Luka Doncic Prediction Today: Wednesday's Props, Picks

We’ve got you covered for the best Luka Doncic prediction tonight with props today and Luka best bets on Wednesday. The Slovenian superstar continues his dominant stretch since joining the Lakers via the blockbuster February trade, averaging 37.1 points, 9.4 rebounds, and 9.1 assists per game through seven games in the 2025-26 season. Here’s the complete Luka Doncic props breakdown with stats for Wednesday’s Lakers vs Thunder matchup.

Lakers vs Thunder Game Info:

Date/Time: Wednesday, Nov 12, 9:30 PM ET (6:30 PM PT)
Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, Oklahoma
TV: ESPN, SportsNet LA, FDSOK
Lakers Record: 8-3 (4th in West)
Thunder Record: 11-1 (1st in West, defending champions)
Spread: OKC -7.0
Total: 229.5

Editor’s Note: Check out our NBA hub for all of our free predictions!

Best DFS Apps in All States

Underdog

Play $5, Get $100 in Bonus Entries

Enter Promo Code: PROPS

Play $5, Get $100 in Bonus Entries

Enter Promo Code: PROPS

Copy promo code

CLAIM OFFER CLAIM OFFER

Must be 18+ (19+ in AL, NE; 19+ in CO for some games; 21+ in AZ, MA, and VA) and present in a state where Underdog Fantasy operates. Terms apply. See assets.underdogfantasy.com/web/PlayandGetTerms_DFS_.html for details. Offer not valid in MD, MI, OH, and PA. Concerned with your play? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit www.ncpgambling.org; NY: Call the 24/7 HOPEline at 1-877-8-HOPENY or Text HOPENY (467369)

Parlay Play

100% Deposit Match Up To $100

NO PROMO CODE NEEDED

100% Deposit Match Up To $100

NO PROMO CODE NEEDED

CLAIM OFFER CLAIM OFFER

Must be 18+ and based in the USA.

Sleeper

Free $20 & $100 Deposit Match

Enter Promo Code: PROPS

Free $20 & $100 Deposit Match

Enter Promo Code: PROPS

Copy promo code

CLAIM OFFER CLAIM OFFER

Restrictions apply. See sleeper.com/match for details. 18+ (19 in AL & NE; 21 in MA & VA). First-time depositors only. $25 minimum. 100% match up to $100. Play Responsibly. Call/text 1-800-426-2537 for help.

Boom Fantasy

Sweat-Free Entry Up To $100

Enter Promo Code: PROPS

Sweat-Free Entry Up To $100

Enter Promo Code: PROPS

Copy promo code

CLAIM OFFER CLAIM OFFER

Subject to local jurisdiction and age eligibility.

Luka Doncic Best Bets – Props Wednesday & Expert Picks

After dropping 38 points, 6 rebounds, and 7 assists in Monday’s 121-111 win over Charlotte, Luka faces his toughest test yet: the 11-1 defending champion Oklahoma City Thunder at Paycom Center. Tonight on ESPN at 9:30 PM ET, expect fireworks as Luka and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (33.2 PPG, 3rd in NBA) go head-to-head in a heavyweight Western Conference showdown.

Luka Props Tonight:

Luka Doncic Prediction Today: Player Props, Lines, and Picks for LAL vs OKC - Nov. 12, 2025 - Wednesday

Check out more of our NBA content for the 2025 season. As always, it’s 100% FREE:

Best Player Props Today
First Basket Predictions
NBA Betting Hub (Game Predictions & More)
NBA DFS Injury Report
Key Stats To Know: NBA Betting
Daily Promo Roundup

Underdog

Play $5, Get $100 in Bonus Entries

Enter Promo Code: PROPS

Play $5, Get $100 in Bonus Entries

Enter Promo Code: PROPS

Copy promo code

CLAIM OFFER CLAIM OFFER

Luka Doncic Fantasy Points: DFS DraftKings Projections Tonight

For DFS players targeting Luka Doncic fantasy points (DraftKings scoring), here’s the breakdown. These projections can help you bet on Doncic over/unders as well:

Conservative Estimate (30 pts, 7 reb, 7 ast, 1 stl): 60-65 fantasy points
Expected Estimate (35 pts, 9 reb, 9 ast, 2 stl): 68-73 fantasy points
Ceiling Estimate (42+ pts, 12 reb, 11 ast, 2 stl, triple-double): 80-85 fantasy points

Luka Doncic Game Log 2025

Let’s break down Luka’s recent game log heading into tonight’s game:

Oct 21 vs Golden State (L 119-109): 43 pts, 12 reb, 9 ast in 41 min (17-27 FG, 2-10 3PT)
Oct 24 vs Minnesota (W 128-110): 49 pts, 11 reb, 8 ast in 35 min (14-23 FG, 5-12 3PT)
Oct 31 @ Memphis (W 117-112): 44 pts, 12 reb, 6 ast in 39 min (14-27 FG, 6-15 3PT)
Nov 2 vs Miami (W 130-120): 29 pts, 11 reb, 10 ast in 38 min (9-22 FG, 1-11 3PT) – triple-double
Nov 5 vs San Antonio (W 118-116): 35 pts, 9 reb, 13 ast in 42 min (9-27 FG, 4-11 3PT)
Nov 8 @ Atlanta (L 122-102): 22 pts, 5 reb, 11 ast in 27 min (7-17 FG, 4-10 3PT)
Nov 10 @ Charlotte (W 121-111): 38 pts, 6 reb, 7 ast in 38 min (14-28 FG, 5-15 3PT)

Best Luka Doncic Prop Today: Higher Than 22.5 Field Goals Attempted

The Lakers (8-3, 4th in West) have thrived with Luka as the primary ball-handler, joined by Austin Reaves (30.3 PPG, 9.0 APG) and DeAndre Ayton (16.5 PPG, 7.8 RPG). Without LeBron, Luka has been the unquestioned alpha, posting multiple 40+ point games and carrying elite usage.

In his most recent game on November 10 against Charlotte, Luka posted 38 points on 14-28 shooting (50%), 5-15 from three (33.3%), 5-5 from the line (100%), plus 6 rebounds and 7 assists in 38 minutes. The Lakers won 121-111 on the road behind Luka’s efficient scoring and Austin Reaves’ return from injury (24 pts).

Before that, Luka struggled in Atlanta (22 pts on 7-17 shooting in 27 minutes) in a blowout loss. But his bounce-back performance vs Charlotte showed why he’s one of the most unstoppable offensive forces in the league.

2025-26 Season Stats (7 games played):

Points Per Game: 37.1 (2nd in NBA, leads Lakers)
Rebounds: 9.4 RPG
Assists: 9.1 APG
Field Goal %: 49.1% (84-171 FG)
3-Point %: 32.1% (27-84 3PT)
Free Throw %: 79.3% (65-82 FT)
Minutes: 37.1 MPG
Steals: 1.7 SPG
Turnovers: 3.9 TPG

I’m not sure if Luka will be efficient tonight against Oklahoma City’s stout defense, but I do know he’s logged at least a 40% usage rate in over half of the games that he’s played this season. That is some ridiculous stuff, and I expect he’ll want to carry the offensive load again.

Expert Pick: Luka Doncic Higher Than 22.5 Field Goals Attempted| Underdog