Of all the markets for touchdown scorers, it’s possible the most underrated one is last to score. Obviously, there’s a lot of guesswork that goes into this prop. But there’s also strategy we’ll break down in this best last touchdown scorer bets article.
Basically, ask yourself how you expect the game to go. Create a scenario. What player, then, benefits most from that scenario?
Answer that question, and you might have yourself a bet.
With that in mind, here are some of our favorite last touchdown scorer props we have our eye on for this week.
Last Touchdown Scorer Bets: Week 16 Main Slate
Our staff runs through their best last touchdown scorer bets.
Editor’s Note: Be sure to check out all of our Week 16 content linked below.
Bucky Irving Last-TD Scorer (+565)
Bucky Irving erased the bad taste of an early exit in Week 14 with hip and back injuries from the mouths of folks with his excellent showing in Week 15. Last week, Irving’s 15 rush attempts were tied for a team-high in a blowout victory, and he paced the team in rushing yards (117). Irving also had two receptions, albeit for negative four yards. Irving didn’t reach paydirt, but he was otherwise excellent in Week 15.
The electrifying rookie hasn’t scored a touchdown in consecutive games. However, Irving had three straight games with a touchdown from Week 10 through Week 13 (Tampa Bay had a bye in Week 11). Irving has scored touchdowns in three other games, running his total to six in 14 games.
Despite Irving’s diminutive stature, Todd Bowles and Liam Coen trust him in scoring territory. According to the data suite at Fantasy Points, Irving has handled a team-high 43.5% of the club’s rush attempts inside the five-yard line this season. Furthermore, per FantasyPros, Irving has 18 rush attempts and three targets inside the 10-yard line this year and 10 and zero inside the five-yard line.
Finally, the betting info and matchup are encouraging for Irving to score the game’s final touchdown. The Bucs are 4.0-point favorites and could be protecting a lead late if things go according to the betting info, and the running backs shouldn’t meet much resistance from Dallas’s defense. According to Pro Football Reference, the Cowboys have coughed up 14 rushing touchdowns and two receiving touchdowns to running backs this season.
Where to play: Bucky Irving Last-TD Scorer | Fliff