We asked our Props analyst, Justin Bales, to come up with his best NFL ladder bets for Wildcard Weekend. Let’s dive into the top NFL betting picks today.
If you’re not familiar with this kind of play, a ladder bet is essentially betting on a prop at multiple lines with the odds getting progressively larger the further up the ladder you go.
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Don’t Look Down – NFL Wildcard Weekend Ladder Bets
We’ve done the research for you here and below we’ll dive into all of the rationale for our best NFL ladder bets for Wildcard Weekend.
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Pat Freiermuth Receiving Yards Ladder (Saturday Slate)
We’ve cashed Freiermuth each of the last two weeks, and I’m going back to the well again. He’s enjoying an outstanding season for the Pittsburgh Steelers, recording 65 receptions for 653 yards and 7 touchdowns on 74 targets. He’s also posted 60 and 85 yards over his last two games.
Freiermuth gets a solid matchup against the Baltimore Ravens this weekend. The Ravens have struggled against tight ends, allowing the 10th-most receiving yards (56.6) per game to the position. They’re giving up 7.6 yards per target to tight ends this season.
We’re getting a low number because Freiermuth hasn’t found success against Baltimore thus far. He’s recorded only 5 receptions for 30 yards on 5 targets in two games against them. He’s been heating up recently, though, recording 18 targets over his last two games.
Pittsburgh is a massive underdog in this game, and they’ll likely be throwing for the majority of it. Freiermuth could see a plethora of targets once again this week, and he comes with tremendous upside when he’s involved in the offense.
Where to play: Pat Freiermuth 40+ receiving yards through 90+ receiving yards
Josh Jacobs Rushing Yards Ladder (Sunday Slate)
Jacobs returned to form, as he found elite success for the Green Bay Packers this season. He posted 1,329 yards with 15 touchdowns on 301 carries. He also posted 120+ rushing yards in two games.
Jacobs gets an interesting matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles this week. They’re only allowing 79.8 rushing yards per game in 2024. They’re giving up 4.1 yards per carry, though, so they don’t feature an unstoppable run defense.
Jacobs saw Philadelphia in Week 1, and he posted 84 yards on 16 carries. We’ve also seen Rico Dowdle and Chuba Hubbard both find success against Philadelphia in the last few weeks. This isn’t necessarily a bet on the matchup but rather the offense.
Green Bay wants to establish the run with Jacobs to open up their playbook. They love giving him the ball early in games, and they’re going to do that once again this week. It wouldn’t be shocking to see the workhorse back record 20+ carries, and these numbers are far too low for how well he’s performed this season.
Where to play: Josh Jacobs 70+ rushing yards through 120+ rushing yards
Matthew Stafford Passing Yards Ladder (Monday Slate)
Stafford enjoyed a solid season for the Los Angeles Rams. He ended with 3,762 yards, 20 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions across 16 games. Surprisingly, he only broke 300 yards in 2 of those 16 games.
Stafford gets an elite matchup against the Minnesota Vikings this weekend. They’re allowing the fourth-most passing yards (261.5) per game to opposing quarterbacks. The Vikings are also allowing 10.7 yards per completion this season.
Stafford already faced off against Minnesota in Week 8. He threw for 279 yards with 4 touchdowns on 1 interception on 34 pass attempts. This ended up being one of the best games of his season.
The Rams are currently 1.5-point underdogs in this game. They could be throwing throughout, and Stafford has an elite cast around him with Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp. Those are both receivers who can create their own yards, adding to Stafford’s upside.
We’re getting a shocking price tag on these totals, and we know Stafford boasts 300+ passing yards upside in the right situation.
Where to play: Matthew Stafford 250+ passing yards through 300+ passing yards