We have a seven-game Black Friday NBA betting slate on tap, as the association delivers a bit of a less robust slate than usual in the prime time hours due to a handful of early games.
With 14 teams in action we still have plenty of intriguing Underdog and PrizePicks options to consider for our under-the-radar prop plays tonight. The night’s games mostly have relatively narrow spreads – the Celtics-Bulls clash is the one clear outlier with Boston favored by 11.5 points at some sportsbooks – while there are four projected totals of over 225 points.
NBA Betting Preview & Picks: Friday, Nov. 29
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As customary in this space, we’ll strive to highlight a handful of under-the-radar NBA prop plays involving players that are a tier or two below the top stars but have reliable minutes, an appealing matchup, and solid outlooks for production in their expected role that particular night.
While these props often carry a bit more risk than those involving star players, there are also frequently opportunities to take advantage of multipliers attached their props, as is the case with one of our suggestions tonight.
Isaiah Joe More Than 15.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists
Joe has been a solid source of complementary multi-category production for the Thunder, equaling a career high with 9.5 points per contest and adding new career bests in rebounds (3.1) and assists (1.6) per contest.
While the fifth-year pro has had some atypical struggles from in front of the arc, he’s draining an impressive 37.9% of his 6.4 three-point attempts per game as well. Joe has been shuffling between the starting five and second unit of late, but even when coming off the bench this season, he’s seen at least 21 minutes in five of eight games, with all of those instances coming this month.
Friday, Joe faces a Lakers squad that’s allowing the fourth-highest shooting percentage on the road (48.6), as well as 41.2% shooting from three-point range in the last three games overall. Los Angeles also concedes the third-most assists per game (28.8), including 31.3 per contest in the last three.
Joe’s intermittent shooting struggles do render his production somewhat volatile, but he’s eclipsed this prop in eight of 16 games this season, including in four games as a bench player. Moreover, three of the instances in which he fell short were games early in the season when he was still logging under 20 minutes of floor time.
Where to play: Isaiah Joe more than 15.5 points + rebounds + assists | PrizePicks
Jrue Holiday Higher Than 4.5 Assists
Holiday naturally remains a tertiary cog in the Celtics’ offensive machine whenever Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown are healthy. However, the veteran point guard is still a capable multi-category producer when called upon, averaging 12.2 points, 4.1 rebounds and 3.9 assists per contest.
Holiday is in a particularly favorable spot Friday that he’s still very capable of capitalizing on. The Bulls have been a defensive sieve for the most part this season, especially against point guards. Chicago is allowing a league-high 11.4 dimes per game to PGs, along with a league-high 33.0 offensive efficiency rating to the position as well.
The Bulls are also yielding a league-high 48.8% success rate from the field, a figure that naturally goes hand-in-hand with Chicago’s propensity for facilitating plenty of assists. Holiday should therefore have ample opportunity to feed the likes of Brown and Tatum for successful buckets Friday on his way to what would be his sixth game with at least five assists this season.
Where to play: Jrue Holiday higher than 4.5 assists | 1.12x payout at Underdog