NFL Matchups This Week: Christmas Day Schedule, Props & Predictions (12/25)

The NFL schedule makers thought they were giving us a gift with Patrick Mahomes vs. Bo Nix in primetime. Instead, we are getting a lump of coal wrapped in a Chiefs jersey. Either way, we have NFL Christmas Day matchups to break down for Thursday.

We have a Christmas tripleheader that features Chris Oladokun (yes, really) starting for Kansas City, an undrafted rookie named Max Brosmer starting for Minnesota, and a Cowboys-Commanders game that has turned into a preseason audition, with some starters playing for pride and chasing incentives.

But here’s the thing—chaos creates betting value. Let’s unwrap this disaster slate, check the rosters (because there are a lot of backup QBs), and find the winners.

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Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders Betting Preview

• Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
• TV/Stream: Netflix Exclusive
• Spread: Cowboys -7

Life comes at you fast. Jayden Daniels was shut down for the season a few weeks ago with an elbow injury, capping a frustrating year. To make matters worse, backup Marcus Mariota is banged up with a hand injury and might not play, meaning we could see Josh Johnson under center.

They face a Cowboys team that has wasted a 4K-yard season from Dak Prescott thanks to a defense that ranks dead last.

• SPREAD PICK: Cowboys -7 – I don’t trust Dallas as far as I can throw them, but Washington has lost 10 of their last 11 games and might be starting a QB who was on the couch last week. Dak should do enough to win this ugly one.

• PLAYER PROP BET: George Pickens > 78.5 Receiving Yards – Pickens continues to have a career year. Dallas ranks toward the top of the league in pass rate, and Pickens has a very strong 34% air yard share, via Fantasy Points data.

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Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings Betting Preview

• Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
• TV/Stream: Netflix Exclusive
• Spread: Lions -6

The Detroit Lions’ offense is averaging 30.1 points per game and fighting for a playoff spot. Their gift? They get to face the Vikings without J.J. McCarthy, who is out with a hand injury. Minnesota is rolling out undrafted rookie Max Brosmer for his first career start.

Jared Goff and this Lions passing attack should scorch a Vikings secondary that ranks near the bottom of the league. That being said, Minnesota DC Brian Flores loves to blitz. He gives up yardage and values takeaways.

However, the Lions’ defense is hurting too. Starting safeties Brian Branch (Achilles) and Kerby Joseph (knee) are both out, leaving the secondary thin. That might give Brosmer a few windows to throw into, but don’t overthink it. Detroit needs this game; Minnesota is playing out the string.

• SPREAD PICK: Lions -6 – Detroit needs a miracle to make the playoffs, but they are going to take this one seriously.

• PLAYER PROP BET: Jameson Williams Higher Than 60.5 Receiving Yards – Williams has been an animal since HC Dan Campbell took over play-calling duties. Sam LaPorta is gone for the year, Amon-Ra St. Brown is a little banged up, and Williams should see single coverage vs the blitz.

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Player
Dak Prescott DAL QB DAL @ WAS Dec 25 1:00 PM ET	o272.5 -111 u272.5 -113	o273.5 -137 u273.5 -137	o270.5 -114 u270.5 -114	o276.5 -117 u276.5 -138	o273.5 -115 u273.5 -115	o271.5 -114 u271.5 -115	o265.5 -115 u265.5 -115	o273.5 -137 u273.5 -137	-	-
Jared Goff DET QB DET @ MIN Dec 25 4:30 PM ET	o241.5 -113 u241.5 -111	o246.5 -137 u246.5 -137	o240.5 -114 u240.5 -114	o248.5 -113 u248.5 -144	o246.5 -115 u246.5 -115	o242.5 -115 u242.5 -115	o240.5 -110 u240.5 -120	o242.5 -137 u242.5 -137	-	-
Max Brosmer MIN QB DET @ MIN Dec 25 4:30 PM ET	o180.5 -111 u180.5 -113	o180.5 -137 u180.5 -137	o178.5 -114 u178.5 -114	o178.5 -133 u178.5 -123	o183.5 -115 u183.5 -115	o180.5 -115 u180.5 -115	o180.5 -110 u180.5 -120	o182.5 -137 u182.5 -137	-	-
Bo Nix DEN QB DEN @ KC Dec 25 8:15 PM ET	o227.5 -113 u227.5 -111	o235.5 -137 u235.5 -137	o227.5 -114 u227.5 -114	o227.5 -142 u227.5 -114	o235.5 -115 u235.5 -115	o228.5 -115 u228.5 -114	o225.5 -110 u225.5 -120	o230.5 -137 u230.5 -137	-	-
Chris Oladokun KC QB DEN @ KC Dec 25 8:15 PM ET	o151.5 -111 u151.5 -113	o151.5 -137 u151.5 -137	o151.5 -114 u151.5 -114	o148.5 -128 u148.5 -128	o147.5 -115 u147.5 -115	o150.5 -114 u150.5 -115	o150.5 -115 u150.5 -115	o151.5 -137 u151.5 -137	-	-
C.J. Stroud HOU QB HOU @ LAC Dec 27 4:30 PM ET	o223.5 -113 u223.5 -111	o221.5 -137 u221.5 -137	o226.5 -114 u226.5 -114	o226.5 -128 u226.5 -128	o221.5 -115 u221.5 -115	o224.5 -115 u224.5 -115	o225.5 -115 u225.5 -115	o224.5 -137 u224.5 -137	-	-
Justin Herbert LAC QB HOU @ LAC Dec 27 4:30 PM ET	o216.5 -112 u216.5 -112	o217.5 -137 u217.5 -137	o217.5 -114 u217.5 -114	o217.5 -133 u217.5 -121	o217.5 -115 u217.5 -115	o217.5 -114 u217.5 -115	o215.5 -120 u215.5 -110	o216.5 -137 u216.5 -137	-	-
Aaron Rodgers PIT QB PIT @ CLE Dec 28 1:00 PM ET	o200.5 -112 u200.5 -112	o194.5 -137 u194.5 -137	o202.5 -114 u202.5 -114	o200.5 -128 u200.5 -128	o194.5 -115 u194.5 -115	o199.5 -115 u199.5 -114	o200.5 -120 u200.5 -110	o197.5 -137 u197.5 -137	-	-
Baker Mayfield TB QB TB @ MIA Dec 28 1:00 PM ET	-	o227.5 -137 u227.5 -137	-	o227.5 -128 u227.5 -128	o227.5 -115 u227.5 -115	-	-	o227.5 -137 u227.5 -137	-	-
Brady Cook NYJ QB NE @ NYJ Dec 28 1:00 PM ET	o169.5 -112 u169.5 -112	o172.5 -137 u172.5 -137	o167.5 -114 u167.5 -114	o167.5 -128 u167.5 -128	-	o169.5 -114 u169.5 -115	o165.5 -120 u165.5 -110	o172.5 -137 u172.5 -137	-	-
Bryce Young CAR QB SEA @ CAR Dec 28 1:00 PM ET	o198.5 -113 u198.5 -111	o202.5 -137 u202.5 -137	o199.5 -114 u199.5 -114	o201.5 -121 u201.5 -133	o202.5 -115 u202.5 -118	o200.5 -115 u200.5 -115	o200.5 -120 u200.5 -110	o200.5 -137 u200.5 -137	-	-
Cameron Ward TEN QB NO @ TEN Dec 28 1:00 PM ET	o188.5 -112 u188.5 -112	o197.5 -137 u197.5 -137	o190.5 -114 u190.5 -114	o190.5 -129 u190.5 -126	o197.5 -115 u197.5 -115	o191.5 -114 u191.5 -115	o190.5 -110 u190.5 -120	o194.5 -137 u194.5 -137	-	-
Drake Maye NE QB NE @ NYJ Dec 28 1:00 PM ET	o262.5 -113 u262.5 -111	o259.5 -137 u259.5 -137	o259.5 -114 u259.5 -114	o265.5 -128 u265.5 -128	-	o260.5 -115 u260.5 -114	o255.5 -115 u255.5 -115	o259.5 -137 u259.5 -137	-	-
Jacoby Brissett ARI QB ARI @ CIN Dec 28 1:00 PM ET	o250.5 -112 u250.5 -112	o252.5 -137 u252.5 -137	o247.5 -114 u247.5 -114	o247.5 -133 u247.5 -123	o258.5 -115 u258.5 -115	o251.5 -114 u251.5 -117	o245.5 -120 u245.5 -110	o254.5 -137 u254.5 -137	-	-
Joe Burrow CIN QB ARI @ CIN Dec 28 1:00 PM ET	o257.5 -111 u257.5 -114	o260.5 -137 u260.5 -137	o253.5 -114 u253.5 -114	o252.5 -133 u252.5 -123	o272.5 +100 u272.5 -135	o255.5 -118 u255.5 -113	o255.5 -110 u255.5 -120	o252.5 -137 u252.5 -137	-	-
Philip Rivers IND QB JAX @ IND Dec 28 1:00 PM ET	-	o198.5 -137 u198.5 -137	-	o198.5 -128 u198.5 -128	-	-	-	o198.5 -137 u198.5 -137	-	-
Quinn Ewers MIA QB TB @ MIA Dec 28 1:00 PM ET	-	o205.5 -137 u205.5 -137	-	o208.5 -128 u208.5 -128	o205.5 -115 u205.5 -115	-	-	o205.5 -137 u205.5 -137	-	-
Sam Darnold SEA QB SEA @ CAR Dec 28 1:00 PM ET	o226.5 -111 u226.5 -113	o230.5 -137 u230.5 -137	o225.5 -114 u225.5 -114	o225.5 -142 u225.5 -114	o230.5 -115 u230.5 -115	o226.5 -115 u226.5 -114	o225.5 -110 u225.5 -120	o225.5 -137 u225.5 -137	-	-
Shedeur Sanders CLE QB PIT @ CLE Dec 28 1:00 PM ET	o178.5 -113 u178.5 -111	o175.5 -137 u175.5 -137	o177.5 -114 u177.5 -114	o170.5 -151 u170.5 -107	o175.5 -115 u175.5 -115	o176.5 -115 u176.5 -114	o175.5 -115 u175.5 -115	o175.5 -137 u175.5 -137	-	-
Trevor Lawrence JAX QB JAX @ IND Dec 28 1:00 PM ET	o230.5 -112 u230.5 -112	o230.5 -137 u230.5 -137	o229.5 -114 u229.5 -114	o227.5 -138 u227.5 -119	-	o230.5 -114 u230.5 -115	o225.5 -120 u225.5 -110	o230.5 -137 u230.5 -137	-	-
Tyler Shough NO QB NO @ TEN Dec 28 1:00 PM ET	o218.5 -112 u218.5 -112	-	o218.5 -114 u218.5 -114	o216.5 -149 u216.5 -109	-	o217.5 -115 u217.5 -114	o215.5 -110 u215.5 -120	o218.5 -137 u218.5 -137	-	-
Geno Smith LV QB NYG @ LV Dec 28 4:05 PM ET	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	o200.5 -137 u200.5 -137	-	-
Jaxson Dart NYG QB NYG @ LV Dec 28 4:05 PM ET	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	o192.5 -137 u192.5 -137	-	-
Jalen Hurts PHI QB PHI @ BUF Dec 28 4:25 PM ET	o189.5 -113 u189.5 -111	o191.5 -137 u191.5 -137	o189.5 -114 u189.5 -114	o189.5 -135 u189.5 -121	-	o189.5 -114 u189.5 -115	o185.5 -120 u185.5 -110	o190.5 -137 u190.5 -137	-	-
Josh Allen BUF QB PHI @ BUF Dec 28 4:25 PM ET	o195.5 -112 u195.5 -112	o198.5 -137 u198.5 -137	o198.5 -114 u198.5 -114	o198.5 -128 u198.5 -128	-	o198.5 -114 u198.5 -115	o195.5 -115 u195.5 -115	o198.5 -137 u198.5 -137	-	-
Brock Purdy SF QB CHI @ SF Dec 28 8:20 PM ET	-	-	o256.5 -114 u256.5 -114	o257.5 -128 u257.5 -128	-	-	o255.5 -115 u255.5 -115	o258.5 -137 u258.5 -137	-	-
Caleb Williams CHI QB CHI @ SF Dec 28 8:20 PM ET	-	-	o224.5 -114 u224.5 -114	o219.5 -147 u219.5 -112	-	-	o220.5 -115 u220.5 -115	o225.5 - u225.5 -137	-	-
Kirk Cousins ATL QB LAR @ ATL Dec 29 8:15 PM ET	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	o230.5 -137 u230.5 -137	-	-
Matthew Stafford LAR QB LAR @ ATL Dec 29 8:15 PM ET	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	o259.5 -137 u259.5 -137	-	-

Show All Showing 10 of 29

Last updated: Dec 23, 2025 5:35 PM | Showing 10 of 29 props

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview

• Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
• TV/Stream: Prime Video
• Spread: Broncos -13

Christmas may as well be canceled in Kansas City. Why?

• Patrick Mahomes: OUT (Season/ACL)
• Gardner Minshew: OUT (Season/Knee)

We’re assuming Oladokun, a practice squad elevation, starts again this week. He was sacked four times in relief last week. He faces a Denver Broncos defense that is elite and a rookie QB in Bo Nix, who has thrown 24 TDs and led his team to 12 wins.

The Chiefs have secured their first losing season of the Andy Reid era. Denver is playing for the No. 1 seed; Kansas City is playing out the string with a QB3.

• SPREAD PICK: Broncos –13 – I don’t care that it’s Arrowhead. The Chiefs’ offense with Oladokun is virtually non-functional. Denver needs this game, and Bo Nix is playing like the Rookie of the Year. Lay the points and enjoy the blowout. This feels wrong, so I’m only throwing some lunch money on this one.

• PLAYER PROP BET: RJ Harvey Higher Than 48.5 Rushing Yards – The talented back has game-script in his favor, while Chris Jones and the Kansas City defense left a lot to be desired last week against the Titans. Lack of motivation is real.