While the Baltimore Ravens’ preseason prowess is a well-publicized tale, regularly showcased on SportsCenter and Twitter, savvy NFL fans know there’s much more to explore beyond this headline. The following NFL preseason betting trends and streaks aim to uncover golden nuggets.
Take, for instance, the Sean McVay coaching tree. Coaches emerging from this lineage have generally underperformed in the preseason — including McVay himself. This isn’t due to a lack of skill, but rather a strategy: preserving key players by resting starters is a common stance.
Contrast this with the approach of Mike Tomlin, the Pittsburgh Steelers’ head coach, who tends to play his starters more liberally in the preseason. This has been a formula for success, with Tomlin consistently recording strong preseason results.
NFL Betting Trends: 2023 Preseason
In this guide, we will provide a comprehensive analysis of the top NFL preseason betting trends and records updated before each week of games in the 2023 preseason. We’ll explore enduring trends, recent developments, and, with NFL Preseason Week 3 on the horizon, we’ll offer insights specific to this critical juncture.
Whether you’re a seasoned bettor or a curious fan, this article is crafted to arm you with the insights needed to navigate the unpredictable, yet rewarding, landscape of NFL preseason betting.
First off, some ground rules to keep in mind:
- All trends are updated prior to the third week of the NFL Preseason in 2023.
- We will update this article ahead of the fourth week of the NFL preseason too, so check back next week.
- Keep in mind that all records are straight-up wins and losses, not against the spread.
Got it? Good! Let’s dive in!
NFL Preseason Trends: Week 3 Analysis
Based on these trends, here are some matchups that stand out:
Ravens at Buccaneers
The Ravens are 24-1 in their last 25 preseason games. Ravens are favored by 1.5
Cardinals at Vikings
Will the Vikings get their first win under Kevin O’Connell (0-5)? Cardinals are favored by 1.5
Rams at Broncos
The Los Angeles Rams are 1-7 in the preseason since 2021. Sean Payton has a 0-2 record with Denver. Broncos are favored by 6.5
Raiders at Cowboys
Las Vegas Raiders are 6-0 in the preseason under Josh McDaniels. The Dallas Cowboys are 2-7 in the preseason since 2021. Raiders are favored by 6
Jets at Giants
Since Robert Saleh took over for the New York Jets in 2021, they are 6-2 in the preseason. Jets are favored by 4.5
The Best NFL Preseason Trends Overall
- BAL: As a head coach, Jon Harbaugh is 44-13 in the preseason, a 79% win rate.
- BAL: The Ravens are 24-1 in their last 25 preseason games.
- PIT: Since 2017, the Pittsburgh Steelers are 17-4 in the preseason.
- PIT: Mike Tomlin is 39-24 in the preseason as a head coach, a 61% win rate.
- NE: Bill Belichick is 51-39 in the preseason as head coach, a 56% win rate.
The Worst NFL Preseason Trends Overall
- CIN: Zac Taylor is 3-8-1 in the preseason since taking over for the Cincinnati Bengals in 2019.
- TB: Todd Bowles is 8-13 in the preseason as a head coach. That includes a 1-4 record with Tampa Bay.
- DEN: Sean Payton is 8-16 in the preseason since 2015, which includes a 0-2 record with Denver.
The Best In Recent Years
- LV: Las Vegas Raiders are 6-0 in the preseason since Josh McDaniels took over in 2022.
- BUF: The Bills are 10-2 straight up in the preseason since 2019.
- NYJ: Since Robert Saleh took over for the New York Jets in 2021, they are 6-2 in the preseason.
- CHI: The Chicago Bears are 4-1 in the preseason since Matt Eberflus took over as head coach in 2022.
The Worst In Recent Years
- DAL: The Dallas Cowboys are 2-7 in the preseason since 2021.
- LAR: The Los Angeles Rams are 1-7 in the preseason since 2021.
- MIN: Kevin O’Connell is 0-5 in the preseason since taking over as Minnesota Vikings head coach.
- PHI: The Philadelphia Eagles are 1-5-1 in the preseason since 2021.
NFL Preseason Trends: Week 3
- LAC: Under Brandon Staley, the Chargers have not won a preseason game (0-5) after Week 1.
- SEA: Pete Carroll is 5-8 in Week 2 of the preseason as a coach. He has a winning record every other preseason week.
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