Of all the markets for touchdown scorers, it’s possible the most underrated one is last to score. Obviously, there’s a lot of guesswork that goes into this prop. But there’s also strategy we’ll break down in this best last touchdown scorer bets article.
Basically, ask yourself how you expect the game to go. Create a scenario. What player, then, benefits most from that scenario?
Answer that question, and you might have yourself a bet.
With that in mind, here are some of our favorite last touchdown scorer props we have our eye on for this week.
Best Last Touchdown Scorer Bets: Week 11 TNF
Our staff runs through their best last touchdown scorer bets.
Editor’s Note: Be sure to check out all of our Week 11 TNF content linked below.
A.J. Brown Last Touchdown Scorer (+650)
While the Philadelphia Eagles are widely expected to run the ball down the Washington Commanders throats Thursday night, let’s not forget about one of the NFL’s most dangerous wideouts in A.J. Brown.
Put simply, Brown is a threat to score from anywhere on the field, and in a close fourth quarter game, when everyone and their mother is expecting Jalen Hurts to put the pigskin in Saquon Barkley’s belly, what better time to play-action a pass deep downfield to a streaking Brown?
Well, that’s the idea, anyway, and while the Commanders pass defense has definitely tightened up as the year has gone on, they are susceptible to players who play like Brown.
For instance, last week, George Pickens dropped a 5-91-1 line. Zay Flowers, 9-132-0. Marvin Harrison Jr. went 5-45-1. JaMarr Chase, 6-118-2. Malik Nabers, in the first matchup, 10-127-1.
In short: Big time receivers have put up big time numbers against the Commanders, and a big reason we’ve been hearing about how much better they’ve gotten can be chalked up to games against a DeShaun Watson-led Browns, the Panthers, and the since-broken Bears and Giants.
Brown might blow through all his props Thursday night, and banking on him to put the dagger into the Commanders seems like a fair play.
Where to Play: A.J. Brown Last Touchdown Scorer | +650 at Fliff
Terry McLaurin Last Touchdown Scorer (+730)
Honestly, you can copy and paste much of the above when it comes to McLaurin.
The alpha wideout for the Commanders facing a team that has been playing great defense of late, but against weaker opponents.
Really, look at these cupcakes the Eagles have landed on: In the last five weeks, they narrowly beat the Bengals (good win) and then walloped the Cowboys, Giants, Jaguars, and Browns under Watson. They’ve also lost to the Falcons and Bucs, and have wins against the Packers and Saints.
Good, not great.
Honestly, outside of Joe Burrow and Ja’Marr Chase, they probably haven’t faced a better quarterback-wide receiver duo in Jayden Daniels and McLaurin since … Baker Mayfield and Mike Evans in Week 4? Kirk Cousins and Drake London in Week 2? Seriously, they have barely faced anyone of note. (Sorry, CeeDee Lamb and Cooper Rush.)
Point being, we really can’t be so sure the Eagles defense is as good as advertised. We’ll know more come midnight ET Thursday.
But in the meantime, a sprinkle of McLaurin to score late doesn’t seem like the worst idea.
Where to Play: Terry McLaurin Last Touchdown Scorer | +730 at Fliff
More NFL Props For Week 11
First Touchdown Scorer Props – Who Will Score First TD Tonight?