Of all the markets for touchdown scorers, it’s possible the most underrated one is last to score. Obviously, there’s a lot of guesswork that goes into this prop. But there’s also strategy we’ll break down in this best last touchdown scorer bets article.
Basically, ask yourself how you expect the game to go. Create a scenario. What player, then, benefits most from that scenario?
Answer that question, and you might have yourself a bet.
With that in mind, here are some of our favorite last touchdown scorer props we have our eye on for this week.
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Last Touchdown Scorer Bets: Divisional Round
Our staff runs through their best last touchdown scorer bets.
Editor’s Note: Be sure to check out all of our Divisional Round content linked below.
Sunday Slate
Keon Coleman Last-TD Scorer (+1400)
The Ravens beat the brakes off the Bills in Week 4 in Baltimore. The game’s spread is slight in the rematch, but the Ravens are favorites on the road. The game has many paths it can travel down, ranging from a close back-and-forth shootout to the Bills playing from behind or attempting to protect a lead against Baltimore’s pass-funnel defense.
A handful of electrifying talents could close the game’s scoring, including Lamar Jackson, Derrick Henry, Mark Andrews, Josh Allen, James Cook, Khalil Shakir, and other talented ancillary pieces. Yet, Keon Coleman might slip through the cracks, and his line for scoring the game’s last touchdown is tantalizing.
The big-bodied rookie wide receiver could be called upon in a close game, or the Bills could give their rookie wide receiver valuable playoff reps if they’re once again in a massive deficit. Coleman’s high likelihood of being on the field at the end of the game in any game script adds to the appeal of this pick.
Revisiting Baltimore’s pass-funnel tendencies, according to RotoViz’s pace app, since Week 10, the Ravens are tied for the sixth-highest situation-neutral pass rate (60%) against them. If the Bills take to the air, Coleman’s an appealing deep threat or an eye-catching skyscraper in scoring territory.
According to the data suite at Fantasy Points, despite playing in only 14 games this year, Coleman led the Bills in end zone targets (eight). Furthermore, according to FantasyPros, Coleman had 11 targets inside the 20-yard line, eight inside the 15-yard line, five inside the 10-yard line, and two inside the five-yard line.
The rookie wideout also has a decent matchup for scoring a touchdown. According to Pro Football Reference, the Ravens allowed 17 receiving touchdowns to wide receivers in the regular season. Last week, they permitted receiving touchdowns to Van Jefferson and George Pickens. Thus, Coleman is an appealing pick to score the game’s final touchdown.
Where to play: Keon Coleman Last-TD Scorer | FanDuel Sportsbook