With an exciting NBA slate ahead, we’ve identified three Friday NBA props that stand out based on matchups, trends, and role adjustments.
These picks offer great opportunities for value in tonight’s action, with analysis highlighting why each play is worth consideration.
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Let’s break down the top plays for this evening.
Tidjane Salaun Less Than 9 Rebounds + Assists
Tidjane Salaun faces a tough matchup against a Knicks team that has been strong at limiting rebounds and assists to opposing power forwards. New York allows the 7th fewest rebounds and ranks 16th in assists allowed to the position, making it difficult for Salaun to hit his projection of 9 RA.
Other DFS platforms have this number trending lower, with some suggesting it could drop to 8.5. Given the Knicks’ strong defensive tendencies, Salaun is likely to struggle in generating enough volume to surpass this number. Expect him to finish below 8 RA, making the less than play a strong choice for tonight.
Bam Adebayo More Than 13.5 Rebounds + Assists
Bam Adebayo has been a force in the paint, and tonight’s matchup against the Raptors gives him a prime opportunity to exceed his 13.5 RA projection. Toronto ranks 5th worst in the league in rebounds and assists allowed to opposing centers, creating an ideal environment for Adebayo to thrive.
Adebayo has surpassed this number in 7 of his last 10 games, and starters facing the Raptors have hit their RA numbers in 8 of the last 11 games. With a combination of strong matchup data, a high hit rate, and PrizePicks’ value (no payout shift on the higher number), this is a great play to target for more than 13.5 RA.
LeBron James Less Than 9.5 Assists
LeBron James has been facilitating at a high level this season, but tonight’s matchup against the Thunder presents some challenges. Oklahoma City gives up the 18th fewest assists in the league to opposing power forwards, a middling but still notable stat in this context. Additionally, opposing power forwards have gone under their assist projections in 7 of the last 12 games against OKC.
LeBron himself has struggled to hit this number against the Thunder, going under 9.5 assists in his last six games against them. With favorable odds and historical trends backing the less than play, LeBron is likely to fall short of double-digit assists tonight, making this a solid under-the-radar pick.
Final Thoughts
Here’s a recap of the top PrizePicks plays for tonight:
Tidjane Salaun Less Than 9 Rebounds + Assists – A tough Knicks defense makes this an uphill battle for Salaun.
Bam Adebayo More Than 13.5 Rebounds + Assists – A favorable matchup against Toronto puts Adebayo in a great position to hit this number.
LeBron James Less Than 9.5 Assists – OKC’s defense and historical trends suggest LeBron will fall short of this line.
These picks blend matchup analysis and performance trends to help you maximize your PrizePicks lineup. Good luck, and enjoy Friday night’s action!
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