Of all the markets for touchdown scorers, it’s possible the most underrated one is last to score. Obviously, there’s a lot of guesswork that goes into this prop. But there’s also strategy we’ll break down in this best last touchdown scorer bets article.
Basically, ask yourself how you expect the game to go. Create a scenario. What player, then, benefits most from that scenario?
Answer that question, and you might have yourself a bet.
With that in mind, here are some of our favorite last touchdown scorer props we have our eye on for this week.
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Last Touchdown Scorer Bets: Conference Championship
Our staff runs through their best last touchdown scorer bets.
Editor’s Note: Be sure to check out all of our Conference Championship content linked below.
- Conference Championship: Content Hub
- Conference Championship: First TD Props
- Conference Championship: Anytime TD Props
Josh Allen Last-TD Scorer (+650)
In Week 11, Josh Allen punctuated Buffalo’s 30-21 win against Kansas City with the game’s final touchdown on a 26-yard rush. The Bills were already up 23-21, but they made the aggressive decision to attempt to put the game away on 4th and two from the 26-yard line, and Allen scrambled for a 26-yard touchdown.
Allen hasn’t been a stranger to the end zone as a rusher, either. In 19 games (one was a game in which he took just one snap to extend his consecutive start streak) this season, Allen had 597 rushing yards (31.4 per game) and 14 rushing touchdowns. Per the data suite at Fantasy Points, Allen handled 36.8% of Buffalo’s rush attempts inside the five-yard line and had a tiny 16.4% stuff rate. Allen is a battering ram around the end zone. He scored two rushing touchdowns last week, and he scored a rushing touchdown in nine games this year.
Allen’s legs could be used to extend a lead for the Bills at the end of the game. Conversely, if the underdog Bills are trailing, Allen will likely be dropping back to pass, providing him an opportunity to scramble for a touchdown. Allen’s path to scoring a touchdown in a negative, positive, or neutral game script is ideal for picking him as the game’s last-touchdown scorer.
Where to play: Josh Allen Last-TD Scorer | FanDuel Sportsbook