Kalshi has quickly become one of the most popular platforms for trading Super Bowl prediction markets, and with Super Bowl 60 approaching, liquidity and opportunity are peaking. If you’re new to Kalshi, or looking to maximize value, this guide covers two things you need to know:
- How to use the Kalshi referral code PROPSTS
- How to intelligently approach and trade Super Bowl 60 markets on Kalshi
This isn’t about placing a single bet and hoping. Kalshi rewards traders who understand probability, pricing, and timing.
What Is Kalshi?
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market exchange that allows users to trade contracts on real-world outcomes. Instead of betting against a sportsbook, you’re trading against other market participants.
Each contract settles at $1 if the outcome happens, or $0 if it doesn’t. The current price reflects the market’s implied probability.
For example:
- A contract trading at 68¢ implies a 68% chance
- Buy below your estimated probability → positive expected value
- Sell when prices overshoot → lock in profit early
Kalshi Referral Code: PROPSTS
If you’re signing up for Kalshi, using a referral or promo code is one of the easiest ways to gain an edge and get $10 FREE for trading!
Entering PROPSTS during signup will unlock $10 in bonus trading credits. These credits allow you to trade Super Bowl markets with reduced personal risk.
How to Use the Kalshi Referral Code
- Visit Kalshi or download the Kalshi app
- Create an account
- Enter PROPSTS in the referral or promo code field
- Complete identity verification
- Fund your account and start trading
Your FREE $10 bonus will be included in your first trade on Kalshi.
Super Bowl 60 Markets on Kalshi: How to Read Them
Based on the attached markets, here’s how to interpret what you’re seeing — and how traders should think about each category.
Super Bowl Champion Market
- Seattle: ~68%
- New England: ~33%
These are implied probabilities, not traditional odds.
How to trade it:
- Buy Seattle only if you believe their true probability is higher than 68%
- Sell or take the “No” side if you think the market is overconfident
- Advanced traders often buy early and sell before kickoff, rather than holding to resolution
This market has high liquidity, making it ideal for active trading rather than all-or-nothing positions.
Spread & Total Markets
- Seattle wins by over 4.5 points
- Over 45.5 total points
These markets often react strongly to:
- Injury news
- Weather forecasts
- Public narrative late in the week
Trading insight:
When public sentiment piles onto one side, prices can drift away from fair value. That’s when fading the market, not following it, becomes profitable.
Team Total Markets
- New England over 17.5 points
- Seattle over 19.5 points
Team totals tend to get overpriced when one team is heavily favored. A high implied probability doesn’t automatically mean value.
Key question:
Is the market probability higher than your projected game script?
If not, selling or avoiding the position is often the sharper play.
Player Touchdown Markets
Kalshi’s anytime touchdown markets include players like:
- Kenneth Walker III
- Jaxon Smith-Njigba
- Rhamondre Stevenson
- Hunter Henry
- Cooper Kupp
- Stefon Diggs
- Drake Maye
These markets are especially sensitive to:
- Injury reports
- Red-zone usage trends
- Late-week practice news
Trader approach:
You don’t need the player to score, you just need the price to move. Buying early and selling after a news-driven spike is often more profitable than holding through the game.
How to Trade Kalshi Markets Effectively
1. Think in Probabilities, Not Predictions
Kalshi prices reflect consensus opinion. Your edge comes from identifying where consensus is wrong, even slightly.
2. Use Limit Orders
Avoid chasing prices. Set entries at levels where the risk-reward actually makes sense.
3. Don’t Always Hold to Settlement
Many of the best Kalshi trades are round-trip trades: enter early, exit before resolution, lock in profit.
4. Watch Liquidity
Super Bowl markets tighten as kickoff approaches. Early in the week often offers the best mispricing opportunities.
Final Moves on Kalshi and Patriots vs. Seahawks
- Using a Kalshi referral code like PROPSTS gives you bonus flexibility to test strategies without overcommitting capital.
- Kalshi is not a sportsbook, it’s a trading platform.
- The edge comes from timing, price sensitivity, and discipline, not fandom or hot takes.
- Super Bowl markets offer some of the highest liquidity of the year, making them ideal for both new and experienced traders.
