the look-ahead line]. There will be a lot of moneyline parlays closing with the Bucs, but I don’t anticipate this game matching the handle numbers of [Patriots-Falcons] or the Cowboys-Chiefs game Sunday afternoon.”

The line and total were stable tonight.

UPDATE 1:15 P.M. ET SUNDAY: DraftKings has Los Angeles a 6-point favorite several hours before kickoff, up from the -3.5 opener but down from the -6.5 peak. The Chargers are taking 61% of tickets and 71% of money on the spread. The total moved from 48 to 46.5 to 47.5, with 67% of tickets/53% of money on the Under.

UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: WynnBet moved Los Angeles from -4 to -6 this week, but opinion is definitely split on this matchup. The Chargers are getting 60% of bets, but the Steelers are grabbing 83% of money. Belying the odds move, Pittsburgh is WynnBet’s third-largest NFL liability Sunday. The total opened and is currently at 47, with 60% of bets on the Under and 51% of money on the Over.

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Los Angeles surged from -3.5 to -6 by Tuesday afternoon at DraftKings, receded to -5 Tuesday night and is now -5.5. Early point-spread ticket count is reasonably close for the Sunday night tilt, with 58% on the Chargers. But early money is heavily tilted toward L.A., at 90%. The total dropped from 48 to 47 Monday and is still at 47, with 60% of bets/62% of cash on the Under.

UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: A few weeks ago, many thought Los Angeles was a Super Bowl contender. The Chargers were 4-1 SU and ATS, with impressive wins against Cleveland (home) and Kansas City (road), with a lone loss against a solid Dallas outfit. Now, after a 27-20 setback to Minnesota as a 3.5-point home favorite in Week 10, L.A. is 5-4 SU and ATS, and trying to figure out what happened.

Pittsburgh avoided the ignominy of being Detroit’s first victim this season. But it was almost as bad as a loss, as the Steelers (5-3-1 SU, 3-6 ATS) — minus COVID-afflicted Ben Roethlisberger — tied the Lions 16-16 as 6-point home favorites.

“This has been an ugly week for the Pittsburgh Steelers. They were fortunate to beat the Bears on Monday, Big Ben gets COVID on Saturday, and they tie the Lions today. At home. Yikes,” Muray said. “But the sharp guys love betting against the Chargers when they’re a home favorite, and the crowd next Sunday night should be something like 85% Steelers fans. As bad as Pittsburgh looked today, this line may come down.”

Perhaps it will as the week progresses, but neither the side nor total moved tonight for the Week 11 Sunday Night Football clash.

UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: WynnBet opened Kansas City as a 2-point favorite and inched up to -2.5 Tuesday, where the line remains tonight. The Cowboys are actually taking 61% of spread tickets, while the Chiefs are nabbing 68% of spread dollars. The total is at 56.5 from a 56 opener, with 57% of tickets/67% of cash on the Over.

UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Dallas won’t have wideout Amari Cooper on Sunday nor at home on Thanksgiving vs. Las Vegas, as he’s unvaccinated and in COVID protocols. But that didn’t prompt Caesars to move Kansas City off -2.5, where it’s been most of the week after opening -2. The Cowboys are taking a modest majority of bets at 54%, while the Chiefs are drawing 76% of money. The total moved from 55.5 to 57, then crept back to 56.5 this evening.

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: In the wake of Kansas City’s Sunday night dismantling of Las Vegas, it’s no surprise this number is tilted toward the Chiefs. DraftKings went up early Monday at K.C. -2.5, briefly touched -2 Monday and -3 Tuesday, and is now at the opener. However, Dallas isn’t getting overlooked early, taking 66% of spread tickets. And spread money is almost dead even midweek, at 51% Chiefs. The total has already shot from 53.5 to 56.5, with ticket count 2/1 and money approaching 9/1 on the Over.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Dallas (7-2 SU, 8-1 ATS) bounced back nicely from its stunning Week 9 outright loss to Denver (which was also the Pokes’ first point-spread setback of the year). The Cowboys boat-raced Atlanta 43-3 as a 7.5-point home favorite in a game that saw plenty of sharp play on the Falcons.

Meanwhile, after a bumpy first half of the season, Kansas City showed signs in Week 10 that it might be getting on track, The Chiefs (6-4 SU, 3-7 ATS) went to Las Vegas and housed the Raiders 41-14 as 2.5-point favorites in the Sunday night game.

“We opened this game pick ’em at Arrowhead Stadium, which says a lot about the current state of the Chiefs,” Murray said just as K.C. kicked off at Las Vegas. “This is a team that was favored by 4/4.5 points in Baltimore back in September, and the whole world was happy to lay it. I’m interested to see how the public attacks this game. I think this will be a rare time when we are rooting for the Chiefs — that is unless they crush the Raiders tonight. Then everyone will be back in!”

Of course, that’s precisely what Kanas City did. So when the Cowboys-Chiefs line goes back up Monday morning — it came off the Week 11 NFL odds board Sunday night per The SuperBook’s standard operating procedure — don’t be surprised if K.C. is modest chalk.

UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Green Bay learned Friday that Aaron Jones (knee) is out Sunday, and the Packers are now down to -1 at Caesars Sportsbook. The Pack is still a public play, nabbing 80% of spread tickets, but Green Bay is seeing just 57% of spread dollars. The total is down to 47.5 from a 49.5 opener.

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Green Bay opened -2.5 at DraftKings and made a few trips to -3 by Tuesday, but the line is down to -2 this afternoon. That’s despite ticket count and money in the 4/1 range on the red-hot Packers, who have cashed in nine straight games. The total dropped from 50.5 to 49, then inched up to 49.5 today, with the Under getting 57% of tickets/64% of cash.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Green Bay’s offense looked lethargic for much of Aaron Rodgers’ return from a bout with COVID in Week 10. But the Packers (8-2 SU, 9-1 ATS) put together two fourth-quarter touchdown drives and blanked Seattle 17-0 as 3-point home favorites. Green Bay has now covered nine in a row since its stunning Week 1 blowout loss to New Orleans and still stands alone atop the ATS standings.

Minnesota (4-5 SU, 5-4 ATS) got a step closer to .500 with a solid 27-20 win at the Los Angeles Chargers as a 3.5-point road underdog in Week 10.

“Green Bay has looked great on defense recently, and with Rodgers back under center, the Packers look like one of the most complete teams in the league,” Murray said. “Minnesota needs this one if it’s going to stay in the NFC North mix. We will need the Vikings big here.”

This game didn’t get much attention tonight, with the line and total unchanged.

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: This number has hovered around a touchdown since posting Sunday night. DraftKings opened Buffalo -7, quickly went to -6.5, touched -7.5 for a few hours Tuesday and is now at the -7 opener. The Colts are taking 61% of bets and the Bills 63% of money on the spread. The total opened at 49 and initially backed up to 49, but it’s now up to 50.5, with the Over getting 59% of bets/68% of money.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Like Dallas, Buffalo suffered a stunning loss as double-digit chalk in Week 9, falling 9-6 at Jacksonville. And like Dallas, the Bills (6-3 SU, 5-3-1 ATS) rebounded in a big way, routing the New York Jets 43-17 as 13.5-point road faves.

Meanwhile, Indianapolis (5-5 SU, 6-4 ATS) held off the Jaguars 23-17 but failed to cash as 10.5-point home favorites, ending a 5-1 ATS run. Still, the Colts have cashed in three consecutive road games (all as an underdog).

“This is a rematch of an AFC Wild Card game from last season, and not much has changed in terms of the point spreads separating these two teams,” Murray said. “Buffalo has been cruising through a weak part of its schedule, and it cost them last week in a terrible loss to Jacksonville.

“The Bills can’t let down here, as the Colts are a solid team. We had a sharp account take Colts +7 on Tuesday [on the Week 11 look-ahead line], and I think we could see more Indianapolis money from wiseguys if the line drifts back up.”

The line was stable tonight, but the total dropped 1.5 points to 49.5.

UPDATE 12:30 A.M. ET SUNDAY: Arizona went from -1.5 to -2.5 early in the week at WynnBet, made its way down to -1 by Saturday night, then jumped the fence to Seattle -2. That’s largely due to reports that Cardinals QB Kyler Murray (ankle) is looking likely to miss a third straight game. The Cards are drawing 60% of bets and 67% of money on the spread. The total fell from 50 to 47.5, with 70% of bets and a hefty 96% of cash on the Under.

UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Kyler Murray’s status is still a little iffy with an ankle issue, and Arizona definitely won’t have wideout De’Andre Hopkins. So Caesars finally moved off Cardinals -2.5 to -2 Friday, in a game that opened Cards -2 and reached -3 early. Arizona is getting 62% of spread bets, but Seattle is seeing 80% of spread money. The total dipped from 50 to 48.

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: It’s clear oddsmakers expect Arizona QB Kyler Murray to return this week, after sitting out two games with an ankle issue. DraftKings posted the Cardinals as 2.5-point road favorites Sunday night, touched -3 Monday and went back to -2.5 Tuesday morning. The Cards are currently -2.5 (even), with 56% of bets on Arizona and 68% of money on Seattle. The total is down to 48 from a 50 opener, with the Under seeing 68% of bets/55% of dollars.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Arizona got through one week without Kyler Murray and DeAndre Hopkins, dumping the 49ers on the road. Two weeks was apparently too much to ask. The Cardinals (8-2 SU, 7-3 ATS) closed as 7-point home favorites against Carolina in Week 10 and got belted, 34-10.

Seattle got QB Russell Wilson back for Week 10, but that didn’t provide the expected offensive spark — in fact, it didn’t provide any offensive spark. The Seahawks (3-6 SU, 5-4 ATS) fell at Green Bay 17-0 as 3-point pups. It was the first time since 2011 — the year before Wilson arrived — that Seattle was shut out.

“We had the Seahawks as a small favorite when we initially opened this game on Tuesday [on the look-ahead line], and we took a number of bets on Arizona,” Murray said. That look-ahead line was Seahawks -1.5. When the game went back up on the Week 11 NFL odds board Sunday night, the Cards were -2.5 — despite the continued uncertainty of Murray and Hopkins.

“Even though the Cardinals got hammered by Carolina today, it looks like those [early bettors] had the right idea,” The SuperBook’s Murray said. “Seattle looked dreadful today. And we anticipate a return to the lineup for Kyler Murray next Sunday. The books will need Seattle.”

The line and total were stable tonight.

UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: Cincinnati was nailed to -1 all week at WynnBet until inching up to -1.5 this evening. The Bengals are garnering 64% of bets and 59% of cash on the spread. The total rose from 48.5 to 50, with 68% of bets and practically every dollar on the Over so far.

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Cincinnati opened -1 at DraftKings, moved to -1.5 Monday night and back to -1 this morning. The Bengals are attracting 77% of early spread bets and 70% of early spread cash. The total moved from 48.5 to 50, then to 49.5, with 70% of tickets/75% of money on the Over.

UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Las Vegas had a chance to take sole possession of first place in the AFC West in the Week 10 Sunday nighter against Kansas City. But the Raiders (5-4 SU, 4-5 ATS) got punished 41-14 as 2.5-point home underdogs. Cincinnati (5-4 SU, 4-5 ATS) will come in rested after a Week 10 bye, looking to halt a two-game SU and ATS skid.

There was no movement on the line or total tonight.

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: After reaching the AFC divisional playoff round last season, Cleveland needs to get on its horse if it hopes to make the playoffs this season. Oddsmakers expect a rebound this week, with the Browns opening -10 at DraftKings and briefly reaching -11.5 this afternoon, before dipping to -11. But it’s relatively balanced spread action, with Detroit actually getting 58% of tickets and Cleveland 53% of money.

UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Cleveland got its clock cleaned at New England in Week 10, losing 45-7 as a 2.5-point ‘dog. The Browns (5-5 SU and ATS), who reached the divisional playoffs last year, are now at the bottom of the AFC North.

That’s still not as low as Detroit, which still doesn’t have a win this season. But in Week 10, the Lions (0-8-1 SU, 5-4 SU) at least salvaged a tie in a 16-16 sister-kisser as 5.5-point underdogs at Pittsburgh.

The line didn’t move tonight at The SuperBook, but the total nudged up to 45.

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: San Francisco bumped from -5.5 to -7 by late Monday night at DraftKings, then dipped to -6 and rebounded to -6.5 Tuesday afternoon. The line went back to 49ers -6 this morning, with 72% of bets and 62% of cash on San Francisco. The total fell from 47 to 45 by Tuesday afternoon and remains at the latter number, with 73% of bets/71% of cash on the Under.

UPDATE 10:30 P.M. ET SUNDAY: A week after shocking Buffalo, Jacksonville (2-7 SU, 4-5 ATS) couldn’t win a second straight game as a double-digit ‘dog in Week 10. The Jags fell at Indianapolis 23-17, but covered as 10.5-point pups, their third cashout in four weeks — and the first time all season Urban Meyer’s club covered in consecutive games.

San Francisco (3-5 SU, 2-6 ATS), with its season hanging by a thread, still has Week 10 work to do. The 49ers host the Rams on Monday night.

The SuperBook stood pat on the Niners-Jags line and total tonight.

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: DraftKings went from Miami -3 to -2.5 early on, then spent much of the past three days bouncing between -3 and -3.5. The Dolphins are now -3.5, with ticket count almost 3/1 and money beyond 6/1. The total opened at 45.5, peaked at 46 and is now at its low of 44.5, with tickets and money both dead even.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Miami (3-7 SU, 4-5-1 ATS) notched one of the more surprising wins of the season in the Week 10 Thursday nighter, stifling Baltimore 22-10 as 8.5-point home underdogs. After winning its opener then dumping seven straight, Miami has won and cashed in its last two outings.

Meanwhile, New York (2-7 SU and ATS) got battered by Buffalo 45-17 as a 13.5-point home underdog. The Jets have dropped two in a row SU and ATS since their shocking home win over Cincinnati in Week 8.

This spread didn’t move tonight, but the price adjusted, going to Dolphins -3 (even). The total was stable at The SuperBook.

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Carolina opened -2.5 at DraftKings and stretched to -4 for a few minutes Tuesday morning, then receded to -3.5. This afternoon, the Panthers dipped to -3 for a couple of hours, then returned to -3.5. Washington is taking 64% of spread bets and Carolina 57% of spread money. The total opened at 43.5 but has pretty much been pinned to 43 this week, with 63% of bets/68% of money on the Over.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Washington (3-6 SU, 2-7 ATS) did the bookmakers a big solid in Week 10, dousing countless parlays, moneyline parlays, and especially teasers running to Tampa Bay. The Football Team got out to a 13-0 lead and never trailed against the defending Super Bowl champs, winning 29-19 as a 10-point home pup.

As for Carolina, Cam Newton is back, and apparently, all is right with the world. The Panthers (5-5 SU and ATS) climbed back to .500 by waxing injury-riddled Arizona 34-10 as 7-point road ‘dogs. Newton had limited snaps as the backup QB but made the most of them. He ran for a TD on his first snap and passed for a TD on his second, both in the first quarter.

The SuperBook gave the Panthers a modest nod on the NFL Week 11 odds board. There was no movement on the line or total tonight.

UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET SATURDAY: With the status of Ravens QB Lamar Jackson (illness) still uncertain, this line has bounced around throughout the week at WynnBet. Baltimore opened -6.5, fell to -5 by Wednesday, got to -6 Friday, then dropped to -5 today. The Ravens are landing 73% of spread bets, but 80% of spread cash is on the underdog Bears. That has Chicago as WynnBet’s second-largest NFL liability Sunday. The total initially rose from 45 to 45.5, but it’s now down to 43, with 51% of bets and practically all the money on the Under.

UPDATE 11:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: There was midweek concern when Ravens QB Lamar Jackson was not feeling well, but that cleared up by Friday. Baltimore opened -6 at Caesars and quickly touched -6.5, then fell back to -4.5 Wednesday. But the Ravens are now -6.5 on some pretty interesting splits: 76% of tickets on Baltimore, 87% of money on Chicago. The total is down a tick, from 45 to 44.5.

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: DraftKings pegged Baltimore a 6-point favorite to start, went to -6.5 and then -7 Tuesday, but the number is now down to -5. The Ravens are netting 62% of tickets, but the Bears are getting 62% of money. The total opened at 45, rose to 46, returned to 45 and is now 45.5, with 61% of bets on the Under/65% of money on the Over.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Baltimore is coming off a mini-bye, having played in the Week 10 Thursday nighter. And the Ravens (6-3 SU, 3-6 ATS) probably needed the extra rest after losing 22-10 as 8.5-point faves at Miami. Chicago (3-6 SU, 4-5 ATS) had an actual bye in Week 10 and enters on a four-game losing skid (1-3 ATS).

Neither the line nor total moved tonight.

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Philadelphia opened -1.5 at DraftKings, dipped to -1 this morning, then rose to -2 late this afternoon. However, the point-spread betting splits contrast that move, with 54% of tickets/64% of money on New Orleans. The total dipped from 44 to 43, though the Over is drawing 62% of tickets/55% of money.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: New Orleans (5-4 SU and ATS) fell short at Tennessee 23-21 in Week 10 but covered as a 3-point ‘dog by getting a late touchdown. The Saints have now alternated spread-covers in every game this season.

While the Saints failed to get it done on the road (at least on the scoreboard), Philadelphia (4-6 SU, 5-5 ATS) went to Denver as a 1-point underdog and exited with a 30-17 outright victory.

The SuperBook didn’t move the line or total tonight.

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Tennessee bounced between -10.5 and -10 early in the week, then rose to -11 early Tuesday afternoon before retreating to -10 later Tuesday. The Titans are landing 70% of bets and 71% of money on the spread. The total fell from 45.5 to 44.5, where it’s been since lunch hour Tuesday, with 53% of bets/64% of money on the Over.

UPDATE 11 P.M. ET SUNDAY: Tennessee is 2-0 so far while star RB Derrick Henry works to recover from a broken foot. In Week 10, the Titans (8-2 SU, 7-3 ATS) held off New Orleans 23-21 but failed to cash as 3-point home faves, ending a 5-0 ATS run.

Meanwhile, Houston (1-8 SU, 4-5 ATS) was on a bye in Week 10 and probably wishes it could stay there the rest of the year. The Texans haven’t won since their Week 1 home victory over Jacksonville and are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven.

Neither the line nor total moved tonight at The SuperBook.

UPDATE 6 P.M. ET WEDNESDAY: Week 11’s opening game has New England a 7-point favorite at DraftKings, where the line opened Patriots -5.5. New England is a popular play, with ticket count and money both in the 4/1 range on the touchdown chalk. The total has bounced around a bit, from 47 to 46.5 to 47.5, and it’s now back at 47. The Over is getting 53% of tickets and 77% of money.

UPDATE 10 P.M. ET SUNDAY: New England (6-4 SU and ATS) enters this Week 11 Thursday night contest off a 45-7 blasting of the Cleveland Browns giving 2.5 points at home. The Patriots are on a 4-0 SU and ATS surge. On the flip side, Atlanta (4-5 SU and ATS) got trucked 43-3 catching 7.5 points at Dallas.

“Here’s something I didn’t expect to hear all season: One of the guys in our risk room asked if there is any team in the AFC better than the New England Patriots right now,” Murray said. “I think it was a tongue-in-cheek remark, but you get the idea. New England has our attention.

“The public is going to be rushing to the window to take the Patriots in this game, and this could end up being a big Thursday night decision for the house. Have these teams ever met before?”

That was Murray being tongue-in-cheek himself, referring to Super Bowl 51, when Atlanta blew a 28-3 lead and lost 34-28 in overtime. This week’s matchup saw the line hold steady at Pats -6 tonight, while the total inched up to 46.5.