The Heat are set to face the Philadelphia 76ers on Thursday, Apr 4. The game is scheduled for 7:30 ET while airing on NBCS. Miami enters this game as 2.5-point favorites with the total set at 209.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Heat vs 76ers predictions below.
Heat vs. 76ers Odds
- Spread: Heat -2.5
- Total 209.5
Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!
Game Info
- Date: Thursday, Apr 4
- Time: 7:30 ET
- Location: Kaseya Center, Miami FL
- TV: NBCS
76ers Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the 76ers have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
- Through their last ten road contests, the 76ers offense has averaged 103 points per game while allowing an average of 107. Philadelphia posted an overall record of 3-7 while going 5-5 ATS.
- As the betting underdog, the 76ers have an ATS mark of just 5-4-1 in their last ten games. Philadelphia posted a straight up mark of 2-8 in these matchups.
Heat Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Heat have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- Across their last five home contests, Miami has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 4-1, while averaging 105 points per game.
- Through their last three games as the favorite, the Heat have an ATS record of 3-0 and a straight up mark of 3-0.
Will the 76ers Find a Way to Win in Miami?
Today, the 76ers are looking to extend their win streak to three games after defeating the Thunder by a score of 109-105. The win improved their overall record to 41-35, which is currently 8th in the Eastern Conference.
Against the spread, the 76ers have covered in four straight games and have an overall ATS record of 43-32. On the road, they are 22-16 ATS compared to 21-16 ATS at home.
As the underdog, the 76ers are 8-22 this season and have gone 2-2 ATS in their last four games as the underdog. Today, they are getting 2.5 points on the spread.
This season, the average over/under line in 76ers games is 227.7, and their games have averaged 226.4 points. Philly’s O/U record for the season is 38-38.
Philly’s last game against the Thunder finished with a combined score of 214 points, which was well below the O/U line of 219.5. The 76ers also covered the spread in the game, winning by four points as 3-point favorites.
The 76ers have been an above-average scoring team this season, averaging 114.3 points per game (15th). However, they have been slightly better at home (115.3 PPG) compared to on the road (113.3 PPG).
Philadelphia has been an efficient team at getting to the free-throw line, leading the league in free throws made per game (19.7) and ranking 4th in attempts (23.9). They are also 8th in offensive rebounds.
In terms of pace, the 76ers are 23rd in the NBA at 97 possessions per game. They have been a below-average three-point shooting team, making 36% of their attempts (19th).
So far this season, the 76ers defense has been performing well, ranking 9th in the NBA at 112.1 points allowed per contest. In the terms of takeaways, 76ers are causing 11.2 turnovers per game, ranking 1st in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 7th in rejections, averaging 6 blocked shots each game.
Pressure Builds for Miami as Home Favorites
Miami has won three straight games and is currently 6th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 42-33. In the Southeast Division, they are in 2nd place.
This season, Miami has been favored in 43 of their 75 games and has a record of 31-12 in those games. As the favorite, they have won their last four games against the spread, going 20-20 on the season.
On average, Miami’s games have seen a combined scoring total of 218.3 points, which is higher than today’s O/U line of 209.5. The Heat have gone over the O/U line in their last three games.
In their most recent game, the Heat defeated the Knicks by a score of 109-99. The O/U line for that game was 205.5, and Miami covered the spread as 2.5-point favorites.
For the season, Miami has an ATS record of 36-36, including going 15-22 ATS at home. Their average scoring margin at home is +1.8 points per game.
At home, the Heat are averaging 112.4 points per game, which is 22nd in the NBA. Overall, they are 27th in scoring at 109.9 points per game.
So far this season, Miami has outscored the NBA scoring average in just 37.3% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 29th in the league at 95.7 possessions per game.
When it comes to field goal percentage, the Heat are 23rd in the NBA at 46%. From beyond the arc, they are shooting 37% as a team, which is 11th in the league.
At this time, the Heat’s defense is positioned 4th in the NBA, permitting 108.4 points per game. For the season, Miami is ranked 28th in fewest fouls per game. Team’s are averaging 19.3 free-throws per game vs. the Heat and have an overall field goal percentage of 47.0%.
Heat vs. 76ers Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is Jimmy Butler and his points prop of 20.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -113 while the under is at -121. Based on our projections, Jimmy Butler is expected to go 7/14 from the field, resulting in 22 points. We recommend taking the over on his prop bet, which offers a payout of -113.
- The Prop: Jimmy Butler Over 20.5 Points (-113)
Heat vs. 76ers Predictions
We’re calling a win for the Heat, with a final score of 112-105, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Heat at -2.5.
As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 209.5 and our model has the 76ers and Heat finishing with a combined 217 points. Our pick is to take the over.
The Pick: Heat -2.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook