We asked our Props analyst, Justin Bales, to come up with his best NFL ladder bets for Week 7.
If you’re not familiar with this kind of play, a ladder bet is essentially betting on a prop at multiple lines with the odds getting progressively larger the further up the ladder you go.
Don’t Look Down – NFL Week 7 Main Slate Ladder Bets
We’ve done the research for you here and below we’ll dive into all of the rationale for our best NFL ladder bets for Week 7.
Aidan O’Connell Passing Yards Ladder
I didn’t think it could get worse than betting on Bo Nix, but here we are banking on O’Connell to climb the ladder. He’s thrown for 403 yards with 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions through 3 games (1 start). In his lone start, he threw for 227 yards with 1 touchdown and 1 interception against the Pittsburgh Steelers.
O’Connell showed some promise as a rookie last season, although his ceiling is a backup in the NFL. He threw for 299 yards with 2 touchdowns against the Indianapolis Colts. He also recorded 225+ passing yards in 6 of his 10 starts in 2023.
O’Connell gets an interesting matchup against the Los Angeles Rams this week. They’re only giving up 216.2 passing yards per game, but that’s because they’ve been consistently losing. The Rams are giving up a league-high 9.0 yards per attempt through the air.
Los Angeles only has one win in 2024, and it was against the San Francisco 49ers. In that game, Brock Purdy threw for 292 yards and 3 touchdowns. That was the only game this season where the opposing quarterback saw 30+ pass attempts.
I don’t think O’Connell is a stud quarterback, or even good, but the Las Vegas Raiders are currently 6.5-point underdogs. I’ll take a chance on basically any quarterback who gets to throw 4 quarters against this Los Angeles defense.
What to bet: Aidan O’Connell 225+ passing yards through 275+
Chuba Hubbard Rushing Yards Ladder
It’s always risky to take rushing yards from someone on a team who is nearly a double-digit underdog, but we’re taking the chance here. Hubbard’s found plenty of success for the Carolina Panthers, recording 485 yards with 2 touchdowns through 6 games.
We know Carolina is going to try to establish the run, and Hubbard’s recorded 18+ carries in three of his last four contests. He’s also recorded between 92 and 114 yards in each of those games. Furthermore, the young running back has averaged over 5.0 yards per carry in every game besides a Week 1 loss to the New Orleans Saints.
Hubbard gets a great matchup against the Washington Commanders this week. They’re allowing the sixth-most rushing yards per game (119.2) to opposing running backs. Those backs are also averaging 5.3 yards per carry.
Here’s how all of their opponents [individual running backs or duos] have performed against them in 2024:
- Rachaad White & Bucky Irvin – 93 yards
- Devin Singletary – 95 yards
- Chase Brown & Zack Moss – 120 yards
- James Conner & Trey Benson – 149 yards
- Jerome Ford & D’Onta Foreman – 91 yards (18 total carries)
- Derrick Henry – 132 yards
The risk comes if Washington gets out to an early lead and Carolina has to start throwing. I do expect them to feed Hubbard heavily early in this game, though, and I wouldn’t be shocked if he ends the game around 20 carries once again.
What to bet: Chuba Hubbard 70+ rushing yards through 120+
Jameson Williams Receiving Yards Ladder
Williams is finally in the midst of a breakout season for the Detroit Lions. He’s posted 16 receptions for 365 yards with 3 touchdowns on 28 targets. His best game came in Week 1, recording 5 receptions for 121 yards and 1 touchdown on 8 targets against the Los Angeles Rams.
Excluding his game against the Arizona Cardinals, Williams has been an extremely consistent player this season. He posted only 9 yards in that game, but he’s recorded 76+ yards in each of his other four contests.
Williams gets a good matchup against the Minnesota Vikings this week. They’re allowing the second-most receiving yards (209.2) per game to opposing wide receivers. The Vikings are also giving up the second-most airYAC (289.0) in the NFL this season.
Although Minnesota ranks as a bottom-10 team in YAC-allowed (122.8) per game this season, they’ve struggled more with air yards. They’re allowing the second-most air yards (166.2) per game, trailing only the Baltimore Ravens by less than 4 yards.
Williams is the type of “do it all” player with his outstanding speed. He leads the Detroit Lions with 81.8 air yards per game this season. He also leads the team with 37 YAC per game. Overall, he ranks near the top of the NFL in airYAC (118.8) per game in 2024.
This game should stay relatively close throughout, and it should end up being high-scoring. Williams isn’t the focal point of the Detroit offense, meaning he won’t be the focal point of the defense either. He comes with elite upside, though, and we’re getting outstanding odds on him.
What to Bet: Jameson Williams receiving yards 50+ through 100+
